Hillary alaghachila na Trump… maka ugbu a

Mgbe izu abụọ jọgburu onwe ya maka Donald Trump, na nkwupụta na-adịghị mma, na-efunahụ arụmụka, na ego asịrị, Hillary enwetaghachila ụzọ doro anya na ntuli aka.

Dabere na RealClearPolitics, Hillary ga-emecha merie site na ntuli aka ntuli aka 322 ruo 216, ma merie na steeti ndị isi nke Virginia, Florida ma ọ bụ North Carolina.

Maka akụkụ nke ya, FiveThirthyEight, nke anaghị ekenye steeti kama ọ bụ ihe gbasara omume na steeti ọ bụla, na-enye Hillary ugbu a nkezi uru nke ndị nnọchi anya 315.8, ma e jiri ya tụnyere Trump's 222.0. N'iji data a dị n'aka, ọ na-eme atụmatụ na ohere nke nwanyị mbụ bụbu onye isi oche karịa 75%.

Otú ọ dị, ọ dịghị ụzọ ọ bụla e kpebisiri ike. Ebe nrụọrụ weebụ RealClearPolitics na-ewere na Hillary nwere naanị ndị nnọchiteanya 205 nke 270 ọ chọrọ iji merie White House. A ka nwere ndị nnọchi anya 168 na-ekpebighị, nke nwere ike itinye nguzozi n'akụkụ Republican. Ha bụ ndị kwekọrọ na steeti Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Colorado, Nevada, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Iowa, Maine, Arizona na Georgia.

N'ịnụcha ntakịrị karịa, FiveThirtyEight na-emepụta eserese nke n'oge ọ bụla ọ na-enye ndị steeti iwu ka ha siri nwee mmasị n'ebe otu onye ndoro-ndoro ochichi ma ọ bụ ọzọ si dị. N'oge a, steeti etiti, nke ga-ekpebi agbụrụ ahụ ma ọ bụrụ na a na-ekekọta n'etiti ndị ọzọ niile, ga-abụ Colorado. Florida, Pennsylvania ma ọ bụ Nevada bụ steeti ndị ọzọ nwere ike ịchọta onwe ha n'oge ikpeazụ n'ọnọdụ nke ịgbaji agba.

Gịnị ga-emecha mee? Dị nnọọ anya mara ya. Arụmụka nke a ga-eme n'etiti ndị na-eme ntuli aka na 9th nwere ike ịkwanye ahịrị nkewa n'otu akụkụ ma ọ bụ nke ọzọ. Akwụkwọ akụkọ Washington Post na-akọwa ya nke ọma site na onyinye a dị mfe ebe a na-ewepụta ọtụtụ ihe ngosi simulations n'otu n'otu n'ihu anyị: a ka nwere ụzọ dị anya iji gaa ruo Nọvemba 9 na ihe fọrọ nke nta ka ọ bụrụ ihe ọ bụla ga-ekwe omume.