Hoʻonui ka OECD i nā wānana waiwai no ka honua holoʻokoʻa, a no Sepania, ʻoi aku

ka holomua i nā hoʻolaha hoʻolaha kūʻē iā Covid-19 a me ka hoolaha ana o nā hana hoʻoulu kālā hou, ma ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa, a me ka hoʻololi maikaʻi ʻana o nā ʻoihana i nā palena i kau ʻia e pani i nā nalu hou o ka maʻi maʻi i ʻae i ka Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) hoʻoponopono hou i kona mau manaʻo hoʻokele waiwai ma ka papa.

Ma ka wānana wanana i paʻi ʻia i kēia Pōʻalua, ua hoʻolālā ka OECD a ka ulu ʻana o GDP honua o 5,6% i 2021, ma hope o ka hāʻule ʻana o 3,4% i ʻike ʻia ma 2020, e hōʻike ana i kahi ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana o 1,4 pākēneka i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me nā wānana Dekemaba i hala, oiai hoʻonui i kāna wānana ulu no 2022 e ʻekolu hapaʻumi, i 4%.

Ma kēia ʻano, helu ka OECD i kēlā E ʻoi aku ka ʻoihana honua ma mua o nā pae hana pre-pandemic "ma waena o 2021," ʻoiai ke ao nei i ke ola ʻana o nā hōʻailona e kuhikuhi ana i ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana o nā ʻāina a me nā ʻāpana, no laila, ʻo ka hoʻihoʻi hou ʻana i ka pae honua e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka ikaika ma ka hopena o 2022 ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia ma mua o Covid- 19.

Ma kēia ʻano, kuhikuhi ʻo ia i kēlā ʻO nā hana hoʻopaʻa paʻa i hoʻokō ʻia e lohi i ka ulu ʻana ma kekahi mau ʻāina a me nā ʻāpana lawelawe i ka wā pōkole, aʻo nā ʻāina a me nā ʻāpana ʻē aʻe e pōmaikaʻi mai nā kulekele olakino olakino maikaʻi loa, ʻoi aku ka wikiwiki o ka holo kano a me ke kākoʻo nui o ka lehulehu. "ʻOiai ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana o nā manaʻo o ka honua, e hoʻomau ka hana a me ka loaʻa kālā ma nā ʻāina he nui ma lalo o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia ma mua o ka maʻi maʻi ma ka hopena o 2022," wahi a ka hui i alakaʻi ʻia e Mexican Ángel Gurría. Ma kāna hōʻano hou, wānana ka OECD e ulu ana nā ʻoihana G20 e 2021% i 6,2, hoʻokahi a me ka hapa pākēneka i ʻoi aku ma mua o ka manaʻo o Dekemaba, a me 4,1% i ka makahiki aʻe, ʻehā hapaʻumi ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia.

Ma ka hihia o ʻāpana Euro, Hāʻawi ka loiloi OECD i kahi ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana o ʻekolu hapaʻumi i ka wānana ulu no 2021, a hiki i ka 3,9%, ʻoiai ma 2022 GDP e hoʻonui ʻia he 3,8%, ʻoi aku ka hapalua o ka hapa pakeneka ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia ma Dekemaba.

Eia naʻe, ʻO ka mea pōmaikaʻi nui o nā wānana OECD hou ʻo ia ka US, nona ka GDP i manaʻo ʻia no 2021 e ulu e 6,5%, e hōʻike ana i ka piʻi ʻana o 3,3 pakeneka i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me Kekemapa, mahalo i ka hoʻonui ʻana mai ka pūʻulu hoʻoulu hou o 1,9 trillion dollars (1,6 trillion euros), e hiki ai ke hoʻonui i ka 4. % ma 2022, ʻoi aku ka hapalua o ka hapa pakeneka ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo mua ʻia.

Ma kou aoao, Ua ʻike ʻo Kina i ka ʻoki iki ʻana o kāna projection ka ulu ʻana no kēia makahiki, a hiki i ka 7,8% mai ka 8% i manaʻo ʻia i ka mahina ʻo Dekemaba i hala, aʻo ka OECD e mālama i kāna kuhi ʻana o 4,9% ka ulu ʻana ma 2022.

ʻOiai ka hoʻomaikaʻi maʻamau o nā wānana, ua ʻōlelo ka hui i kēlā mau pilikia nui, ʻOiai ʻo ka holomua ʻoi aku o ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana i nā ʻāina hiki ke wikiwiki i ka hāpai ʻana i nā mea paʻa a hoʻonui i ka hilinaʻi a me ka hoʻolilo ʻana, ʻoi aku ka lohi o ka holomua a i ʻole ka puka ʻana o nā virus mutations hou e kū nei i nā kano i loaʻa i ka hoʻokele waiwai a me ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hana a me nā panakalupa ʻoihana.

No Sepania, ua loaʻa ua hoʻonui i kāna wānana ulu ʻana e ʻehiku hapaʻumi o ka waiwai nui o loko (GDP) o Sepania no ka 2021, hiki i ka 5,7%, e like me ka hōʻike hou o Malaki o kāna hōʻike 'Economic Perspective', i paʻi ʻia i kēia Poalua a me Ua hoʻokiʻekiʻe ʻo ia i kāna mau wānana no ka hoʻokele waiwai Sepania e ʻewalu hapaʻumi ma 2022, no laila ke manaʻo nei lākou e hoʻonui i ka 4,8%.

ʻO ka ulu ʻana no kēia makahiki a hiki mai ma hope o Sepania e hoʻopaʻa inoa i kahi hāʻule GDP o 2020% i 11. ʻO kēia helu ka nui loa o nā ʻoihana G20 āpau. Ma hope o Argentina, me ka hāʻule o 10,5%, a me United Kingdom, me 9,9%.

ʻatikala i hoʻomākaukau ʻia e EM ma muli o ka ʻike mai Europa Press