2 × 1: The Great Confluence idzakhala yopambana

Ngati china chake Podemos waphonya Kwa zaka ziwiri zonsezi zakhalapo pagulu momveka bwino pamwamba pa PSOE, kuti anthu aziwoneka ngati njira yokhayo yopitira ku PP.

Kumayambiriro kwa 2015 anali pafupi kukwaniritsa koma pamapeto pake sanapambane. Kuti 20% ya ovota omwe PSOE amawasunga motsutsana ndi zovuta zonse, pamodzi ndi kukonza United Left ngati mphamvu yosiyana, komanso kukhalapo kwa maphwando ambiri amtundu wakumanzere omwe panthawiyo sanachite nawo mgwirizano, adalepheretsa izi. Pakati pa Podemos, IU ndi okonda dziko lamanzere omwe pambuyo pake adalembetsa nawo mgwirizano adafika sumar, mu February 2015, oposa 30 peresenti ya mavoti malinga ndi deta yonse. Ngati panthawiyo adawoneka ogwirizana pamaso pa anthu, ndi ntchito yofanana, zonse zomwe zinachitika pambuyo pake zikanakhala zosiyana kwambiri.. Podemos anali ndi chilichonse chomwe chimakonda, koma a kukonza kumuwona ngati wopambana. Zopinga zoŵerengeka, zochititsa manyazi zazing’ono, zinali zokwanira kuti “kuukira kumwamba” kuthetsedwe. Chipanichi sichinkadziwika kuti chapambana, n’chifukwa chake sichinapambane.

Malingaliro a anthu amasunthidwa ndi zowonera, ndi njira zazifupi zamalingaliro zomwe zimaphatikizidwa pakapita nthawi, zomwe zimatsogolera ku zomwe, m'mabuku a chikhalidwe cha anthu, amachitcha  "kupanga" . Pamene framing ina ikagwira, zimakhala zovuta kuzichotsa. Pablo Iglesias amadziwa kena kake pa izi, ndipo amamvetsetsa zomwe adasowa kuti akwaniritse. Ndi chifukwa chake tsopano ikupereka kufunikira kolumikizana ndi a IU.

Patapita chaka chimodzi kapena kuposerapo, ndi slide wa zokwera ndi zotsika, Podemos tsopano ali ndi mwayi wofanana ndi womwe unali nawo panthawiyo. Mkhalidwewu umakhala wophatikizika kwambiri, maphwando ndi maphwando ena am'madera ndi zoona, Izquierda Unida yapezanso mphamvu, ndi Garzón yemwe wapeza kutchuka; koma Podemos, kumbali ina, ndi yofooka. Pazonse, ziwerengero zimangowonjezera momwe amachitira kale, ngakhale kuti mgwirizano wa mphamvu ndi wosiyana pang'ono. Ndi momwemonso ziyembekezo za wina ndi mzake.

Kutayikira komwe kunachitika dzulo kwasokoneza mapulani a confluence. Iwo anakonza kupereka ntchito chatsekedwa kwambiri kwa anthu, motsogozedwa ndi Podemos, mothandizidwa ndi Izquierda Unida, ndipo anasaina ndi zisanu kapena zisanu ndi ziwiri amphamvu zipani zodziyimira pawokha m'madera awo. tikhoza kuzitcha izo "Kupambana Kwakukulu", monga njira ina ya "The Great Coalition" ya PP-Ciudadanos-PSOE.

Kudumphira m'ma TV posachedwapa kwasokoneza, chifukwa nkhaniyo sinakhale Kulumikizana Kwakukulu komwe gulu la Iglesias limapanga, koma mgwirizano pakati pa Podemos ndi IU. Zikumveka zakale, zazifupi, zosakwanira. Komanso, nkhaniyi ikupitirirabe ndi masiku otsiriza omwe n’zotheka kupanga boma. Izi zingayambitse chisokonezo. Kuphatikizikako sikukugwirizana ndi Iglesias, yemwe ndi katswiri wamaphunziro apamwamba, ndipo adadziwa kuti zinali bwino kuti apite patsogolo pazokambirana mobisa, kusiya kulengeza kwa The Great Confluence pa Epulo 26 kapena 27, pomwe zisankho zatsopano zinali kale. zosapeweka.

Popeza sizinali choncho, zonse zasokonezedwa pang'ono. M'masiku awa, Poganizira za kusinthika, Pedro Sánchez amathabe kuyenda ndi kuyesa njira monyanyira ku Izquierda Unida ndi PNV kuti angasiye Podemos mu mkhalidwe wovuta kubwerera April 23 kapena 24, ngati PSOE anakwanitsa kutenga anthu a Garzón ndi Urkullu ku gawo lake.

Koma tiyeni tisiye zovutazo ndikubwerera kuzochitika zazikulu: Chochitika chachikulu ndichakuti palibe mgwirizano womwe udzachitike komanso kuti pa 26 June padzakhala zisankho. Munthawi imeneyi, Kupambana Kwakukulu kudzakhala paliponse. Society sadzalankhula za china chirichonse (ena kukhala okondwa, ena mantha, koma onse kulankhula za izo). Ngati mamembala a Great Confluence amatha kupereka chithunzi chogwirizana, mtundu wa "mgwirizano mumitundu yosiyanasiyana", Iwo adzakhala mphamvu yamphamvu. Gulu lonse la anthu lidzasintha kupita ku latsopano kukonza, momwe ofuna kuyanjana adzapindula momveka bwino. Pa rebound adzapindulanso Party Yotchuka, chifukwa Kukhazikika kwa anthu onse kudzakhala bipolar: tidzasankha pakati pa izi kapena izo; pakati pa buluu kapena wofiirira.

The Great Confluence idzakhala ndi malo achiwiri otsimikizika, ndipo nthawi idzakuthamangirani. Chiwopsezo chawo chokha chingakhale kuluza zisankho za 26-J kupita ku PP. Koma ngakhale zili choncho, adzakhala atapindula zinthu zina zambiri. Adzakhala atapeza ukulu kumanzere, popeza PSOE (ndi Ciudadanos) idzasiyidwa kumbuyo, kupitirira maganizo a anthu omwe adzakhalanso awiri.

The Great Confluence idzapikisana ndi zisankho motsutsana ndi Chipani Chotchuka chomwe chidzamangidwa unyolo ndipo chidzayenera kuwonetsa ngati woimira (palibe malo ena) Mariano Rajoy wopsereza. Iwo akhoza ngakhale kupambana zisankho mwachindunji, ndi namondwe mlengalenga. Koma ngakhale atawataya, adzipeza mu Seputembala kukhala mutu wosatsutsika wa otsutsa. Mmodzi yekhayo.

Ndi gulu lankhondo la achinyamata pang'onopang'ono kudziphatikiza ngati ovota atsopano. Ndi okalamba ambiri akusiya pang'onopang'ono, pazifukwa zachilengedwe, Party Yotchuka. Ndili ndi zaka ziwiri kapena zitatu zakuyandikira komanso chuma chomwe sichingapitirire kuchira, Amuna a Pablo Iglesias angoyenera kusiya kuti zinthu zikhwime mpaka atapambana.

Cholinga cha zolemba za "2 × 1" ndikuyambitsa mkangano: kulumikizana ndi nkhani yotsutsana

@josesalver