USA: alakaʻi i ʻole e poina kekahi mea ma ka helu koho balota ma ka Poalua 8N aʻe.

Eia kahi alakaʻi liʻiliʻi e hahai ai a nānā i ka hiki ʻana mai o nā hopena i ka lā o ke Koho ʻAmelika. Inā like nā manawa pani balota i 4 mau makahiki i hala, e hōʻea nā hopena penei:

00:00 manawa Paniolo. Se E pani ʻia nā koho balota ma Vermont, Virginia, Kentucky, Indiana, South Carolina a me Georgia.

ʻO nā mokuʻāina kahi e nānā nui ʻia ai nā hopena ʻo Indiana, Georgia a me Virginia:

Hawaii: Ua ʻoiaʻiʻo ka lanakila o ka Repubalika mai No laila ʻo Mike Pence. Eia naʻe, pono e uku e nana pono i ka palena o ka lanakila, a me ka mahele ʻana i nā hopena Repubalika ma ka mokuʻāina. I ka makahiki 2012, ua lanakila ʻo Mitt Romney iā Indiana ma kahi palena he 10, he lanakila paʻa loa (ʻoiai ua lawe liʻiliʻi ʻo Obama i ka mokuʻāina i 4 mau makahiki ma mua). Inā hoʻonui ka palena, e hōʻike ana e loaʻa iā Trump kahi manawa ma nā mokuʻāina Midwestern like demographically e like me Ohio, Iowa, Michigan a me Wisconsin, aneane e lanakila ana i nā mea mua ʻelua..

He mea koʻikoʻi ka Midwest no Trump, no ka mea, he kakaikahi ka poʻe Hepanika (koe wale nō ma Illinois, he mokuʻāina Demokarata). ʻO ka poʻe ʻAmelika ʻAmelika, ʻo ka mea nui ke koho balota ma Michigan a me Ohio, hiki ke hoʻohaʻahaʻa i ko lākou komo ʻana, a aia ka nui o nā poʻe keʻokeʻo aʻo ʻole, kahi hui kaiaulu kahi e kākoʻo nui ai ʻo Trump.

Inā, ma ka ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe, hoʻemi ʻo Trump i kāna palena ma Indiana, he mea hiki ʻole iā ia ke lanakila iā Michigan, Wisconsin a me Pennsylvania, a paʻakikī loa iā ia ke lanakila ma Ohio..

E pili ana i ka hāʻawi ʻana i nā hopena ma ka mokuʻāina, pono e nānā i ka ʻO Indianapolis kahi kokoke. He poe Repubalika loa keia, aka, he nui na keokeo naauao iloko o lakou. Inā iho ʻo Trump i kēia wahi, hiki iā ia ke lilo i nā mokuʻāina me ka hapa nui o lākou e like me North Carolina, Colorado a me Virginia.. Inā mālama ʻo ia, a piʻi aʻe e like me ka mea i manaʻo ʻia ma nā wahi kuaʻāina, e loaʻa paha ka lanakila ma nā mokuʻāina ʻo Ohio, Wisconsin i ʻōlelo ʻia ma mua.

KEOKIA: Mokuaina kī i ka wānana i nā hopena o Florida a me North Carolina. Inā e emi ana ka palena lanakila o ka Repubalika (8 mau helu ma 2012), a laila aneane hiki ʻole ke lanakila no Trump ma ia mau mokuʻāina. Inā, ma ka ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka hāʻule ʻana o ka poʻe ʻeleʻele ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia, a mālama ʻo Trump i nā poʻe keʻokeʻo hoʻonaʻauao ma waho o Atlanta (me ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana me nā keʻokeʻo hema kuaʻāina), nā lanakila ma North Carolina a ma Florida paha (ʻoiai ʻo ka Aia ma laila ke kumu Hispanic) e hoʻopaʻa ʻia

Virginia: E lawe ʻo Hillary Clinton iā ia me ka maopopo, No laila ʻo Tim Kaine a ke lilo nei ka mokuaina i ka Demokarata. I ka makahiki 2012, ua lanakila ʻo Obama iā ia ma nā helu 3. E hoʻomaikaʻi maoli ʻo Hillary i ka hopena, me ka holomua ma Virginia Beach a me waho o Wakinekona. Inā piʻi ka palena i nā helu 6-7, hiki i North Carolina ke lilo i polū. Ina e emi iho, e mau ana, a e pii malu paha (3-4/5 points, Kaine effect only), he ulaula maoli no o North Carolina.

