#Electoaverage Feb 15 Kaapuni puni

ʻO ke kiʻi ʻoniʻoni o ka awelika anamanaʻo o kēia pule e waiho iā mākou me kahi ʻaneʻane like ke kūlana me ko 20-D. Aka, mai hoopunipuni kakou ia kakou iho ʻOkoʻa loa ka dynamics i kēia manawa.: ʻAʻole hiki i ka PP ke hūnā hou i kona hāʻule ʻana mai nā kiʻekiʻe o Ianuali, ʻoiai ʻo Ciudadanos me he mea lā e lele ana. Ke hoʻomau nei ʻo PSOE a me Podemos i kā lākou kaua me ka lanakila ʻole, ʻoiai i kēia manawa ʻaʻole hāʻawi ka PSOE i ka lua o ka awelika.

ʻO ka pule aʻe e hiki ai iā mākou ke huki i nā hopena ikaika loa: ʻo ke koena e like me ka mea e puhi ʻia, akā pono mākou i ʻelua mau noiʻi hou e hōʻoia i ke ʻano hou a hōʻole paha. E hai aku makou maanei. I kēia manawa, i kēia pule hoʻololi, hōʻike mākou ka ʻikepili i kauoha ʻia mai ke kikowaena nui a hiki i ka hapa waena. ʻO kēia anei kēia:

Hoʻokomo mākou i ka Electobarometer i ka papa inoa i hiki iā mākou ke hoʻohālikelike me nā ʻikepili ʻē aʻe, akā ʻaʻole i ka helu ʻana o ka awelika.

I ka melemele, nā noiʻi. I ka ʻeleʻele, projections. Ma ka ʻulaʻula, ka ʻae ʻana o nā mea hoʻohana o kēia pūnaewele.

ʻO Redondo y Asociados, We Survey and Metroscopia Ke hoʻomau nei lākou i ka hāʻawi ʻana i ka ʻikepili ʻoi aku ka hiʻona, ʻoiai ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi o nā hopena o Metroscopia i kēia pule ma mua o ka pule i hala: ke neʻe mālie nei ka awelika. Ma ka ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe, ʻO Celeste a me Invymark ka mea nui loa. ʻO ka Electoprojection a mākou i hana ai ma kēia pūnaewele i ka pule i hala no ka hopena o Feberuari ua hele mai ka 6% deviation a i ka 2% deviation i nā lā ʻehiku. I kēia manawa ke holo maikaʻi nei. No ka Electobarometer i hoʻomākaukau ʻia me nā manaʻo o kā mākou mea hoʻohana, hāʻawi ia i nā hopena kūpono (4,8% deviation), a hōʻike i nā ʻano liʻiliʻi liʻiliʻi i hiki iā mākou ke aʻo i ka wā e hiki mai ana ke loaʻa iā mākou ka ʻikepili hou aku.

Penei ke koena E koho ana ma ke kiekie o Feberuari 15:

@josesalver