Bincike: Cibiyar ta dawo?

Kafin zaben na ranar 20 ga Disamba, 2015, rumfunan zaɓe sun gabatar da wani sabon salo a Spain. Idan muka harhada manyan jam’iyyu hudu zuwa gida biyu, mun sami kujeru uku daidai da kujeru 135-160. Kalmomi ba za a iya jayayya ba, amma za mu yi amfani da abin da muka yi imani da shi mafi kyau don fahimtar juna: za mu kira jimlar PP da Cs "yankin dama", jimlar PSOE, Podemos da confluences, "bangaren hagu na hagu. ”, da “tsakiya ta tsakiya”” zuwa PSOE da Cs.

A cikin watannin Oktoba da Nuwamba 2015, kusan dukkanin binciken da aka bayar sun ba da nau'i nau'i nau'i nau'i guda uku. Amma ainihin zaɓen ya zo, 20-D, da ƙungiyar a tsakiya ya faɗi kaɗan a baya, ɗan ƙasa da abin da binciken ya annabta. Dama da hagu kusan an ɗaure, yayin da PSOE da Cs sumartare da adadi (mambobi 130) kaɗan kaɗan.

Nan da nan aka ƙara ƙarfafa wannan yanayin. A zabukan 26-J, wanda aka gudanar watanni shida bayan haka, haƙƙin haƙƙin ya tashi a fili, kuma ra'ayin PP-UP ya sa ƙungiyar ta tsakiya ta kasance a kan kujeru 117 kawai. A ƙarshe, rikicin gurguzu na Satumba-Oktoba 2016 ya haifar da jimlar PSOE + Cs a ƙasa da kujeru 100, yayin da "dama" ya ƙara samun cikakken rinjaye a cikin zaɓen.

Amma tun daga lokacin, kuma, musamman a cikin watanni biyun da suka gabata, muna ganin ci gaba da karuwa daga duka Ciudadanos da, har ma fiye da haka, daga PSOE. Shi block block Yana cikin matsakaicin matakan, a matakan da ba a taɓa gani ba bayan Disamba 20, 2015.

A gefe guda, "dama" (PP + Cs) sun rasa cikakken rinjaye a cikin zaɓen a cikin 'yan makonnin nan, kuma "hagu" (PSOE + UP) suna hawa matsayi a hankali. Mun yi nisa da zaben gama-gari, amma idan aka yi la’akari da shi a wani lokaci don isa gare su, da mun sami kanmu a cikin yanayin da ya fi bude ido a cikin shekara da rabi da ta gabata.

Dangane da farfadowar cibiyar, maiyuwa ne ko a'a. Ba wannan ne karon farko da irin wannan abu ya faru a rumfunan zabe ba, amma idan lokacin zabe ya zo ba a tabbatar da hakan a rumfunan zabe ba. Shin zai bambanta a wannan lokacin?