ʻO nā mokuʻāina ʻē aʻe kahi e hiki mua ai nā hopena iā mākou, ʻaʻole liʻiliʻi e kuhikuhi. ʻO Karolina Hema e like me Georgia wale nō ka ʻaoʻao Repubalika e ʻoi aku ka nui.

00:30 (manawa Paniolo)

Ua pani nā koho balota ma Ohio, West Virginia a me North Carolina. Maanei e hoʻomaka ai mākou e loaʻa kahi manaʻo pehea e hele ai nā kiʻi.

En WV, kekahi o nā mokuʻāina kahi i kaulana nui ai ʻo Trump, na ka repubalika e kahili

Akā ʻo ka mea hoihoi penei:

Ohio: kūlana koʻikoʻi loa. Si pu eo ma Ohio, ua hikiʻole hiki iaʻu ke lanakila. I ka makahiki 2012, ua lanakila ʻo Obama ma nā helu 2. ʻAʻole pono ʻo Trump e lanakila i ka mokuʻāina ma ka liʻiliʻi, akā ma kahi palena. Inā lanakila lākou ma ka 0, 5, a i ʻole 1 mau helu, ʻaʻole lawa. Pono e lanakila ma nā helu 3-5 e loaʻa nā koho ma nā Moku'āina e like me Pennsylvania (ua lanakila ʻo Obama ma nā helu 5), ʻo Ohio (ua lanakila ʻo Obama ma 7), ʻo Michigan (ua lanakila ʻo Obama ma nā helu 10). ʻO Ohio ka mea nui e hahai i ke koho balota.

Pono mākou e hoʻolohe i kā lākou mau pakeneka ma nā wahi keʻokeʻo i hoʻonaʻauao ʻia (ma waho o Columbus a me Cincinnati), a me nā wahi keʻokeʻo i hoʻonaʻauao ʻole ʻia (nā wahi kuaʻāina a me ka ʻaoʻao hikina o ka mokuʻāina. Pono mākou e hoʻolohe i nā kalana o Trumbull, Mahoning, Summit...) hiki ke lilo i mea liʻiliʻi loa. Eia hou, inā e hoʻomaikaʻi ʻo ia i nā keʻokeʻo i hoʻonaʻauao ʻole ʻia ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia, e wehe ʻia kahi ala lanakila nui ma Midwest. Inā ʻoi aku ka ʻino ma mua o nā haʻawina e wānana, e hāʻule paha ʻo North Carolina i ke kolamu Demokarata.

KAROLINA AKAU: Pono mākou e nānā i nā pākēneka ma waho o Charlotte (inā ʻoi aʻe ka maikaʻi e hana maikaʻi ʻole ia), ma nā helu komo i nā kalana kāʻei ʻeleʻele a me nā kūlanakauhale e like me Charlotte a i ʻole Fayetteville, a inā e hoʻomaikaʻi maikaʻi ʻia ma ke kuaʻāina a wahi mauna o ke komohana o ka moku'āina.

ʻAʻole maopopo iaʻu pehea ka lōʻihi e hiki mai ai nā hopena, akā ma hope o kēia mau mokuʻāina hiki iā mākou ke loaʻa ka manaʻo o ka mea e lanakila i ke koho balota.

* Pono e hoʻomanaʻo ʻia kēlā ka Nā hualoaʻa mai na kuaaina mai, ua hoea mua aku no hoi ma mua o ko na kaona, no laila, oiai me he mea la e alakai mua ana na Repubalika, o ka hiki ana mai o na hopena hou mai na kulanakauhale mai, ua hiki ke hoololi i ke kulana.

