Thaum cov kev sib tw rau Thawj Tswj Hwm ntawm Tebchaws Meskas zoo li tau txiav txim siab los ntawm Hillary Clinton, ntau qhov xwm txheej tau ua rau cov neeg sib tw Democratic poob rau hauv kev muaj koob npe thiab Republican tau nce mus rau qhov xwm txheej ntawm kev sib khi uas, niaj hnub no, Trump ua rau vim yog. cov Key States.
Cov swans ntawm kev sib tw
Tom qab 11/XNUMX thiab [qhov txuas no mus rau ib nrab AEDE yuav tsis tshwm sim kom tsis txhob muaj teeb meem kev cai lij choj (Google tus nqi)], qhib kev sib cav txog koj txoj kev noj qab haus huvd tau ua rau cov uas tsis tau txiav txim siab tsis ntseeg txog nws lub peev xwm los coj lub tebchaws rau plaub xyoos tom ntej. Rau nws feem, Trump tau pib ncig xyuas xov xwm nthuav tawm lub ntsej muag zoo nkauj lossis tus phooj ywg uas coj nws los ze zog rau nws cov neeg xaiv tsa, uas, ua ke nrog kev txhawb nqa ntawm cov yeeb ncuab loj xws li Ted Cruz, tau txhais hais tias kev txhawb nqa rau koj txoj kev sib tw.
Cov kev tawm tsam tsis ntev los no hauv Charlotte tau tsom rau cov neeg sib tw thiab Trump siv qhov zoo ntawm qhov no los ntawm kev ua kom zoo dua los ntawm kev muaj lub zog ruaj khov ntawm kev nom kev tswv hauv tebchaws (lossis "hlau nrig") piv rau Hillary qhov kev tsis txaus siab.
Kev sib cav tswv yim thiab Key States
Tag kis no thawj zaug kev sib cav hauv TV loj tshwm sim nruab nrab ntawm ob tus neeg sib tw, nyob rau hauv ib qho xwm txheej uas ntau lub xeev viav vias sib txawv ntawm ib sab mus rau lwm qhov nyob ntawm cov hnub thiab cov neeg xaiv tsa, thiab qhov twg lub hom phiaj tseem ceeb ntawm ob tus neeg sib tw yuav tsum yog tswj kom zoo dua lossis "tiv thaiv" lub xeev uas, nyob rau hauv rooj plaub no. ntawm kev poob, lawv xa mus rau lwm qhov feem ntau tsis tuaj yeem nrog rau rho tawm cov neeg xaiv tsa los ntawm cov tsis tau txiav txim siab uas tau txais ib lub Xeev los hloov cov kev kawm.
Rau trump nws yog ib qho tseem ceeb rau kev coj Lub Kaum Ib Hlis 8 hauv Cov Xeev hauv qab no kom mus txog Tsev Dawb:
- Ohio
- Florida
- Arizona
- North Carolina
Hillary yuav tsum tau pov npav ntau tshaj plaws nyob rau hnub xaiv tsa hauv cov xeev hauv qab no:
- Michigan
- Wisconsin
- New Hampshire
- Pennsylvania
- Colorado
- Nevada
- Virginia
Raws li qhov nruab nrab ntawm qhov kev tshaj tawm tshiab tshaj tawm, Trump yuav muaj kev nyab xeeb rau nws plaub lub Xeev tseem ceeb thaum Hillary yuav khaws tag nrho lawv tsuas yog Nevada thiab Colorado, qhov twg Trump yuav coj los ntawm me ntsis thiab, yog li ntawd, tuaj yeem ua tiav Pawg Thawj Tswj Hwm..
Kev lig kev cai lub xeev ntawm Ohio (qhov twg leej twg yeej feem ntau nkag mus rau Pawg Thawj Tswj Hwm), Colorado thiab Florida Lawv tau txiav txim siab (cia peb tsis txhob hnov qab txog kev sib ntaus kawg ntawm Bush thiab Gore uas tau txiav txim siab Florida tom qab muaj kev ntxhov siab thiab muaj teeb meem rov hais dua tom qab hnub xaiv tsa) thiab Niaj hnub no tag nrho peb zoo li nyiam Trump.
Yog ntau tshaj trump lawm cov thawj tus neeg sib tw Republican hauv keeb kwm los coj kev pov npav ntxov hauv Florida, qhov twg tus neeg sib tw Democratic tau swb los ntawm 120.000 votes, yog li nws zoo li ntawd lub "xov xuav ntawm America" thawj koom ruam ntawm Republican.
Lub chaw xaiv tsa
Cov kev tshawb fawb tau tsim cov ntaub ntawv sib txawv tshaj plaws, txawm tias nws muaj tseeb Nyob rau hauv cov hnub tsis ntev los no, lwm cov neeg sib tw tau poob chav thiab qhov ntawd ua rau cov Democrats thiab Republicans los ze zog ua ke, txawm hais tias cov xov xwm taw qhia rau cov txiaj ntsig sib txawv (Hma liab xov xwm rub mus rau Trump thaum CNN mus rau Hillary).
