CIGABAN ZABE A ISRA'ILA

Sanarwar da Netanyahu ya yi jiya na shirin rusa majalisar dokokin Isra'ila ta Knesset daya tilo, da kuma kiran da aka yi na zaben farko cikin watanni uku, wani share fage ne na karfafa masu kishin kasa da dama a siyasar Isra'ila.

Da farko dai, za a gudanar da sabon zaben ne ta hanyar sabbin sauye-sauye da aka kafa a tsarin zabe, wanda ya daga matakin samun damar shiga majalisar Knesset daga kashi 2% zuwa kashi 3,25%. Wani karuwar da ba za a iya mantawa da shi ba, ganin cewa a cikin zabukan da suka gabata akwai jam’iyyu da dama a wancan tazarar: Hadash, Balad da Kadima, kuma da kyar United Arab List, da kuma wahalar da jam’iyyu kamar Otzma ko Ale Yarok.

Duk hasashen da aka yi kwanan nan ya yi hasashen ƙaruwa tsakanin manyan jam'iyyun addini da na dama na Isra'ila. Sun kuma yi hasashen faduwar babbar jam'iyyar wahayi ta 2013, Yesh Atid, tare da matsayi na dama amma na duniya, da bacewar Kadima ta tsakiya.

Jiya dai dai da sanarwar rusa majalisar an fitar da bincike guda biyu na karshe. maganganu y Midgam, a tashoshin talabijin na 10 da 2, wanda sakamakonsu ya kasance (ana kara sakamakon zaben da ya gabata a cikin bakan gizo):

• Gidan Yewish (daman 'yan ƙasa): 17 (12)
• United Attaura Yahudanci (Haƙƙin addini): 8 (7)
• Shas (Kishin Yahudawa): 7-9 (11)
• Ysrael Beitenu (dama): 10-12 (13)
• Moshe Kahlon (Mai adawa da Likud, dama): 10-12 (sabo)
• Likud (dama): 22 (18)
• Yesh Atid (na tsakiya-dama): 9 (19)
• Kadima (tsakiyar): 0 (2)
• Hatnuah (a tsakiya hagu): 4 (6)
• Jam'iyyar Labour (Jam'iyyar Democrat): 13 (15)
• Meretz (Social Democrat): 7 (6)
• Hadash/UAL/Balad (hagu, Larabawa): 9-11 (11)

A al'adance, jaridun Isra'ila suna kan karkata jam'iyyu zuwa manyan kungiyoyi biyu, a daya bangaren 'yan kishin kasa da/ko dama na addini sannan a daya bangaren bangaren hagu na masu zaman kansu (ko da yake ana hada jam'iyyun masu sassaucin ra'ayi a nan matukar sun kasance masu zaman kansu). A cikin 2013, wannan dama ya sami wakilai 61 yayin da tsakiya-hagu 59. Wannan rata na wakilai 2 kawai zai canza sosai, bisa ga waɗannan hasashen, tunda dama zai kai wakilai 76-78 idan aka kwatanta da 42-44 na tsakiya-hagu. , alamar tazara tsakanin su daga 32 zuwa 36 wakilai.

Gwamnatin da ta gabata ta ƙunshi jam'iyyu daga wurare biyu: Likud, Ysrael Beitenu, Yesh Atid da Hatnuah. Babu shakka sabon zai kasance a hannun dama, wanda aka kafa a kusa da Likud, Yewish Home, Ysrael Beitenu da Moshe Kahlon, wadanda da alama za su sami goyon bayan gwamnati. A halin yanzu dai ba a taba tambayar adadin firaminista Netanhayu ba.

http://knessetjeremy.com/2014/12/02/dialogchannel-10-poll-likud-22-bayit-yehudi-17-labor-13-yisrael-beitenu-12-kachlon-12-yesh-atid-9/

http://knessetjeremy.com/2014/12/02/channel-2midgam-poll-likud-22-bayit-yehudi-17-labor-13-yisrael-beitenu-10-kachlon-10-yesh-atid-9-shas-9/