Kelemānia: ka nānā ʻana i ke kūlana ma hope o hoʻokahi pule o ka piʻi ʻana o ka AfD.

ʻIke pōkole o Kelemānia he ʻumi lā ma hope o ke kai eʻe koho balota AfD i nā koho balota kūloko o Baden-Württemberg, Rhineland-Palatinate a me Saxony-Anhalt.

No ka ʻike ʻana i nā hopena o kēlā mau koho balota, ua lawa ka ʻike ʻana i ka loli i hōʻike ʻia e nā noiʻi ma waena o nā barometers ma mua o kēlā lā a me nā mea ma hope, me ka noʻonoʻo ʻana ʻaʻole like nā manawa (ʻo kēlā me kēia mahina, ʻelua pule a i ʻole pule) no laila ka hopena o ka hopena. o na koho balota e loaa na nuances.

ʻO ka hōʻuluʻulu ʻana i ka ʻikepili mai nā barometers nui (Infratest dimap, Emnid, Forsa, FgW, GMS a me INSA), me ka hoʻolei ʻana iā Allensbach no ka hoʻopuka ʻole ʻana i kekahi barometer me ka hana ma hope o Malaki 13, loaʻa kēia mau ʻikepili:

• AfD: e ulu ana ma na anaana a pau, mai ka 1 a i ka 3 helu.
• CDU/CSU: ke au i lalo. I loko o 4 barometer e hāʻule i 1 a i ʻole 2 mau helu. Ma 2 barometers e noho paʻa.
• FDP: hoʻomaikaʻi iki. Me he mea lā ke ola nei ka poʻe liberal i kēia mau wai ʻino. Ma 2 mau noiʻi e iho ana lākou i ka helu 1 akā ma ka 4 ʻē aʻe, piʻi lākou i ka helu 0,5 i 2 mau helu GMS.
• ʻO Grüne: ulu i nā noiʻi āpau, ʻo ka loaʻa ʻana o ka lawaiʻa he muliwai ʻeha. Piʻi lākou mai ka 1 a 3 mau helu.
• SPD: hāʻule nui, nalowale lākou i ka 1 a i ka 3 helu. ʻO Insa wale nō ka mea e paʻa ai. ʻO lākou ka mea i hoʻopilikia nui ʻia.
• Linke: ʻano iho i lalo i kahi pāʻina me he mea lā he offside a ʻaʻole pane. E lilo ana ʻoe i 0,5 a 2 mau helu. ʻO Emnid wale nō ka mea nāna lākou e paʻa.

No ka helu ʻana i ka evolution, hōʻike ʻia ka awelika o nā noiʻi 6:

• AfD: +1,7%
• CDU/CSU: -1%
• FDP: +0,4%
• Grüne: +1,8%
• SPD: -1,7%
• loulou: -1,1%

Ma Sepatemaba he ʻelua mau koho koho āpana hou. Ma Berlin, manaʻo ʻia ka AfD e hōʻea i ka 10% o nā balota, akā ʻaʻole pilikia ke aupuni hui nui ma ka ʻāina. A ma Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania hiki i ka AfD ke hahai i ke ala o Saxony-Anhalt, kekahi ʻāina hikina ʻē aʻe, a loaʻa maʻalahi ka 20% o nā balota. ʻAʻole pilikia hoʻi ke aupuni hui nui.

ʻO ke ʻano ma Kelemānia e hele mai 2 mau pāʻina nui (CDU/CSU a me SPD) a me 2 mau ʻāpana liʻiliʻi (Grüne a me Linke) i 2 nui (ʻo ia hoʻi), 2 medium-sized (AfD a me Grüne) a me 2 liʻiliʻi ( ʻO FDP a me Linke) a me ka pīhoihoi, ma nā pae ʻekolu e loaʻa kahi ʻaoʻao hema a me kahi ʻaoʻao ʻākau, ma kā lākou mau ʻano like ʻole. ʻO ka hemahema, ʻoiai ʻaʻole i manaʻo ʻia ʻo AfD a me Linke i nā ʻaoʻao "maikaʻi" e kūkākūkā ai, ua hoʻemi nui ʻia nā hiki o nā hui aupuni ... kokoke e pau nā mea āpau i kahi hui nui.

He ʻatikala mai CDDMT.