Amurka: Super Talata tare da ƙwararrun ƴan takarar Democrat na Clinton.

Clinton ta lashe zaben fidda gwani na karshe da aka gudanar a karshen makon nan.

A ranar Asabar a tsibirin Virgin Islands, Clinton ta samu wakilai 7 da aka zaba, baya ga 5 superdelegates da suka goyi bayan ta (kiri'u 12). Sauran babban wakilin ya kasance mai zaman kansa. Sanders ba ya samun komai a waɗannan tsibiran.

A ranar Lahadi a Puerto Rico, Clinton ta samu wakilai 36 da wakilai 6 (kiri’u 42) idan aka kwatanta da wakilan Sanders 24 kuma babu manyan wakilai (kuri’u 24).

Saboda haka, ko da yake a adadi ba abin mamaki ba ne, sun kasance karin nasara biyu ga Clinton da kuma karuwa a cikin amfaninta fiye da Sanders na kuri'u 30 don Babban Taron Dimokuradiyya na gaba.

A gobe 7 ga watan Yuni ne za a yi zaben fidda gwani a jihohi 6 da za su zabi wakilai 694.. Bayanan kula sune California (475) da New Jersey (126).

Daga cikin wakilai 694 da jam'iyyar Democrat za ta zaba a gobe, idan aka yi la'akari da fifiko 285 da Clinton ke da shi a kan Sanders, idan ya samu karin wakilai, sai ya samu wakilai 490.

Idan aka dubi rumfunan zaɓe, da alama wannan sakamakon ya kusan yiwuwa. A California, an kiyasta fa'idar Clinton ta kasance kaɗan (da kusan maki 3) kuma a New Jersey Clinton za ta iya yin nasara da kashi 10% -15%, har ma a New Mexico (jiha ta gaba da mafi yawan wakilai da aka zaɓa gobe, 34) amfanin Clinton zai iya. kai maki 20.

Ko da koma baya ya baiwa Sanders nasara kadan a California da kuma kunnen doki a New Jersey da New Mexico, ba zai samu isassun wakilan da za su shawo kan tazarar da Clinton ta samu ba.

Clinton vs Trump

Idan aka yi la'akari da duel fiye da yadda ake iya gani a watan Nuwamba tsakanin Clinton (D) da Trump (R), hasashe da aka danganta da bincike sun nuna cewa har yanzu akwai wasa:

Siyasa bayyanannen gaske: Clinton 43,8%, Trump 42,3%, 13,9% bai yanke shawara ba.

Huffpost Pollster: Clinton 42,3%, Trump 37,8%, 19,9% ​​bai yanke shawara ba.

Fa'idar da ke cikin goyon bayan Clinton, musamman a cewar RCP, kadan ne idan aka yi la'akari da irin wannan adadi mai yawa na mutanen da ba su yanke shawara ba (har zuwa kusan 20%).

Daga gobe, da zarar an tabbatar da takarar Clinton, za a iya ganin cewa gaba dayan wasannin yakin neman zabe za su canza, kuma za su mayar da hankali kan abokiyar hamayyar wata jam’iyyar, ba ita kadai ba. Sanders yana da zabi biyu, ko dai ya goyi bayan Clinton a gaban babban sharri kamar Trump ko kuma ya ci gaba da kasancewa a mataki na biyu (wanda za a fahimta a matsayin kin Clinton), don haka ya fifita Trump.

*** Labarin da aka ƙirƙira daga sharhi da yawa daga mai amfani Neoproyecto.