A lokacin da takarar shugabancin Amurka Hillary Clinton ta yanke hukunci, wasu abubuwa da suka faru sun sa dan takarar Democrat ya ragu da farin jini, yayin da jam'iyyar Republican ta tashi zuwa wani yanayi na dangantaka ta fasaha wanda a yau, Trump ya jagoranci saboda. na Manyan Jihohi.
swans na yakin neman zabe
Bayan 11/XNUMX da [wannan hanyar haɗin zuwa rabin AEDE ba za a nuna ba don guje wa matsalolin shari'a ( ƙimar Google)], bude muhawara game da lafiyar kud ya sanya wadanda ba a tantance ba suka yi shakku kan ko zai iya shugabancin kasar nan na tsawon shekaru hudu masu zuwa. A nasa bangaren, Trump ya fara rangadin kafafen yada labarai gabatar da fuskar abokantaka ko abokantaka da ke kusantar da shi zuwa ga wadanda suka zabe shi, wanda tare da goyon bayan manyan makiyan siyasa kamar Ted Cruz, yana nufin. haɓaka don yaƙin neman zaɓe ku.
Rikicin baya-bayan nan da aka yi a Charlotte ya ba wa 'yan takara haske kuma Trump ya yi amfani da shi ta hanyar cin gajiyar samun tsayuwar daka a kan siyasar kasa (ko "ƙarfe") idan aka kwatanta da matsakaicin lukewar Hillary.
Muhawarar da Manyan Jihohi
A safiyar yau ne za a yi babbar muhawara ta farko a gidan talabijin tsakanin 'yan takarar biyu, a cikin wani yanayi wanda yawancin jihohin da suka bambanta daga wannan bangare zuwa wancan ya danganta da kwanan wata da masu jefa kuri'a, kuma inda babban makasudin duka 'yan takarar dole ne su ci gaba da samun fa'ida ko "kare" jihohin da, idan har akwai. na hasarar da suka yi, sun mika wa sauran rinjayen da ba za a iya samu ba tare da fitar da masu kada kuri’a daga cikin wadanda ba su tantance ba wadanda za su samu daya daga cikin wadannan Jihohin ta sauya hanya.
para trump yana da mahimmanci don jagoranci a ranar 8 ga Nuwamba a cikin jihohi masu zuwa don isa fadar White House:
- Ohio
- Florida
- Arizona
- North Carolina
Hillary dole ne ya kasance mafi yawan kuri'a a ranar zabe a Jihohi masu zuwa:
- Michigan
- Wisconsin
- New Hampshire
- Pennsylvania
- Colorado
- Nevada
- Virginia
Dangane da matsakaita na sabbin zabukan da aka buga, Trump zai iya tabbatar da Manyan Jihohinsa guda hudu yayin da Hillary za ta ci gaba da rike dukkansu ban da Nevada da Colorado, inda Trump zai jagoranci ko kadan kuma, don haka, zai iya samun shugabancin.
A al'adance jihohin Ohio (inda duk wanda yayi nasara yakan shiga fadar shugaban kasa), Colorado da Florida Sun kasance masu yanke hukunci (kar mu manta da yakin karshe tsakanin Bush da Gore wanda ya yanke shawarar Florida bayan an sake kirga kuri'un bayan ranar zabe) da A yau duk ukun sun nuna goyon bayan Trump.
Ya fi trump ya kasance Dan takarar Republican na farko a tarihi da ya jagoranci jefa kuri'a da wuri a Florida, inda dan takarar jam'iyyar Democrat ya kayar da kuri'u 120.000, don haka ga alama haka "Wistle of America" yayi fare akan 'yan Republican.
Za ~ en
Binciken ya samar da mafi bambance-bambancen bayanai, kodayake gaskiya ne A cikin 'yan kwanakin nan ƴan takarar da za su maye gurbin sun yi ta yin hasarar zaɓe wanda hakan ke kawo kusantar 'yan Democrat da na Republican, ko da yake kafofin watsa labaru sun nuna sakamako daban-daban (Fox News yana jan kunnen Trump yayin da CNN karkata zuwa ga Hillary).
Yau da CNN ta fitar da wani binciken da aka yi kafin muhawara wanda ke magana game da haɗin gwiwar fasaha a matakin kasa.