Hnub no lub CNN tau tshaj tawm cov kev tshawb fawb ua ntej kev sib cav uas hais txog kev sib khi ntawm lub teb chaws.
Lawv kuj tau raug txhawb kom twv seb yuav muaj dab tsi tshwm sim hauv Pennsylvania y Colorado:
Lub ntsiab lus yog tias Kev tshuaj xyuas qhov nruab nrab ntawm kev xaiv tsa rau hnub tim, Hillary coj kev sib tw Tab sis Nws yog lub viav vias xeev uas ua qhov txawv, txij li qhov nruab nrab ntawm cov kev xaiv tsa ua rau lub xeev muaj kev ntseeg siab rau txhua tus neeg sib tw, tawm hauv 175 tus neeg sawv cev hauv huab cua uas, txog niaj hnub no, Lawv yog Republican ntau dua Democrats, raws li peb tsoo saum toj no thiab uas yuav sib npaug rau cov xeev tseem ceeb hauv grey hauv daim duab no:
Tab sis nyob rau hauv qhov kev hloov pauv no, txhua qhov kev hloov pauv me me tau raug tshuaj xyuas mus rau millimeter los ntawm cov thawj coj kev sib tw ntawm ob tog los sim txiav txim seb yuav ua li cas rau qhov sib npaug ntawm lawv sab. Cov no yog cov kev xaiv tsa zaum kawg rau txhua lub Xeev:
Hnub | Qhov chaw xaiv tsa | chaw ua hauj lwm | Qhov chaw | tau | Lead | ||
Sep-26 | CNN/ORC | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Pennsylvania | Clinton | 50 | 3 | |
trump | 47 | ||||||
Sep-26 | JMC Analytics | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Louisiana | trump | 45 | 10 | |
Clinton | 35 | ||||||
Sep-26 | High Point University | Thawj Tswj Hwm | North Carolina | Clinton | 43 | 1 | |
trump | 42 | ||||||
Sep-26 | Loras College | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Iowa | trump | 38 | khi | |
Clinton | 38 | ||||||
Sep-26 | CNN/ORC | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Colorado | Clinton | 49 | 2 | |
trump | 47 | ||||||
Sep-26 | Christopher Newport Univ. | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Virginia | Clinton | 48 | 10 | |
trump | 38 | ||||||
Sep-26 | Cherry Communications | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Florida | Clinton | 45 | 3 | |
trump | 42 | ||||||
Sep-25 | UNH Survey Center | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Maine | Clinton | 40 | 4 | |
trump | 36 | ||||||
Sep-25 | SurveyUSA | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Minnesota | Clinton | 49 | 6 | |
trump | 43 | ||||||
Sep-25 | YouGov/CBS Xov Xwm | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Missouri | trump | 46 | 9 | |
Clinton | 37 | ||||||
Sep-23 | GQR Kev Tshawb Fawb | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Nevada | Clinton | 49 | 3 | |
trump | 46 | ||||||
Sep-23 | GQR Kev Tshawb Fawb | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Ohio | trump | 46 | khi | |
Clinton | 46 | ||||||
Sep-23 | JMC Analytics | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Georgia | trump | 44 | 6 | |
Clinton | 38 | ||||||
Sep-22 | Emerson College | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Illinois | Clinton | 49 | 12 | |
trump | 37 | ||||||
Sep-22 | Hendrix College | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Arkansas | trump | 55 | 21 | |
Clinton | 34 | ||||||
Sep-22 | Goucher College | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Maryland | Clinton | 58 | 33 | |
trump | 25 | ||||||
Sep-22 | Emerson College | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Wisconsin | Clinton | 45 | 7 | |
trump | 38 | ||||||
Sep-21 | PPIC | Thawj Tswj Hwm | California | Clinton | 47 | 16 | |
trump | 31 | ||||||
Sep-21 | Monmouth University | Thawj Tswj Hwm | New Hampshire | Clinton | 47 | 9 | |
trump | 38 | ||||||
Sep-21 | DFM Kev Tshawb Fawb | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Wyoming | trump | 54 | 35 | |
Clinton | 19 | ||||||
Sep-20 | Tsev Kawm Ntawv Siena | Thawj Tswj Hwm | New York | Clinton | 51 | 21 | |
trump | 30 | ||||||
Sep-20 | DFM Kev Tshawb Fawb | Thawj Tswj Hwm | North Dakota | trump | 43 | 11 | |
Clinton | 32 | ||||||
Sep-18 | Sooner Poll | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Oklahoma | trump | 51 | 15 | |
Clinton | 36 | ||||||
Sep-15 | EPIC-MRA | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Michigan | Clinton | 42 | 4 | |
trump | 38 | ||||||
Sep-15 | Texas Lyceum | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Texas | trump | 42 | 6 | |
Clinton | 36 | ||||||
Sep-14 | Trafalgar Group | Thawj Tswj Hwm | South Carolina | trump | 53 | 15 | |
Clinton | 38 | ||||||
