Ke ʻimi nei ʻo Kelemania i ka hui ʻana e hoʻomalu iā ia

Ma lalo o hoʻokahi mahina ma mua o ke koho balota Kelemania Kepakemapa 24, He liʻiliʻi ka kānalua e pili ana i ka hopena holoʻokoʻa, akā he nui e pili ana i nā hui aupuni e hiki mai ana.

ʻO kahi kokoke 630 mau lālā o ka Bundestag (kona keena o na elele), ua kohoia e ka oihana like loa mawaena o na aoao a pau i oi aku i ka 5% o na balota ma ka pae aupuni. ʻO kēia ka mea e koho i ke kuhina no ka manawa ʻehā makahiki.

ʻO ka CDU/CSU o Mālama ʻo Angela Merkel i kahi alakaʻi ʻoluʻolu e pili ana iā Schulz's SPD, ʻaʻole i hoʻōla wale ʻia akā e nalowale liʻiliʻi ana ke kaumaha. Eia nō naʻe, ʻoiai ʻo Merkel kahi mamao loa mai kahi hypothetical absolute majority, ʻo ka mea a nā mea a pau e noʻonoʻo nei e pili ana i nā hui like ʻole.

I ka makahiki i hala ua ka ulu ana o ka awelika anaana ʻO ia kēia, e like me Pollytix:

Ua pau koke ka hopena o ke koho balota ʻana o Schulz i ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka makahiki. ʻAʻole i loaʻa i kāna ʻaoʻao nā kūlana, a ke hoʻomau nei ka emi ʻana.

Puna: http://www.wahlrecht.de

He haʻahaʻa ka manaʻolana o nā ʻaoʻao nui ʻelua ma mua o ʻehā mau makahiki i hala aku nei, akā ma ke ʻano holoʻokoʻa ke hoʻomau nei lākou ma nā laina like. ʻO ka mea nui ma nā wahi ʻē aʻe: in ka pale koho o 5% o na balota. ʻO ka poʻe i hiki ʻole i kēlā helu, ua kāpae ʻia lākou mai ka māhele like ʻana o nā noho ma ka hale pāremata, ke ʻole e loaʻa iā lākou ʻekolu mau ʻelele ma nā ʻāpana koho hoʻokahi, ʻaʻole i loaʻa i kekahi o nā ʻaoʻao liʻiliʻi. No laila, hiki ke nalowale he mau miliona balota. I kēia manawa, ʻo ka Greens (Grüne), ka Liberals (FDP), ka hema (Die Linke) a me ka ʻaoʻao ʻākau (AfD) me he mea lā e hōʻoiaʻiʻo ʻia e hiki i kēlā 5%, akā ʻaʻole hiki ke hoʻoholo ʻia ʻo kekahi o lākou. e waiho ʻia. Ina pela, e hoololiia ke koena o na koa, no ka mea, e waiho ana he mau miliona balota mai ka mahele ana aku i na elele, a o kekahi mau hui hui i keia manawa me he mea la ua mamao loa mai ka loaa ana o 50% o na noho, hiki ke hiki ia lakou.

Hōʻike nā mea āpau i kēlā E koho ʻo Kelemania i kahi ʻōnaehana ʻelua ʻaoʻao kūpono ʻole (2+4), me ʻelua mau ʻaoʻao nui a me ʻeono mau pūʻulu ma ka pāremata. Inā pēlā, ʻo ka pāʻani o hiki ke hui I ka nānā ʻana i ka awelika o nā noiʻi i kēia manawa, ʻo ia kēia:

ʻO ka hui kuʻikahi paʻa loa, ʻo ia ka mea e ʻoi aku ma mua o 50% o nā balota, ʻo ia ka hoʻopuka hou ʻana o ka ʻaelike nui ma waena o nā Christian Democrats a me Social Democrats (CDU+SPD). Eia naʻe, me he mea lā i kēia manawa ke makemake nei nā mea a pau e ʻimi ʻia ka hapa nui. ʻO nā hui hoʻohiki maikaʻi loa:

• Huihui "Jamaica".. E hui hou ia i ka hui o Merkel me nā liberal a me nā greens. Hāʻawi nā koho balota a pau iā ia i ka hapa nui, a loaʻa iā ia nā mea mua ma nā ʻaelike Lander a me ka'āina.
• ʻO ka hui pū ʻana o Merkel's CDU me nā ʻēheu ʻākau o ka AFD. ʻAʻole paha ia, no ka mea, ʻo ka AfD kahi pāʻina i pāpā ʻia e nā hui politika ʻē aʻe.
• Huihui o ka CDU me ka poe liberal. ʻO ia ka pili punahele a ka poʻe he nui, ʻoiai e like me nā koho balota o kēia manawa ʻaʻole hiki iā ia ke (haiki loa) hiki i 50% o nā noho. Eia nō naʻe, inā ʻaʻole i hiki i kekahi o nā ʻaoʻao liʻiliʻi ʻē aʻe i ka 5% o nā balota, ʻoi aku paha ka nui o ka CDU+FDP i ka 50% i makemake ʻia o ka Bundestag.
• Huihui CDU+Omaomao. ʻOiai he mea ʻē paha ia, ua hoʻāʻo ʻia ka hui ʻana, a ua manaʻo ʻo Greens i kahi kuleana "waena" i ka politika Kelemania e hiki ai. ʻO kona mau mea hiki, ma ka makemakika, ua like a i ʻole ka haʻahaʻa ma mua o ko ka CDU+FDP coalition.
• Huina hema. ʻO kēia koho, i ʻike ʻia i kekahi mau mahina i hala aku nei i hiki ke hoʻokō ʻia, ua hoʻopau ʻia i ka manawa like me ka SPD. I kēia manawa, ʻo nā ʻaoʻao nāna e hoʻohui iā ia he mau hapa pakeneka o ka hiki ke hiki. ʻO kahi hoʻololi nui wale nō i nā pule e hiki mai ana e ʻae ʻia ma ka papa.
• Huihui o ka ka poʻe democrats kaiaulu me nā'ōmaʻomaʻo a me nā liberals. ʻAʻole like ia e like me ka mea ma mua.

Me ka emi o ka mahina ma mua o ke koho balota, hiki ke loli. He nui nā laʻana i ka wā i hala o nā koho balota i manaʻo ʻia he hopena mua loa nā hopena a i hoʻopau ʻia ma kahi ala kamahaʻo. E noʻonoʻo mākou, no ka mea, hoʻokani ʻia ka hapa nui o ka wā e hiki mai ana o ʻEulopa i ka lā 24 Kepakemapa ma Kelemania.