Tus thawj tswj hwm Asmeskas, Donald Trump, tseem yog tus thawj tswj hwm tsis nyiam tshaj plaws rau nws tus kheej cov pej xeem nyob rau xyoo tsis ntev los no,tsawg kawg yog vim peb muaj cov ntaub ntawv sau tseg, pib nrog Harry S. Truman (1945-53), nrog rau e nkaus xwb.xceptions de Ronald Reagan (1981-1989) thiab Jimmy Carter (1977-1981), leej twg ntawm qhov no muaj qib kev txhawb nqa txawm tias qis dua tus thawj tswj hwm tam sim no.
Txhua lub tuam txhab tshwj xeeb muab cov nqi sib xws. Piv txwv li, Tsib Thib Tsib tam sim no muab nws ib 42,7% kev pom zoo, piv rau 53,0% tawm tsam. Rau nws feem, Txoj Kev Muaj Tseeb Clear muab nws a 41,3% kev txhawb nqa thiab 54,4% tsis lees paub, rau qhov tsis txaus siab ntawm -13,1%.
Tab sis yog rau ib yam dab tsi tsiag ntawv cov kev ntaus nqi nrov ntawm tus thawj tswj hwm tam sim no yog rau nws stability. Thoob plaws hauv yuav luag ob xyoos ntawm nws txoj kev tswj hwm, tsis tau mus txog ntau dua 44% nrov txhawb, tab sis tsis tshua muaj nqis qis dua 38%. Qhov tseeb no qhia tias Thawj Tswj Hwm lub hauv paus nrov yog ruaj khov, yuav luag ntawm nws tus kheej ntawm nws qhov kev ua lossis kev txiav txim siab nom tswv, thiab ua raws li kev txhawb nqa (lossis tsis lees paub) ntawm nws tus cwj pwm dua li ntawm nws qhov tseeb ntawm kev tswj hwm tus thawj tswj hwm.
La kev sib piv uas FiveThirtyEight ua nrog txhua tus thawj tswj hwm tsis ntev los no tawm Trump hauv ib qho txoj hauj lwm nyuaj, tab sis nws kuj ua rau nws muaj kev cia siab, vim tias nws txoj hauj lwm, thaum phem, tsis xav ua kom poob siab, thiab vim tias nyob rau hauv lub ntsej muag ntawm qhov nce thiab nqis uas qhov credit ntawm ntau lwm tus tau ntsib tom qab txiav txim siab nyuaj los yog qhov tshwm sim ntawm cov xwm txheej tsis zoo, Trump zoo li tiv thaiv kev thuam (thiab kuj cov kev vam meej): nws qhov kev ntsuam xyuas tag nrho NW nyuam qhuav hloov.
Ntawm cuaj tus thawj tswj hwm zaum kawg, tsib tau ntsuas zoo ib yam li nws ntawm qhov no. Puas yog lawv tswj kom ua tiav qhov kev xaiv tsa rov qab tom qab lawv thawj plaub xyoos? Gerald Ford thiab Jimmy Carter, tsis yog, tab sis Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton thiab Barack Obama yog.
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Koj lub tswv yim
Muaj qee tus feem ntau tawm tswv yim Yog tias lawv tsis tau ntsib, lawv yuav ua rau raug tshem tawm tam sim ntawd thiab mus tas li ntawm lub vev xaib.
EM tsis yog lub luag haujlwm rau cov kev xav ntawm nws cov neeg siv.
Koj puas xav txhawb peb? Ua ib tug Patron thiab tau txais kev nkag tshwj xeeb rau cov panels.