Sep-14 | WBUR | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Massachusetts | Clinton | 60 | 29 | |
trump | 31 | ||||||
09-Nov | Dan Jones & Assoc. | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Utah | trump | 39 | 15 | |
Clinton | 24 | ||||||
09-Nov | SurveyUSA | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Kansas | trump | 48 | 12 | |
Clinton | 36 | ||||||
09-Nov | NBC News/WSJ/Marist | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Arizona | trump | 42 | 1 | |
Clinton | 41 | ||||||
09 – Sep | WTHR/Howey Politics | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Indiana | trump | 43 | 7 | |
Clinton | 36 | ||||||
09- Lub Xya Hli | Emerson College | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Tshiab Jersey | Clinton | 47 | 4 | |
trump | 43 | ||||||
09- Lub Xya Hli | Emerson College | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Connecticut | Clinton | 50 | 15 | |
trump | 35 | ||||||
09- Lub Xya Hli | Emerson College | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Rhode Island | Clinton | 44 | 3 | |
trump | 41 | ||||||
09- Lub Xya Hli | Emerson College | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Vermont | Clinton | 47 | 21 | |
trump | 26 | ||||||
09- Lub Xya Hli | DHM tshawb nrhiav | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Oregon | Clinton | 38 | 13 | |
trump | 25 | ||||||
09 – Peb | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Alabama | trump | 57 | 21 | |
Clinton | 36 | ||||||
09 – Peb | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Hawaii | Clinton | 58 | 30 | |
trump | 28 | ||||||
09 – Peb | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Mississippi | trump | 48 | 2 | |
Clinton | 46 | ||||||
09 – Peb | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Tshiab Mexico | Clinton | 51 | 14 | |
trump | 37 | ||||||
09 – Peb | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Thawj Tswj Hwm | West Virginia | trump | 57 | 24 | |
Clinton | 33 | ||||||
09 – Peb | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Alaska | trump | 47 | 8 | |
Clinton | 39 | ||||||
09 – Peb | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Idaho | trump | 53 | 19 | |
Clinton | 34 | ||||||
09 – Peb | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Montana | trump | 51 | 13 | |
Clinton | 38 | ||||||
09 – Peb | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Thawj Tswj Hwm | South Dakota | trump | 51 | 14 | |
Clinton | 37 | ||||||
09 – Peb | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Washington | Clinton | 53 | 16 | |
trump | 37 | ||||||
09 – Peb | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Delaware | Clinton | 50 | 14 | |
trump | 36 | ||||||
09 – Peb | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Kentucky | trump | 57 | 23 | |
Clinton | 34 | ||||||
09 – Peb | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Nebraska | trump | 49 | 11 | |
Clinton | 38 | ||||||
09 – Peb | Washington Post/Survey Monkey | Thawj Tswj Hwm | Tennessee | trump | 55 | 18 | |
Clinton | 37 |
Hillary tau siv nyiaj ntau lab daus las rau kev tshaj tawm xov xwm rau lub hlis Kev sib txuas lus (txog $ 4 txhiab nyob rau lub asthiv tsis ntev los no) thaum Trump tau coj kom zoo dua ntawm kev tsis sib haum xeeb nyob ib puag ncig nws los txhawb nws tus kheej (tsis tshua muaj hnub uas tsis tshwm sim nyob rau hauv tag nrho cov xov xwm vim li cas) thiab tam sim no pib nqis peev hauv kev tshaj tawm kom nthuav tawm nws cov lus (nws yog kwv yees tias Nws tau siv nyiaj "drisory" $ 200.000).
Dab tsi yog qhov tseeb yog hnub no peb yuav mus koom ib qho kev tshwm sim tshwj xeeb hauv kev sib cav qhov twg Ib tus neeg sib tw tuaj yeem raug kev xaiv tsa tsis zoo. los ntawm gestures zoo li feints nkees Nyob rau hauv rooj plaub ntawm Hillary los yog txhoj puab heev hais lus hauv rooj plaub ntawm Trump.
Tag nrho lub teb chaws yuav saib ze rau qhov kev sib cav hmo no coj tuaj yeem hloov pauv txhua yam, thiab koj tuaj yeem ua tau los ntawm peb lub vev xaib, nrog kev sib tham nyob rau hmo ntuj owls ;).
Koj lub tswv yim
Muaj qee tus feem ntau tawm tswv yim Yog tias lawv tsis tau ntsib, lawv yuav ua rau raug tshem tawm tam sim ntawd thiab mus tas li ntawm lub vev xaib.
EM tsis yog lub luag haujlwm rau cov kev xav ntawm nws cov neeg siv.
Koj puas xav txhawb peb? Ua ib tug Patron thiab tau txais kev nkag tshwj xeeb rau cov panels.