Democratic primaries (USA): Hāʻule ʻo Harris a ʻekolu mau moho nui i koe

Ua hoʻomaka ka heihei e koho i ka pelekikena o ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa. Mai ka waena o ke kauoha (ʻelua makahiki mai ke koho balota ʻana), hoʻomaka ka hoʻomākaukau no ke koho pelekikena e hiki mai ana.

ʻOiai ʻoi aku ka nui o hoʻokahi makahiki i koe a hiki i ka poʻe ʻAmelika ke koho ma waena o Donald Trump a me kahi moho Demokarata ma ke ʻano he mau hoaaina o ka Hale Paʻi ma waena o ka hoʻomaka o 2021 a me ka hoʻomaka ʻana o 2025, ʻo ka hoʻokūkū e koho i kona hoa paio a hiki i ka koho balota o Nowemapa 3, 2020 Ua hoʻomaka mua ʻia.

En electomania.es Ke hahai nei mākou i ka hoʻolaha i kēlā me kēia pule. Ma hope o nā paio mua i mālama ʻia ma Miami (Iune), ua hoʻohālikelike ʻia nā kūlana o nā moho Demokarata nui ʻehā. A laila, i ka hopena o Iulai, ka lua hoopaapaa, i kēia hihia ma Detroit. Hōʻuluʻulu ʻia ke ʻano o kēia manawa ma a "ʻo nā mea a pau e kū'ē iā Biden", ka hope peresidena mua me Obama ka mea i noho i ka punahele nui a ua loaʻa hou ka lanakila ma nā koho balota. ʻO ka nūhou i nā pule i hala iho nei ʻo ia ka hapaha punahele, ʻo Kamala Harris, ka mea i puka mua ma ke ʻano he koho ʻoiaʻiʻo, me he mea lā e nalowale koke ana ka mahu.

I nā mahina e hiki mai ana ka nā mea nui o ka heihei, he ekolu.

• ka ka huki ʻana o ka nui o kēlā mau moho "ʻuʻuku"., ka mea maʻamau e hana pēlā ma ka hōʻike ākea ʻana i kā lākou kākoʻo no "kekahi o nā mea nui", e hoʻoponopono hou i nā pūʻali ma waena o lākou.
• ka na hoopaapaa hou e malama ia ana iwaena o na moho. Ma ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa, ʻike ʻia ka heihei mua me nā hōʻike televise e hōʻike ana i nā hoa paio like ʻole, a e hoʻokau i kekahi i ke kukui aʻo nā mea ʻē aʻe e hoʻopā nui ʻia.
• La hiki ke "ala hou" o kekahi o na moho i kēia lā a mākou e manaʻo nei ua haʻalele ʻia.

ʻO ka ʻē aʻe mea nui e hahai ana na koho balota o Amerika Akau ka ke kūlana o ka pelekikena, ʻo Donald Trump. ʻO ka kaulana o ka pelekikena, ʻoiai ʻaʻole haʻahaʻa, hōʻike i ke kūpaʻa nui a me ke kūʻē nui ʻana i ka hāʻule ʻana o ka hypothetical. ʻO ka mea hou aku, ua hōʻike ʻo ia i nā hōʻailona o ka haʻalele ʻana hoʻōla mālie. Eia naʻe, ʻO nā pepehi kanaka ʻo Texas a me Ohio Ua hooki lākou i kēia ʻano no ka manawa, a i ka pule i hala aku nei ua hoʻonui iki ʻia ka hakahaka e like me ka pūnaewele kūikawā ʻo FiveThirthyEight:

ʻO ka pelekikena mau nō ke kākoʻo o nā māhele koʻikoʻi o ka heluna kanaka ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa. I kēia manawa, ʻo ke koena o ka manaʻo o ka lehulehu e kūʻē iā ia e oscillates a puni -12%. ʻO ka hopena o ka pana ʻana a me ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa pū ʻana i nā koho balota hou loa i pōmaikaʻi ai i nā moho Demokarata. ʻO ka moho luna ʻO Biden ke alakaʻi nei iā ia ma mua o ʻehiku mau helu, a ʻo ka kaiāulu ʻO Sanders i eha. Inā hiki lākou i ka lā koho ma kēia ala, ua hōʻoiaʻiʻo lāua i ko lāua lanakila ʻana i ka pelekikena o kēia manawa. No kāna ʻāpana, ʻO Elizabeth Warren E ʻoi aku ʻo ia ma mua o Trump i kahi hakakā pololei, e like me ka awelika koho, ma ka palena haʻahaʻa o 1,4% o ka koho balota. ʻAʻole kēia e hōʻoiaʻiʻo i ka lanakila (e hoʻomanaʻo ua ʻoi aku ʻo Hillary Clinton ma mua o Donald Trump ma mua o ʻelua mau helu ma 2016, akā nalowale nā ​​mokuʻāina nui a me lākou ke koho balota).