I ka wā i hoʻoholo pono ʻia ai ka heihei no ka Pelekikena o ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa e Hillary Clinton, ua hoʻomaka ke ʻano o nā hanana i ka moho Demokarata i hāʻule i ka kaulana a me ka Repubalika e piʻi i kahi ʻano o kahi pili ʻenehana i kēia lā, alakaʻi ʻo Trump no ka mea. o na Mokuaina Ki.
ʻO nā swans o ka hoʻolaha
Ma hope o 11/XNUMX a [ʻaʻole e hōʻike ʻia kēia loulou i ka hapalua AEDE e pale i nā pilikia pili kānāwai (Google rate)], hoʻopaʻapaʻa ākea e pili ana i kou olakinod ua kanalua ka poe i manao ole i kona hiki ke alakai i ka aina no na makahiki eha e hiki mai ana. No kāna ʻāpana, ʻo Trump ua hoʻomaka i kahi mākaʻikaʻi media ka hōʻike ʻana i kahi helehelena ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi a i ʻole ka makamaka e hoʻokokoke aku ai iā ia i kāna poʻe koho, ʻo ia hoʻi, me ke kākoʻo ʻana o nā ʻenemi politika nui e like me Ted Cruz, ʻo ia hoʻi. he mea hoʻoikaika no kāu hoʻolaha.
ʻO nā haunaele i hala iho nei ma Charlotte e kau i ka manaʻo i nā moho a ua hoʻohana ʻo Trump iā ia ma o ka hoʻohana ʻana i kahi kūlana paʻa i ka politika aupuni (a i ʻole ka "lima hao") i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me ka ʻoluʻolu haʻahaʻa o Hillary.
ʻO ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa a me nā moku'āina nui
I kēia kakahiaka ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa televise nui mua loa ma waena o nā moho ʻelua, ma kahi ʻano e ʻokoʻa ai nā mokuʻāina koʻi mai kekahi ʻaoʻao a i kekahi ʻaoʻao ma muli o nā lā a me nā koho balota, a ma kahi o ka pahuhopu nui o nā moho ʻelua e mālama i ka pōmaikaʻi a i ʻole "pale" i nā mokuʻāina, inā paha. ʻO ka poho, hāʻawi lākou i ka hapa nui i hiki ʻole ke loaʻa a me ka unuhi ʻana i ka poʻe koho mai waena o ka poʻe i hoʻoholo ʻole e hoʻololi i kekahi o kēia mau mokuʻāina.
No pu he mea pono ke alakai ma ka la 8 o Novemaba ma keia mau Mokuaina e hiki aku ai i ka Hale Keokeo:
- Ohio
- Hawaii
- Arizona
- North Carolina
Hillary pono ke koho nui loa ma ka la koho ma keia mau Mokuaina:
- Hawaii
- Hawaii
- New Hampshire
- Pennsylvania
- Hawaii
- Nevada
- Virginia
Wahi a ka awelika o nā koho balota hou loa, ua hoʻopaʻa ʻo Trump i kāna mau mokuʻāina ʻehā E mālama ʻo Hillary iā lākou a pau koe ʻo Nevada a me Colorado, kahi e alakaʻi ai ʻo Trump ma kahi liʻiliʻi a, no laila, hiki ke hoʻokō i ka Pelekikena..
ʻO nā mokuʻāina o Ohio (kahi e komo mau ai ka mea lanakila i ka Peresidena), ʻO Colorado a me Florida Ua hoʻoholo lākou (mai poina iā mākou i ka hakakā hope loa ma waena o Bush a me Gore i hoʻoholo ai iā Florida ma hope o ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa a me ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa hou ʻana ma hope o ka lā koho) a I kēia lā, makemake nā mea ʻekolu iā Trump.
Kahi i oi aku pu ua ka ʻO ka moho Repubalika mua ma ka mōʻaukala e alakaʻi i ke koho balota ma Florida, kahi i pio ai ka moho Demokarata ma ka 120.000 balota, pela me he mea la pili ka "whistle of America" i ka Repubalika.
Na balota
Ua hoʻopuka nā noiʻi i nā ʻikepili like ʻole, ʻoiai he ʻoiaʻiʻo kēlā I kēia mau lā i hala iho nei, ua nalo nā moho ʻē aʻe a ʻo ia ka mea e hoʻokokoke mai ai ka poʻe Demokarata a me ka Repubalika, ʻoiai ke kuhikuhi nei ka media i nā hopena like ʻole (Fox News huki iā Trump ʻoiai CNN hilinaʻi iā Hillary).
I kēia lā ka Ua hoʻokuʻu ʻo CNN i kahi hoʻopaʻapaʻa mua e kamaʻilio ana i kahi pili ʻenehana ma ka pae aupuni.
