Wanene zai zama dan takarar UMP a zaben shugaban Faransa na gaba?
A cewar wani bincike na baya-bayan nan na IFOP FRANCE, abubuwan da 'yan ƙasar Faransa suka zaɓa don jagorantar takarar UMP shine:
- Alain Juppé: 30%
- Nicolas Sarkozy: 20%
- François Fillon: 5%
- Xavier Bertrand: 2%
A cikin watanni biyu, tun bayan binciken da ya gabata, fifikon Juppé ya ragu da maki 8 da na Sarkozy da 2.
Amma wannan bayanin na iya zama yaudara, tun da ya haɗa da ra'ayin mutanen da ba za su taɓa zabar UMP ba. Idan muka mai da hankali kan magoya bayan UMP (da masu jefa ƙuri'a) hoton ya bambanta sosai:
- Alain Juppé: 27%
- Nicolas Sarkozy: 58%
- François Fillon: 5%
- Xavier Bertrand: 2%
A cikin wadannan watanni biyu juyin Juppé ya ragu, inda ya tashi daga 36% zuwa 27%, yayin da Sarkozy ya tashi daga 52% zuwa 58%, yana ƙarfafa takararsa, wanda ya zo daidai da lokacin da aka sake zabensa a matsayin shugaban jam'iyyar.
Saboda alaƙar siyasa, Juppé ya yi nasara a cikin duk waɗanda ba su ji tausayin UMP da Sarkozy ba a cikin waɗanda ke tausayawa:
Skirted | Sarkozy | |
LO/NPA | 19% | 10% |
FdG | 26% | 5% |
PS | 52% | 5% |
E-LV | 38% | 7% |
Modem | 54% | 10% |
IDU | 71% | 7% |
UMP | 27% | 58% |
FN | 15% | 30% |
Wannan yana wakiltar yanke shawara mai rikitarwa ga UMP. A gefe guda, tare da Sarkozy a matsayin dan takara yana da damar zuwa zagaye na biyu fiye da Juppé. Amma idan ya je zagaye na biyu, a karawar da Marine Le Pen, Sarkozy na da rahusa idan aka kwatanta da Juppé wajen janyo kuri'u daga tsakiya da na hagu.
A gefe guda kuma, ga Marine Le Pen, mafi kyawun yanayin zai kasance cewa 'yan takarar UMP da PS sun tafi Sarkozy da Hollande.
Takardar bayanai:
- Aikin filin: Janairu 28 zuwa 30
- Misali: 1.927 mutane
- http://www.ifop.com/media/poll/2920-1-study_file.pdf
Ra'ayin ku
Akwai wasu al'ada yin sharhi Idan ba a sadu da su ba, za su kai ga fitar da su nan take da dindindin daga gidan yanar gizon.
EM ba ta da alhakin ra'ayoyin masu amfani da ita.
Kuna so ku tallafa mana? Zama Majiɓinci kuma sami keɓantaccen dama ga bangarorin.