KOHO KOHO BALOTA MA ISRAEL

ʻO ka hoʻolaha ʻana o Netanyahu i nehinei no ka hoʻopau koke ʻana o ka Knesset, ʻo ia wale nō ka ʻIseraʻela Hale o nā Lunamakaʻāinana, a me ke kāhea ʻana no ke koho balota mua i loko o ʻekolu mahina, ʻo ia ka prelude i ka hoʻoikaika ʻana i nā kūlana nationalist a me ka ʻēheu ʻākau i loko o ka politika ʻIseraʻela.

ʻO ka mea mua, e alakaʻi ʻia nā koho hou e nā hoʻololi hou i hoʻokumu ʻia i ka ʻōnaehana koho, e hoʻokiʻekiʻe ana i ka paepae e komo i ka Knesset mai 2% a 3,25%. ʻO kahi hoʻonui nui ʻole, no ka mea ma nā koho balota i hala aku nei he nui nā ʻaoʻao i kēlā manawa: ʻo Hadash, Balad a me Kadima, a me ka liʻiliʻi o ka United Arab List, a me ka paʻakikī i nā ʻaoʻao e like me Otzma a me Ale Yarok ke komo.

ʻO nā wānana hope loa e wānana i ka piʻi ʻana ma waena o nā ʻaoʻao hoʻomana a me ka ʻaoʻao ʻākau o ka ʻIseraʻela. Ua wānana pū lākou i ka hāʻule ikaika o ka hui hōʻikeʻike o 2013, ʻo Yesh Atid, me kahi kūlana waena-akau akā secular, a me ka nalowale o ka centrist Kadima.

I nehinei, i hui pu me ka hoolaha ana i ka hemo ana o ke keena, elua mau anaana hope loa i hoopukaia. Kōkua y Midgam, ma nā kaha TV 10 a me 2, nona nā hualoaʻa (ua hoʻohui ʻia ka hopena o nā koho balota i hala ma nā pale):

• Yewish Home (ka lāhui ʻākau): 17 (12)
• United Torah Judaism (akau hoʻomana): 8 (7)
• Shas (ka lāhui Iudaio): 7-9 (11)
• Ysrael Beitenu (akau): 10-12 (13)
• Moshe Kahlon (Likud dissident, akau): 10-12 (hou)
• Likud ('ākau): 22 (18)
• Yesh Atid (secular center-akau): 9 (19)
• Kadima (waena): 0 (2)
• Hatnuah (hema waena): 4 (6)
• Labour Party (social democrat): 13 (15)
• Meretz (social democrat): 7 (6)
• Hadash/UAL/Balad (hema, ʻAlapia): 9-11 (11)

ʻO ka mea maʻamau, ʻo ka ʻIseraʻela paʻi ka mea e hui pū i nā ʻaoʻao i ʻelua mau pūʻulu nui, ma kekahi ʻaoʻao ʻo ka nationalist a/a i ʻole ka hoʻomana pono a ma kekahi ʻaoʻao ʻo ke kikowaena waena-hema (ʻoiai ua hoʻokomo ʻia nā ʻaoʻao liberal ma ʻaneʻi inā lōʻihi lākou). I ka makahiki 2013, ua loaʻa i kēlā ʻākau he 61 mau ʻelele a ʻo ka waena hema he 59. ʻO kēlā āpau o 2 mau hope wale nō e loli nui, e like me kēia mau wānana, ʻoiai e hiki ana ka ʻākau i 76-78 mau ʻelele i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me ka 42-44 o ka waena-hema. , e kaha ana i ka mamao mawaena o lakou mai 32 a 36 mau hope.

ʻO ke aupuni mua i hana ʻia e nā hui mai nā wahi ʻelua: Likud, Ysrael Beitenu, Yesh Atid a me Hatnuah. Aia ka mea hou ma ka ʻākau, i hoʻokumu ʻia a puni ʻo Likud, Yewish Home, Ysrael Beitenu a me Moshe Kahlon, e loaʻa paha i nā kākoʻo nui e hoʻokele. ʻAʻole i nīnau ʻia ke kiʻi o ke Kuhina Nui Netanhayu i kēia manawa.

http://knessetjeremy.com/2014/12/02/dialogchannel-10-poll-likud-22-bayit-yehudi-17-labor-13-yisrael-beitenu-12-kachlon-12-yesh-atid-9/

http://knessetjeremy.com/2014/12/02/channel-2midgam-poll-likud-22-bayit-yehudi-17-labor-13-yisrael-beitenu-10-kachlon-10-yesh-atid-9-shas-9/