USA: ʻO ka Poalua Nui me nā papa mua Demokalaka no Clinton.

Ua kāhili ʻo Clinton i nā papa mua i mālama ʻia i kēia hopena pule.

Ma ka Poaono ma ka Virgin Islands, ua loaʻa iā Clinton nā ʻelele 7 i koho ʻia, me ka 5 superdelegates e kākoʻo ana iā ia (12 balota). Noho kūʻokoʻa ka ʻelele ʻē aʻe. ʻAʻohe mea e loaʻa iā Sanders ma kēia mau mokupuni.

Ma ka Lāpule ma Puerto Rico, ua loaʻa iā Clinton he 36 mau ʻelele a me 6 mau ʻelele nui (42 balota) i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me Sanders 'elele 24 a ʻaʻohe superdelegates (24 balota).

No laila, ʻoiai ʻaʻole ia he mea kupaianaha, ʻelua mau lanakila hou no Clinton a me ka hoʻonui ʻana i kona lanakila ma luna o Sanders o 30 mau balota no ka Hui Demokalaka e hiki mai ana.

ʻO ka lā ʻapōpō, Iune 7, ka lā hope loa, me nā papa haʻahaʻa ma 6 mau mokuʻāina e koho i nā ʻelele 694.. ʻO Kaleponi (475) a me New Jersey (126).

Iloko o na elele 694 a na Demokarata e koho ai i ka la apopo, mamuli o ka 285 o ka pomaikai i loaa ia Clinton maluna o Sanders, no ka loaa ana iaia he 490 mau elele.

Ke nānā nei i nā koho balota, ʻaneʻane hiki ʻole ke hopena. Ma Kaleponi, ua manaʻo ʻia he liʻiliʻi ka lanakila o Clinton (ma kahi o 3 mau helu) a ma New Jersey hiki iā Clinton ke lanakila ma 10%-15%, ʻoiai ma New Mexico (ke mokuʻāina aʻe me ka nui o nā ʻelele i koho ʻia i ka lā ʻapōpō, 34) hiki i 20 helu.

No ka nui o ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana e hāʻawi iā Sanders i ka lanakila haʻahaʻa ma Kaleponi a me kahi paʻa ma New Jersey a me New Mexico, ʻaʻole ia e lanakila i nā ʻelele e lanakila ai i ka hakahaka maikaʻi o Clinton.

ʻO Clinton vs Trump

Hāʻawi ʻia i ka duel ma mua o Nowemapa ma waena o Clinton (D) a me Trump (R), hōʻike nā wānana e pili ana i nā noiʻi. aia nō he pāʻani:

ʻO ka politika maʻemaʻe maoli: Clinton 43,8%, Trump 42,3%, undecided 13,9%.

Huffpost Pollster: Clinton 42,3%, Trump 37,8%, undecided 19,9%.

ʻO ka pōmaikaʻi i makemake ʻia iā Clinton, ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi e like me ka RCP, ʻaʻole liʻiliʻi i ka noʻonoʻo ʻana i nā pākēneka kiʻekiʻe o ka poʻe i manaʻo ʻole e manaʻo e koho (a hiki i ka 20%).

E hoʻomaka ana i ka lā ʻapōpō, i ka wā i paʻa ai ka moho o Clinton, ua ʻike mua ʻia e loli ka pāʻani hoʻolaha holoʻokoʻa a nānā i ka hoʻokūkū o ka ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe, ʻaʻole iā ia iho. ʻElua mau koho a Sanders, ʻo ke kākoʻo ʻana iā Clinton i mua o kahi hewa nui aʻe e like me Trump a i ʻole e noho ma ka papa ʻelua (e manaʻo ʻia he hōʻole ʻia ʻo Clinton), no laila makemake ʻo Trump.

*** He ʻatikala i hana ʻia mai nā ʻōlelo a ka mea hoʻohana ʻo Neoproyecto.