Ua paipai ʻia hoʻi lākou e wānana i ka mea e hana ʻia ma Pennsylvania y Hawaii:
ʻO ke kumu kēlā Ke nānā nei i ka awelika o nā koho balota a hiki i kēia lā, alakaʻi ʻo Hillary i ka heihei Akā ʻO nā mokuʻāina kowali ka mea e ʻokoʻa ai, no ka mea, o ka awelika o na koho balota e hoike ana i na Mokuaina i hooiaioia no kela a me keia moho, e waiho ana he 175 mau Luna Ahaolelo i ka lewa, a hiki i keia la. ʻOi aku ka poʻe Repubalika ma mua o nā Democrats, e like me kā mākou i hoʻokaʻawale ai i luna a ʻo ia ka mea e like me nā mokuʻāina i hōʻike ʻia i ka hina ma kēia kiʻi:
Akā i kēia ʻano hoʻololi, nānā ʻia kekahi ʻano liʻiliʻi a hiki i ka millimeter e nā luna hoʻolaha o nā ʻaoʻao ʻelua e hoʻāʻo e noʻonoʻo pehea e hoʻololi ai i ke koena i ko lākou ʻaoʻao. ʻO kēia nā koho balota hou loa no kēlā me kēia mokuʻāina:
lā | Puna koho | Office | Location | Results | alakai | ||
sepatemaba-26 | CNN/ORC | Peresidena | Pennsylvania | Clinton | 50 | 3 | |
pu | 47 | ||||||
sepatemaba-26 | JMC Analytics | Peresidena | Louisiana | pu | 45 | 10 | |
Clinton | 35 | ||||||
sepatemaba-26 | Kālau Kiʻi | Peresidena | North Carolina | Clinton | 43 | 1 | |
pu | 42 | ||||||
sepatemaba-26 | Kolepa Loras | Peresidena | Iowa | pu | 38 | Ka Hawai i | |
Clinton | 38 | ||||||
sepatemaba-26 | CNN/ORC | Peresidena | Hawaii | Clinton | 49 | 2 | |
pu | 47 | ||||||
sepatemaba-26 | ʻO Christopher Newport Univ. | Peresidena | Virginia | Clinton | 48 | 10 | |
pu | 38 | ||||||
sepatemaba-26 | ʻŌlelo Cherry | Peresidena | Hawaii | Clinton | 45 | 3 | |
pu | 42 | ||||||
sepatemaba-25 | UNH Survey Center | Peresidena | Maine | Clinton | 40 | 4 | |
pu | 36 | ||||||
sepatemaba-25 | SurveyUSA | Peresidena | Hawaii | Clinton | 49 | 6 | |
pu | 43 | ||||||
sepatemaba-25 | Nūhou YouGov/CBS | Peresidena | Hawaii | pu | 46 | 9 | |
Clinton | 37 | ||||||
sepatemaba-23 | ʻImi GQR | Peresidena | Nevada | Clinton | 49 | 3 | |
pu | 46 | ||||||
sepatemaba-23 | ʻImi GQR | Peresidena | Ohio | pu | 46 | Ka Hawai i | |
Clinton | 46 | ||||||
sepatemaba-23 | JMC Analytics | Peresidena | Hawaii | pu | 44 | 6 | |
Clinton | 38 | ||||||
sepatemaba-22 | Ke Kulaʻo Emerson | Peresidena | Illinois | Clinton | 49 | 12 | |
pu | 37 | ||||||
sepatemaba-22 | Kolepa Hendrix | Peresidena | Hawaii | pu | 55 | 21 | |
Clinton | 34 | ||||||
sepatemaba-22 | Kulanui Goucher | Peresidena | Maryland | Clinton | 58 | 33 | |
pu | 25 | ||||||
sepatemaba-22 | Ke Kulaʻo Emerson | Peresidena | Hawaii | Clinton | 45 | 7 | |
pu | 38 | ||||||
sepatemaba-21 | PPIC | Peresidena | Hawaii | Clinton | 47 | 16 | |
pu | 31 | ||||||
sepatemaba-21 | Ke Kulanuiʻo Monmouth | Peresidena | New Hampshire | Clinton | 47 | 9 | |
pu | 38 | ||||||
sepatemaba-21 | DFM Research | Peresidena | Hawaii | pu | 54 | 35 | |
Clinton | 19 | ||||||
sepatemaba-20 | Ke Koleke Siena | Peresidena | New York | Clinton | 51 | 21 | |
pu | 30 | ||||||
sepatemaba-20 | DFM Research | Peresidena | North Dakota | pu | 43 | 11 | |
Clinton | 32 | ||||||
sepatemaba-18 | Koho koke | Peresidena | Oklahoma | pu | 51 | 15 | |
Clinton | 36 | ||||||
sepatemaba-15 | EPIC-MRA | Peresidena | Hawaii | Clinton | 42 | 4 | |
pu | 38 | ||||||
sepatemaba-15 | ʻO Texas Lyceum | Peresidena | Texas | pu | 42 | 6 | |
Clinton | 36 | ||||||
sepatemaba-14 | Hui Trafalgar | Peresidena | South Carolina | pu | 53 | 15 | |
Clinton | 38 | ||||||
sepatemaba-14 | WBUR | Peresidena | Hawaii | Clinton | 60 | 29 | |
pu | 31 | ||||||
09-Dek | ʻO Dan Jones & Assoc. | Peresidena | Utah | pu | 39 | 15 | |
Clinton | 24 | ||||||
09-Dek | SurveyUSA | Peresidena | Honolulu | pu | 48 | 12 | |
Clinton | 36 | ||||||