An kuma ƙarfafa su su yi hasashen abin da zai faru a ciki Pennsylvania y Colorado:
Ma'anar ita ce Da aka yi nazarin matsakaicin yawan kuri'un da aka kada a yau, Hillary ce ke kan gaba a zaben amma Jihohin swing ne ke haifar da bambanci, tun da matsakaita zaben ya nuna tabbacin jihohi ga kowane dan takara, wanda ya bar ‘yan majalisa 175 a sararin sama, wadanda ya zuwa yau. Sun fi 'yan jam'iyyar Republican fiye da 'yan Democrat, kamar yadda muka warware a sama kuma wanda zai yi daidai da jihohin da aka yi alama da launin toka a wannan hoton:
Amma a cikin wannan yanayin da ke canzawa, duk wani ɗan ƙaramin bambanci ana bincikarsa zuwa milimita ta masu gudanar da yaƙin neman zaɓe na ɓangarorin biyu don ƙoƙarin gano yadda za a daidaita ma'auni zuwa gefensu. Waɗannan su ne sabon zaɓe na kowace Jiha:
Rana | Tushen zabe | Office | location | results | gubar | ||
Satumba-26 | CNN/ORC | Shugaba | Pennsylvania | Clinton | 50 | 3 | |
trump | 47 | ||||||
Satumba-26 | Binciken JMC | Shugaba | Louisiana | trump | 45 | 10 | |
Clinton | 35 | ||||||
Satumba-26 | Babban Jami'ar | Shugaba | North Carolina | Clinton | 43 | 1 | |
trump | 42 | ||||||
Satumba-26 | Kwalejin Loras | Shugaba | Iowa | trump | 38 | kunnen doki | |
Clinton | 38 | ||||||
Satumba-26 | CNN/ORC | Shugaba | Colorado | Clinton | 49 | 2 | |
trump | 47 | ||||||
Satumba-26 | Jami'ar Christopher Newport. | Shugaba | Virginia | Clinton | 48 | 10 | |
trump | 38 | ||||||
Satumba-26 | Cherry Communications | Shugaba | Florida | Clinton | 45 | 3 | |
trump | 42 | ||||||
Satumba-25 | Cibiyar Binciken UNH | Shugaba | Maine | Clinton | 40 | 4 | |
trump | 36 | ||||||
Satumba-25 | SurveyUSA | Shugaba | Minnesota | Clinton | 49 | 6 | |
trump | 43 | ||||||
Satumba-25 | YouGov/CBS Labarai | Shugaba | Missouri | trump | 46 | 9 | |
Clinton | 37 | ||||||
Satumba-23 | Binciken GQR | Shugaba | Nevada | Clinton | 49 | 3 | |
trump | 46 | ||||||
Satumba-23 | Binciken GQR | Shugaba | Ohio | trump | 46 | kunnen doki | |
Clinton | 46 | ||||||
Satumba-23 | Binciken JMC | Shugaba | Georgia | trump | 44 | 6 | |
Clinton | 38 | ||||||
Satumba-22 | Kwalejin Emerson | Shugaba | Illinois | Clinton | 49 | 12 | |
trump | 37 | ||||||
Satumba-22 | Kwalejin Hendrix | Shugaba | Arkansas | trump | 55 | 21 | |
Clinton | 34 | ||||||
Satumba-22 | Kwalejin Goucher | Shugaba | Maryland | Clinton | 58 | 33 | |
trump | 25 | ||||||
Satumba-22 | Kwalejin Emerson | Shugaba | Wisconsin | Clinton | 45 | 7 | |
trump | 38 | ||||||
Satumba-21 | PPIC | Shugaba | California | Clinton | 47 | 16 | |
trump | 31 | ||||||
Satumba-21 | Jami'ar Monmouth | Shugaba | New Hampshire | Clinton | 47 | 9 | |
trump | 38 | ||||||
Satumba-21 | Binciken DFM | Shugaba | Wyoming | trump | 54 | 35 | |
Clinton | 19 | ||||||
Satumba-20 | Kwalejin Siena | Shugaba | New York | Clinton | 51 | 21 | |
trump | 30 | ||||||
Satumba-20 | Binciken DFM | Shugaba | North Dakota | trump | 43 | 11 | |
Clinton | 32 | ||||||
Satumba-18 | Ba da jimawa ba zabe | Shugaba | Oklahoma | trump | 51 | 15 | |
Clinton | 36 | ||||||
Satumba-15 | Epic-MRA | Shugaba | Michigan | Clinton | 42 | 4 | |
trump | 38 | ||||||
Satumba-15 | Texas Lyceum | Shugaba | Texas | trump | 42 | 6 | |
Clinton | 36 | ||||||
Satumba-14 | Trafalgar Group | Shugaba | South Carolina | trump | 53 | 15 | |
Clinton | 38 | ||||||
Satumba-14 | WBUR | Shugaba | Massachusetts | Clinton | 60 | 29 | |
trump | 31 | ||||||
