Hillary ta dawo kan Trump… a yanzu

Bayan makwanni biyu masu ban tsoro ga Donald Trump, tare da kalamai marasa dadi, hasarar muhawara, da badakalar kudi, Hillary yanzu ta sake samun kan gaba a zaben.

A cewar RealClearPolitics, a karshe Hillary za ta yi nasara da kuri'u 322 zuwa 216, kuma za ta yi nasara a manyan jihohin Virginia, Florida ko North Carolina.

A nata bangaren, FiveThirthyEight, wadda ba ta sanya Jihohi ba, sai dai akwai yiwuwar a kowace Jiha, a halin yanzu tana baiwa Hillary matsakaicin adadin wakilai 315.8, idan aka kwatanta da na Trump na 222.0. Da wannan bayanai a hannu, ya yi kiyasin cewa yiwuwar uwargidan tsohon shugaban kasar ta lashe kujerar shugaban kasa ya zarce kashi 75%.

Duk da haka, ta wata hanya ba a yanke shawarar komai ba. Gidan yanar gizon RealClearPolitics ya yi la'akari da cewa Hillary tana da wakilai 205 ne kawai daga cikin 270 da take bukata don lashe Fadar White House. Har yanzu akwai wakilai 168 da ba a tantance ba, wanda zai iya ba da daidaito a bangaren Republican. Su ne waɗanda suka yi daidai da jihohin Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Colorado, Nevada, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Iowa, Maine, Arizona da Georgia.

Tattaunawa kaɗan, FiveThirtyEight ya ƙirƙira zane wanda a kowane lokaci yana ba da umarni ga Jihohi gwargwadon girman girman su ga ɗan takara ɗaya ko wani. A wannan lokacin, jihar ta tsakiya, wacce za ta yanke shawarar tseren idan aka yi kunnen doki a tsakanin sauran, ita ce Colorado. Florida, Pennsylvania ko Nevada wasu jihohi ne da za su iya samun kansu a cikin minti na karshe a matsayin dole su karya kunnen doki.

Menene zai faru a ƙarshe? Da sannu za a san shi. Muhawarar da za a yi tsakanin 'yan takara a ranar 9 ga wata na iya karkatar da layin da za a raba zuwa wani bangare ko daya. Jaridar Washington Post ta bayyana shi da kyau tare da wannan kyauta mai sauƙi inda aka gabatar da wasan kwaikwayo da yawa a jere a gaban idanunmu: har yanzu akwai sauran rina a kaba har zuwa 9 ga Nuwamba kuma kusan komai yana yiwuwa.