09-Nov | NBC News/WSJ/Marist | Peresidena | Arizona | pu | 42 | 1 | |
Clinton | 41 | ||||||
09-Sep | WTHR/Howey Politics | Peresidena | Indiana | pu | 43 | 7 | |
Clinton | 36 | ||||||
09-Iulai | Ke Kulaʻo Emerson | Peresidena | New Jersey | Clinton | 47 | 4 | |
pu | 43 | ||||||
09-Iulai | Ke Kulaʻo Emerson | Peresidena | Hawaii | Clinton | 50 | 15 | |
pu | 35 | ||||||
09-Iulai | Ke Kulaʻo Emerson | Peresidena | Rode Island | Clinton | 44 | 3 | |
pu | 41 | ||||||
09-Iulai | Ke Kulaʻo Emerson | Peresidena | Hawaii | Clinton | 47 | 21 | |
pu | 26 | ||||||
09-Iulai | DHM Research | Peresidena | Oregon | Clinton | 38 | 13 | |
pu | 25 | ||||||
09-Iun | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Peresidena | Hawaii | pu | 57 | 21 | |
Clinton | 36 | ||||||
09-Iun | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Peresidena | Hawaii | Clinton | 58 | 30 | |
pu | 28 | ||||||
09-Iun | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Peresidena | Mississippi | pu | 48 | 2 | |
Clinton | 46 | ||||||
09-Iun | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Peresidena | New Mexico | Clinton | 51 | 14 | |
pu | 37 | ||||||
09-Iun | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Peresidena | West Virginia | pu | 57 | 24 | |
Clinton | 33 | ||||||
09-Iun | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Peresidena | Alaska | pu | 47 | 8 | |
Clinton | 39 | ||||||
09-Iun | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Peresidena | Idaho | pu | 53 | 19 | |
Clinton | 34 | ||||||
09-Iun | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Peresidena | Montana | pu | 51 | 13 | |
Clinton | 38 | ||||||
09-Iun | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Peresidena | South Dakota | pu | 51 | 14 | |
Clinton | 37 | ||||||
09-Iun | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Peresidena | Hawaii | Clinton | 53 | 16 | |
pu | 37 | ||||||
09-Iun | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Peresidena | Delaware | Clinton | 50 | 14 | |
pu | 36 | ||||||
09-Iun | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Peresidena | Hawaii | pu | 57 | 23 | |
Clinton | 34 | ||||||
09-Iun | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Peresidena | Nebraska | pu | 49 | 11 | |
Clinton | 38 | ||||||
09-Iun | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Peresidena | Tennessee | pu | 55 | 18 | |
Clinton | 37 |
Ua hoʻohana ʻo Hillary i nā miliona miliona ma ka hoʻolaha hoʻolaha no nā mahina kamaʻilio (ma kahi o $ 4 biliona i nā pule i hala iho nei) ʻoiai Ua hoʻohana ʻo Trump i ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa e pili ana iā ia e hoʻolaha iā ia iho (kakaikahi ka lā i ʻike ʻole ʻia ma nā media āpau no kekahi kumu) a ke hoʻomaka nei e hoʻolilo i ka hoʻolaha e hoʻolaha i kāna leka (ua manaʻo ʻia Ua hoʻolilo ʻo ia i kahi "derisory" $200.000).
ʻO ka mea i maopopo i kēia lā e hele ana mākou i kahi hanana kūʻokoʻa i ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa kahi Hiki i kēlā me kēia moho ke pilikia i ke koho balota. ma ke ano like nā hoʻopunipuni o ka luhi Ma ka hihia o Hillary a i ʻole hoʻomāinoino waha i ka hihia o Trump.
E nānā pono ka ʻāina holoʻokoʻa i ka mea e hiki mai ai ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa o kēia pō i hiki ke hoʻololi i nā mea āpau, a hiki iā ʻoe ke hana mai kā mākou pūnaewele, me ke kamaʻilio ola no nā pueo pō ;).
Kou manao
Aia kekahi nā kaulike e olelo Inā ʻaʻole i hui ʻia, e alakaʻi lākou i ka kipaku koke ʻana a mau loa mai ka pūnaewele.
ʻAʻole kuleana ʻo EM no nā manaʻo o kāna mea hoʻohana.
Makemake ʻoe e kākoʻo iā mākou? E lilo i kahu a loaʻa ke komo kūʻokoʻa i nā panela.