Poalua Nui (II): He hanana koʻikoʻi no nā primaries ma New York.

ʻO nā koho balota koʻikoʻi i ka lā ʻapōpō ma ka mokuʻāina o New York.

Nona Ka aoao Demokarata ka pono ma ke koho balota Clinton mai ka 10 a hiki i ka 17 helu. Ke ʻike ʻia nei inā he mokuʻāina ʻo NY ma kahi kūpono o nā koho balota, e like me Ohio a i ʻole Florida, a i ʻole kahi mokuʻāina kahi i hoʻohaʻahaʻa ai nā koho balota iā Sanders, e like me Idaho a i ʻole Utah.

ʻO nā mea a pau e hana ʻia ua maopopo kēlā ʻO Sanders e hoomau ana, nolaila, e kali kakou a hiki i ka Poalua ae ka la 26, me ka hookohu ana ma kekahi mau mokuaina ma ka moana Atelanika, nana e koho 384 mau elele, he nui aku mamua o ka poe i kohoia e NY i ka la apopo, he 247. No ia hookohu e hoomaka ana. hou ʻo Clinton me nā koho balota e kū ana ma nā mokuʻāina nui ʻelua: Pennsylvania (189 ʻelele) a me Mayrland (95 ʻelele).

ʻO nā mea a pau e hōʻike ana a hiki i ka lā 7 o Iune, ke koho balota ʻo Kaleponi i kāna mau ʻelele 475, ʻaʻohe lanakila maopopo no kekahi mea paio.. No kēlā moku'āina, wānana nā koho balota i kahi lanakila o Clinton ma luna o Sanders ma kahi o 10-15 mau helu.

Kūlana o kēia manawa:

• Clinton: 1.786 balota (1.307 ʻelele+479 superdeleg)

• Sanders: 1.137 balota (1.097 ʻelele+40 superdeleg)

I kēia manawa ua lanakila ʻo Clinton ma 16 Primaries a me 2 Caucuses, ʻoiai ʻo Sanders i hana pēlā ma 5 Primaries a me 11 Caucuses, e hōʻike ana i ka ikaika o ka moho ʻelemakule ma nā ʻaha kūkā a me kona nāwaliwali i nā Primaries, hiki ke hōʻeha iā ia ma muli o ka 18. ʻO nā koho balota i koe (16 mokuʻāina me DC a me Puerto Rico) he mau Primaries a pau koe hoʻokahi, North Dakota, nāna e koho i nā ʻelele e ka Caucus.

Ma waena o nā mokuʻāina nui (e koho ana ma mua o 100 mau ʻelele Demokarata) ua lanakila ʻo Clinton, 6 mau mokuʻāina (Georgia, Texas, Florida, Illinois, North Carolina a me Ohio) i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me Sanders '2 (Michigan a me Wakinekona).

Nā koho balota no nā papa haʻahaʻa o New York Ka aoao Repubalika Hōʻailona lākou i ka lanakila ʻoluʻolu loa no Donald Trump (50% -55%), i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me John Kasich (20% -25%) a me Ted Cruz (15% -20%). Hiki i kēia hopena ke hoʻokokoke loa iā Trump i ka koho Repubalika, akā i ka manawa like e hāʻawi ai i nā ʻēheu Kasich e kūʻē a hiki i ka Pōʻalua aʻe o ka lā 26, me nā primaries ma 5 mau mokuʻāina ma ke kahakai ʻo Atlantika kahi e hiki ai iā ia ke ʻoi aku ma mua o Cruz.

Me he mea lā ua paʻakikī loa ka GOP e hoʻōki i ka locomotive a Trump. No ka nui o ka ha'alele 'ana o Kasich ma hope o ka hui 'ana ma ka la 26, e pa'akikī loa ana 'o Cruz i ka lanakila 'ana ma Kaleponi, a 'o ka lanakila 'ana, 'a'ole ia e uhi 'ia i ka heluna o na 'elele a Trump.

ʻO ke kūlana o kēia manawa:

• Donald Trump: 755 ʻelele

• Ted Cruz: 521 ʻelele

• John Kasich: 144 ʻelele

• Nā mea ʻē aʻe: 189 (173 mai Marco Rubio)

I kēia manawa ua lanakila ʻo Trump ma 20 mau mokuʻāina (me ka hapa nui o nā mokuʻāina nui loa: Georgia, Florida, Illinois a me North Carolina) ʻoiai ua lanakila ʻo Cruz ma 11 (a ma waena o nā mea nui loa ma Texas). Ua lanakila ʻo Kasich ma Ohio a me Rubio ma Minnesota (koe ʻo DC a me Puerto Rico).

He ʻatikala mai CDDMT.