CIS uas yuav tshaj tawm hnub Tuesday lub 8th attracts tag nrho cov xim. Cov kev hloov loj yog intuited: peb kwv yees qhia tias qhov CIS no yuav muab qhov tshwm sim de yuav luag khi nruab nrab ntawm Ciudadanos thiab PP, nrog PSOE ze heev thiab Unidos Podemos rov qab los tab sis tseem qab heev.
Tab sis, dhau qhov "nruab nrab", Spain zais qhov muaj ntau tiam neeg muaj tiag. Peb tau ua qhov simulation piv rau thawj tog los ntawm lub xeev feem ntau, nrog rau qhov uas Congress yuav muab yog tias tsuas yog ib tiam neeg pov npav. Cov ntaub ntawv yog los ntawm qhov nruab nrab ntawm cov kev tshawb fawb, nrog rau cov hnub nyoog faib tawm ntawm kev pov npav raws li CIS yav dhau los, thiab cov uas tsis ntev los no tau muab rau peb los ntawm kev tshawb fawb xws li Celeste Tel thiab Sociometrica.
Nyob rau hauv cov ntaub ntawv no peb luam tawm peb extrapolation ntawm thawj tog los ntawm lub xeev thiab tag nrho cov deputies rau ib hypothetical Congress tau pov npav tsuas yog los ntawm cov neeg Mev uas muaj hnub nyoog tshaj 65 xyoo:
Un Congress ntawm cov neeg laus Nws yuav raug tswj hwm los ntawm Pawg Nrov, uas tuaj yeem nkag mus rau tsoomfwv nrog kev zam yooj yim ntawm Ciudadanos. PP tsuas yog dhau los ntawm cov zej zog feem ntau haiv neeg lossis hauv Seville, qhov chaw uas cov neeg sib raug zoo yuav tuav nws los ntawm qhov nqaim heev. Nyob rau hauv Andalusia, Nrov Party yuav tau txais txiaj ntsig los ntawm lub zog qis ntawm Ciudadanos ntawm cov neeg laus, uas feem ntau yuav dhau (nruj heev) PSOE. Tab sis txawm tias nws yuav tswj kom yeej hauv cov xeev, PSOE yuav yog lub zog thib ob hauv feem coob, thiab hauv Barcelona nws yuav tau txais txiaj ntsig los ntawm atomization kom nkag mus rau thawj qhov chaw. Nrog rau tag nrho cov no, nws yuav yog thawj pawg neeg tawm tsam nrog yuav luag 100 tus neeg sawv cev. Hauv Catalonia, cov ex-convergents yuav yeej ERC nyob rau sab qaum teb lub xeev, thaum lawv yuav khaws Tarragona.
Yog tias Congress raug xaiv los ntawm cov neeg laus, kev sib tw bipartisanship tseem yuav muaj sia nyob.
Hnub Tuesday, CIS yuav tuaj nrog cov ntaub ntawv tshiab uas tuaj yeem hloov kho daim ntawv qhia no ... lossis kab tias lees paub nws.
Lwm cov ntawv hauv series:
- Spain cov tub ntxhais hluas
- Spain ntawm cov hluas (30 txog 44 xyoos)
- Spain ntawm cov neeg laus laus (45 txog 64 xyoo)
Jose Salver
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Koj lub tswv yim
Muaj qee tus feem ntau tawm tswv yim Yog tias lawv tsis tau ntsib, lawv yuav ua rau raug tshem tawm tam sim ntawd thiab mus tas li ntawm lub vev xaib.
EM tsis yog lub luag haujlwm rau cov kev xav ntawm nws cov neeg siv.
Koj puas xav txhawb peb? Ua ib tug Patron thiab tau txais kev nkag tshwj xeeb rau cov panels.