01:00, pani lākou Las nā koho balota ma Maine, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New Jersey, Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania, District of Columbia, Florida, Mississippi, Alabama, Tennessee, Illinois, Missouri a me Oklahoma. I keia manawa ua hoomaka mua e helu ia na balota ma ka hapalua o na Mokuaina.

Pono mākou e makaʻala i Florida koʻikoʻi, Pennsylvania a me New Hampshire.

Hawaii: Ua lanakila 'o Obama ma ka helu 0 i ka makahiki 9. pu pono ʻoe e lanakila i ka ʻae a i ʻole, ʻoiai e paʻakikī ana. Manaʻo ʻia ka emi ʻana o ka komo ʻana o ka ʻeleʻele, akā ʻo ka piʻi ʻana o ke komo ʻana o ka Hepanika (ʻoi aʻe ka Democratic).

E loaʻa iā Trump ka hapa nui o nā balota ma waena o nā keʻokeʻo hema o ka ʻĀkau o ka mokuʻāina a me nā ʻelemakule o ka peninsula (ʻo Florida ka mokuʻāina me ka poʻe kahiko loa o ka ʻāina).

Inā loaʻa iā ʻoe hoʻoponopono ʻoi aku ka nui o kāna mau hopena me nā keʻokeʻo, a ʻo ka piʻi ʻana o ke komo ʻana o ka Hepanika i emi iho ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia, E lanakila ʻo Trump iā Florida a me ia he 29 mau balota koʻikoʻi.

Pono e hāʻawiʻia ka manaʻo kūikawā i kahi o Tampa (Ua lanakila ʻo Obama ma nā helu 6). Inā hoʻokō ʻo Trump e ʻoki i kēlā palena i ka 2-4 wale nō ma mua o Hillary, a hoʻomaikaʻi i ka ʻĀkau (e ʻike maopopo ʻia ʻo ia ma Miami, Palm Beach, Ft. Lauderdale, a me nā mea ʻē aʻe), he kiʻekiʻe kona kūlana lanakila.

PENNSYLVANIA: E hele ana paha iā Hillary. Si pu lanakila ma ʻaneʻi, e lanakila wau i ke koho balota. Pono mākou e hoʻolohe i ka Nā palena Demokalaka (0bama +6 i ka makahiki 2012), inā e hoʻonui lākou, aia ʻo Ohio ma ka ʻaoʻao polū, a ʻo ke koho pū kekahi. Inā emi lākou i 2-3 a i ʻole 4 mau helu, ua haʻalele wau.

ʻAmplias ʻO nā ʻāpana o Pennsylvania he mau ʻāina i ʻoluʻolu loa i ka ʻōlelo a Trump. ʻO ke kikowaena holoʻokoʻa a me ke komohana o ka Moku'āina ua piha i nā kūlanakauhale ʻoihana kahiko i ka emi ʻana e like me Altoona, Scranton, Wilkes-Barre, Youngstown... Maanei e hoʻomaikaʻi ʻo Trump i nā hopena o Romney. Aia paha ma Pittsburgh

Eia nō naʻe, ma ka ʻaoʻao hema hema o ka mokuʻāina (kahi i loaʻa ai ʻo Philadelphia), kahi e paʻa ai ka pā e pale ai i ka piliona kālā mai ka lawe ʻana i ka mokuʻāina. Philadelphia hiki ke lilo i ka Demokarata, a ʻo nā wahi o waho, me nā kalana uliuli māmā a me nā kalana ʻulaʻula māmā, hiki ke huli hema pū kekahi. (he nui ka poe keokeo naauao)