09-Dec | Dan Jones & Assoc. | Shugaba | Utah | trump | 39 | 15 | |
Clinton | 24 | ||||||
09-Dec | SurveyUSA | Shugaba | Kansas | trump | 48 | 12 | |
Clinton | 36 | ||||||
09-Nuwamba | Labaran NBC/WSJ/Marist | Shugaba | Arizona | trump | 42 | 1 | |
Clinton | 41 | ||||||
09-Satumba | Siyasar WHR/Howey | Shugaba | Indiana | trump | 43 | 7 | |
Clinton | 36 | ||||||
09-Yuli | Kwalejin Emerson | Shugaba | New Jersey | Clinton | 47 | 4 | |
trump | 43 | ||||||
09-Yuli | Kwalejin Emerson | Shugaba | Connecticut | Clinton | 50 | 15 | |
trump | 35 | ||||||
09-Yuli | Kwalejin Emerson | Shugaba | Rhode Island | Clinton | 44 | 3 | |
trump | 41 | ||||||
09-Yuli | Kwalejin Emerson | Shugaba | Vermont | Clinton | 47 | 21 | |
trump | 26 | ||||||
09-Yuli | DHM Bincike | Shugaba | Oregon | Clinton | 38 | 13 | |
trump | 25 | ||||||
09-Yuni | Washington Post/Biri Bincike | Shugaba | Alabama | trump | 57 | 21 | |
Clinton | 36 | ||||||
09-Yuni | Washington Post/Biri Bincike | Shugaba | Hawaii | Clinton | 58 | 30 | |
trump | 28 | ||||||
09-Yuni | Washington Post/Biri Bincike | Shugaba | Mississippi | trump | 48 | 2 | |
Clinton | 46 | ||||||
09-Yuni | Washington Post/Biri Bincike | Shugaba | New Mexico | Clinton | 51 | 14 | |
trump | 37 | ||||||
09-Yuni | Washington Post/Biri Bincike | Shugaba | West Virginia | trump | 57 | 24 | |
Clinton | 33 | ||||||
09-Yuni | Washington Post/Biri Bincike | Shugaba | Alaska | trump | 47 | 8 | |
Clinton | 39 | ||||||
09-Yuni | Washington Post/Biri Bincike | Shugaba | Idaho | trump | 53 | 19 | |
Clinton | 34 | ||||||
09-Yuni | Washington Post/Biri Bincike | Shugaba | Montana | trump | 51 | 13 | |
Clinton | 38 | ||||||
09-Yuni | Washington Post/Biri Bincike | Shugaba | South Dakota | trump | 51 | 14 | |
Clinton | 37 | ||||||
09-Yuni | Washington Post/Biri Bincike | Shugaba | Washington | Clinton | 53 | 16 | |
trump | 37 | ||||||
09-Yuni | Washington Post/Biri Bincike | Shugaba | Delaware | Clinton | 50 | 14 | |
trump | 36 | ||||||
09-Yuni | Washington Post/Biri Bincike | Shugaba | Kentucky | trump | 57 | 23 | |
Clinton | 34 | ||||||
09-Yuni | Washington Post/Biri Bincike | Shugaba | Nebraska | trump | 49 | 11 | |
Clinton | 38 | ||||||
09-Yuni | Washington Post/Biri Bincike | Shugaba | Tennessee | trump | 55 | 18 | |
Clinton | 37 |
Hillary ta shafe watanni tana kashe miliyoyin daloli kan tallan kafafen yada labarai Sadarwa (kimanin dala biliyan 4 a cikin 'yan makonnin nan) yayin da Trump ya yi amfani da rigimar da ke tattare da shi don tallata kanta (da wuya ranar da ba a bayyana a duk kafafen watsa labarai saboda wasu dalilai) kuma a yanzu ta fara saka hannun jari a talla don yada sakonta (an kiyasta cewa Ya kashe $ 200.000 "bashi".).
Abin da ke bayyane shi ne cewa a yau za mu halarci wani abu na musamman a cikin muhawara inda Kowanne dan takara zai iya fuskantar koma baya a zaben. ta ishara kamar feints gaji A wajen Hillary ko tashin hankali baki a lamarin Trump.
Duk ƙasar za ta yi nazari sosai kan abin da muhawarar ta daren yau ta kawo wanda zai iya canza komai, kuma za ku iya yin hakan daga gidan yanar gizon mu, tare da tattaunawa ta kai tsaye don mujiyoyin dare;).
Ra'ayin ku
Akwai wasu al'ada yin sharhi Idan ba a sadu da su ba, za su kai ga fitar da su nan take da dindindin daga gidan yanar gizon.
EM ba ta da alhakin ra'ayoyin masu amfani da ita.
Kuna so ku tallafa mana? Zama Majiɓinci kuma sami keɓantaccen dama ga bangarorin.