ELECTORAL ADVANCE IN ISRAEL

Netanyahu cov lus tshaj tawm nag hmo ntawm qhov yuav tshwm sim ntawm kev rhuav tshem ntawm Knesset, tsuas yog Israeli Tsev Neeg Sawv Cev, thiab kev hu xov tooj rau kev xaiv tsa thaum ntxov hauv peb lub hlis, yog qhov ua ntej rau kev txhawb nqa ntawm feem ntau haiv neeg thiab sab xis txoj haujlwm hauv Israeli kev nom kev tswv.

Ua ntej, kev xaiv tsa tshiab yuav raug tswj hwm los ntawm cov kev hloov pauv tshiab uas tsim los ntawm kev xaiv tsa, uas nce qhov pib nkag mus rau Knesset los ntawm 2% mus rau 3,25%. Ib qho kev nce ntxiv uas tsis tsim nyog, vim tias hauv kev xaiv tsa yav dhau los muaj ob peb tog hauv lub sijhawm ntawd: Hadash, Balad thiab Kadima, thiab tsuas yog NW nyuam qhuav United Arab List, thiab ua rau nws nyuaj rau cov tog neeg xws li Otzma lossis Ale Yarok nkag mus.

Tag nrho cov kev kwv yees tsis ntev los no kwv yees nce ntawm cov tseem ceeb Israeli kev ntseeg thiab sab xis-tis tog. Lawv kuj tau kwv yees tias lub caij nplooj zeeg muaj zog ntawm kev tshwm sim ntawm 2013, Yesh Atid, nrog rau txoj cai hauv nruab nrab tab sis txoj hauj lwm secular, thiab kev ploj ntawm tus neeg nruab nrab Kadima.

Nag hmo, coinciting nrog kev tshaj tawm ntawm kev rhuav tshem lub chamber, ob qhov kev tshawb fawb kawg tau tshaj tawm, Dialog y Midgam, nyob rau hauv TV channels 10 thiab 2 feem, nws cov txiaj ntsig yog (qhov tshwm sim hauv kev xaiv tsa yav dhau los yog ntxiv rau hauv kab lus):

• Yewish Tsev (Nationalist txoj cai): 17 (12)
• United Torah Judaism (txoj cai kev cai dab qhuas): 8 (7)
• Shas (Jewish nationalism): 7-9 (11)
• Ysrael Beitenu (txoj cai): 10-12 (13)
• Moshe Kahlon (Likud dissident, txoj cai): 10-12 (tshiab)
• Likud (txoj cai): 22 (18)
• Yesh Atid (secular centre-right): 9 (19)
• Kadima (nruab nrab): 0 (2)
• Hatnuah (sab laug): 4 (6)
• Labor Party (social democrat): 13 (15)
• Meretz (social democrat): 7 (6)
• Hadash/UAL/Balad (sab laug, Arabs): 9-11 (11)

Kev lig kev cai, cov xovxwm Israeli nyiam pab pawg neeg rau hauv ob pawg loj, ntawm ib sab tes yog haiv neeg thiab / lossis kev ntseeg txoj cai thiab ntawm qhov tod tes, sab laug sab laug (txawm hais tias cov neeg muaj kev ywj pheej suav nrog ntawm no tsuav yog lawv muaj kev ntseeg). Xyoo 2013, txoj cai ntawd tau txais 61 tus neeg sawv cev thaum lub chaw nruab nrab-sab laug 59. Qhov sib txawv ntawm tsuas yog 2 tus neeg sawv cev yuav hloov pauv loj heev, raws li cov kev kwv yees no, vim tias txoj cai yuav ncav cuag 76-78 tus neeg sawv cev piv rau 42-44 ntawm nruab nrab-sab laug. , kos ib qhov deb ntawm lawv. los ntawm 32 mus rau 36 deputies.

Tsoomfwv yav dhau los tau tsim los ntawm ob tog los ntawm ob qhov chaw: Likud, Ysrael Beitenu, Yesh Atid thiab Hatnuah. Tus tshiab yuav muaj tseeb nyob rau sab xis, tsim nyob ib ncig ntawm Likud, Yewish Tsev, Ysrael Beitenu thiab Moshe Kahlon, uas yuav muaj kev txhawb nqa ntau los tswj hwm. Daim duab ntawm Thawj Fwm Tsav Tebchaws Netanhayu tsis raug nug tam sim no.

http://knessetjeremy.com/2014/12/02/dialogchannel-10-poll-likud-22-bayit-yehudi-17-labor-13-yisrael-beitenu-12-kachlon-12-yesh-atid-9/

http://knessetjeremy.com/2014/12/02/channel-2midgam-poll-likud-22-bayit-yehudi-17-labor-13-yisrael-beitenu-10-kachlon-10-yesh-atid-9-shas-9/