ʻO kēia wahi ʻo ia ka nui o nā kānaka ma Pennsylvania

HAMPSHIRE HOU: Hookahi Mokuaina hiki ʻole ke manaʻo ʻia a hiki ʻole, no ka uuku o kona heluna kanaka. Inā lanakila ʻo Trump ma ʻaneʻi, e lanakila nō ʻo ia ma ka ʻāpana ʻaha ʻaha ʻōlelo ʻelua o Maine, no laila e loaʻa ai kahi koho balota keu. Paʻakikī iā Trump e lanakila, akā ʻaʻole hiki ʻole. Hiki paha ke kūlana kowali inā lanakila ʻo ia iā FL, OH, NC, IA a me NV. Eia naʻe, ma muli o kona koʻikoʻi haʻahaʻa i ke kulanui koho (2 balota) ʻaʻole ia e like me nā mea ʻē aʻe, a ʻoi aku ka paʻakikī o ka wānana i ka hopena.

01: 30, Pau nā koho balota ma Arkansas

02:00, pani ʻia ma Rhode Island, New York, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Texas, Louisiana, Wyoming, Colorado, New Mexico a me Arizona.

Pono mākou e hoʻolohe iā Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona a me Colorado, ʻoiai i kēia manawa e ʻike maoli mākou i ka mea i lanakila.

Hawaii: Inā lanakila ʻo Trump ma Ohio, Iowa a lanakila a nalowale paha ma ka liʻiliʻi loa (1-2 mau helu) ma Pennsylvania, ʻoiaʻiʻo e lanakila ʻo ia i ka mokuʻāina. Inā eo ʻoe ma Ohio, aloha. inā lanakila haiki ʻo ia ma Ohio a pio ma kekahi palena ma Pennsylvania, e noho uliuli ka mokuʻāina. Lanakila no na Demokarata maanei.

Pono mākou e hoʻolohe i nā kalana ʻo Waukesha, Wakinekona a me Ozaukee, nā wahi paʻa Repubalika ma waho o Milwaukee. Inā noho ʻo Trump ma ʻaneʻi, a hoʻomaikaʻi i nā wahi kuaʻāina a me nā kūlanakauhale e like me Green Bay a me Appleton, e hele ʻo Wisconsin i ka ʻaoʻao Repubalika. Inā hāʻule nui ʻo ia i kēia wahi o ka poʻe keʻokeʻo i hoʻonaʻauao ʻia, nalowale kona mau manawa.

Hawaii: Ua lanakila nā Democrats ma kahi hapa nui ma ʻaneʻi i ka makahiki 2012 (10 mau helu) akā aia ka moku'āina i kahi ʻoluʻolu loa ka poʻe koho i ka ʻōlelo a Trump. He mokuʻāina ʻo Michigan i nalowale i kāna "hanohano" ʻoihana o ka wā i hala, a ʻo ka ʻōlelo a "Make America Great Again" hiki ke loaʻa ka hopena nui ma aneʻi. ʻO kahi hāʻule nui o ka huli ʻeleʻele (koʻikoʻi ma Detroit), a me ka piʻi nui ma waena o ka papa hana keʻokeʻo, e hāʻawi i ka mokuʻāina iā Trump.

Arizona: Si Hillary lanakila maʻaneʻi, e lanakila ana ʻoe i ke koho balota, aneane e lawe pū i Florida. He a Moku'āina e lilo ana i polū, akā inā ʻaʻole he "koho koho ʻāina" i makemake iā Hillary ʻaʻole me he mea la ua lanakila ka poe demokarata (no kēia manawa).

Hawaii. mokuaina paakiki no pu. Inā lanakila ʻo ia ma ʻaneʻi, ua lanakila ʻo ia i ke koho balota. Pono mākou e nānā i nā pākēneka o ke kākoʻo no nā Democrats ma ka liberal Denver a me Boulder, a no Republicans ma ke kūlanakauhale conservative o Colorado Springs (a ma nā wahi kuaʻāina). PAʻakikī loa iā Trump e lanakila ma ʻaneʻi.

*** He ʻatikala i hoʻomākaukau ʻia mai nā haʻawina a ka mea hoʻohana Cantabro99 i kā mākou ʻōlelo.