Loaʻa iā Macron kahi 82,1% manawa e lanakila ai

ka nā noiʻi pilikia i paʻi ʻia i nehinei, i ka lā ma hope o ka lanakila ʻana o Macron (socioliberal) a me Le Pen (ultra-ʻākau) i ko lākou wahi ma ka pōʻai ʻelua o ke koho pelekikena o Farani i ka lā 7 o Mei, ua ʻae ʻia ma ka pōʻai ʻelua. E loaʻa iā Macron ma waena o 60% a me 65% o nā balota, hoʻohālikelike ʻia me 35-40% o kāna hoʻokūkū. ʻOi aku ka maikaʻi o kēlā manaʻo ka poʻe a pau e lanakila pololei ʻo Macron a ʻo ia ka pelekikena Farani hou.

Ua pololei lākou, ʻaʻole naʻe. Inā mākou e noʻonoʻo i ka palena o ka hewa o kēia mau noiʻi, a noʻonoʻo i nā hewa ʻē aʻe i ka laʻana a i ʻole ke ʻano hana, ʻo ka hopena i loaʻa iā mākou Ua lanakila ʻo Macron ma 99,98% o nā hihia. Me he mea lā he mea hiki ʻole ke hoʻopaʻapaʻa, maopopo.

Akā ʻaʻole hiki ke koho pelekikena i kēia lā, ʻApelila 25. E hoʻolauleʻa ʻia ana lākou ma ka lā 7 o Mei. No laila, ua poina iā mākou kekahi mea nui: ke koʻikoʻi o ka holo ʻana o ka manawa. ʻOi aku ka mamao o ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, ʻoi aku ka maopopo ʻole. ʻOi aku ka maʻalahi o ka wānana ʻana i ke ʻano o ka lā ʻapōpō ma mua o nā lā he ʻumikumamāhā mai kēia manawa, a ʻaʻohe mea meteorologist koʻikoʻi e pili i kekahi mea ma ka wānana i kēia manawa i ka mea e hiki mai ana ma Mei 7.

ʻO ka kikoʻī o ka meteorological weather he haunaele nui, a ʻo ka maopopo ʻole o ka mea e kau ʻia ai he mea nui loa. ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo politika ʻaʻole hiki ke ʻike ʻia, akā ʻaʻole hiki ke wānana. Ma mua o Mei 7, hiki i kahi hanana ma Farani a i ʻole ka honua e hoʻololi nui i ka manaʻo o ka poʻe koho. Hiki i Le Pen ke hana i kahi neʻe maikaʻi a i ʻole (ʻoi aku paha) hiki ke hana hewa ʻo Macron. Hiki nō. Nui nā mea e hiki mai ana ma mua. No laila ua hoʻokomo mākou i kahi mea o ka hoʻopuehu kino i kā mākou helu ʻana e ʻoi aku ka ʻoiaʻiʻo o ka lanakila o kēlā me kēia moho ʻelua. ʻO kēia kahi mea a mākou e nalo nei i nā koho balota ʻAmelika, i ka manawa i hāʻawi aku ai kekahi iā Clinton ma mua o ka 99% o ka lanakila ʻana aʻo nā mea ʻē aʻe, ma muli o ka ʻikepili like, hāʻawi iā ia i 75% wale nō, 80%, no ka mea, ua lawe lākou i ka moʻolelo. , ʻoiaʻiʻo e like me kēia.

No laila ke ʻae nei mākou iā mākou iho e ʻae ʻole i nā wehewehe ʻoi aku ka conservative, i hoʻomākaukau ʻia e nā hui hanohano, e like me kēia:

https://twitter.com/TheCrosstab/status/856887055254773761

https://twitter.com/TheCrosstab/status/856883232066990080

I ka hihia o Farani, i ka wā e noʻonoʻo ai i ka maopopo ʻole o ke kino, ua palupalu loa ka pali o ka bele Gaussian, e wehe ana i ka laulā o nā mea hiki. Loaʻa iā mākou e lanakila ʻo Macron me 82,1% wale nō. Ke ʻike mua nei kēia helu ʻana i kahi lanakila loa, akā ʻaʻole ia he mea maopopo. I ka hala ʻana o nā lā, inā ʻaʻohe mea ʻino, e piʻi aʻe ka manawa o Macron, a hiki i ka 100% i ka lā koho. Akā ke ʻike ʻia nei.