22M, Sarudzo dzeDhipatimendi muFrance: Ongororo yemamiriro ezvinhu. -Electomania

Ongororo huru dzakaburitswa nguva pfupi yadarika (CSA, Opinion Way, Harris Interactive naOdoxa, vese kubva munaKurume 4 kusvika 6) vanofanotaura kuenzana kukuru pakati pemapato matatu esarudzo emuFrance eSarudzo dzeDhipatimendi dzava pedyo, muna Kurume 22 (muchikamu chekutanga).

	FG	PS-vabatsiri	EE-LV	Modem	UDI (NC)	UMP-vabatsiri	FN
2011 Sarudzo	7,9%	32,9%	8,2%	1,2%	3,2%	28,5%	15,1%
CSA	6%	21%	2%	5%		25%	29%
Opinion Way	7%	21%	2%	-	29%		28%
Harris Interactive	6%	21%	4%	3%	28%		30%
odoxa	8%	20%	4%	-	29%		31%

Boka rekuruboshwe raizove nePS, FG, EE-LV, PRG nemamwe mapato madiki nevamiriri vakazvimirira. Iyo yepakati-kurudyi bloc neUMP, UDI, MoDem nevamwe. Iyo FN inozviratidza yega munenge ese makatoni, ichitarisa zvikuru tarisiro yayo kuchamhembe (Picardie nePas de Calais) uye Mediterranean (Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur neLanguedoc-Roussillon).

Muzviitiko zvakawanda zvakaoma kuwana chiono chenyika sezvo mibatanidzwa padanho renzvimbo yakawanda uye yakasiyana.

The inotarisirwa kutora chikamu yakaderera zvikuru, kumativi 43% (CSA 42%, IFOP 43% uye Opinion Way 44%). Izvi zvinoreva kuti mu2, uye yekupedzisira, kutenderera kwaKurume 29, anenge ese "duels" achange ari pakati pemauto maviri ekutanga, nekuti kuti pave ne "triangular" (wechitatu mumiriri) zvakafanira kuti iye. pfuura gumi nemaviri, 12,5% yecensus muchikamu chekutanga, kureva kuti, anenge makumi matatu muzana emavhoti (chimwe chinhu chakaoma kune wechitatu).

Mamiriro ezvinhu aya anofarira, a priori, FN uye nechepakati-kurudyi, sezvo kuruboshwe kunoonekwa zvakanyanya kukamukana (mu25% yemacantons vanopa matatu kana anopfuura rondedzero dzakasiyana), uye vanogona kunge vasina vakwikwidzi muchikamu chechipiri munzvimbo dzakawanda. .

	1 mumiriri	2 vanoda kukwikwidza	3 kana kudarika
FN	100%	-	-
Pakati kurudyi	69%	25%	4%
Kuruboshwe	21%	53%	25%

Imwe nzira inotaurira ye2nd round inopihwa neHarris Interative:

Muchiitiko chekukwikwidzana pakati pevamiriri veFN nePS, 15% yevatsigiri veUMP vanosarudza kuti bato ravo rikumbire vhoti yeFN, zvichienzaniswa ne14% vanosarudza kuti vanokumbira vhoti yePS (republican front). 16% vanoda kuti vakumbire vhoti isina chinhu uye 55% vanosarudza kuti hapana mirairo inopihwa.

Kana paine makakatanwa pakati pevamiriri veFN neUMP, 70% yevanoda gutsaruzhinji vanoda kuti bato ravo ritsigire mumiriri weUMP, 2% vanotsigira mumiriri weFN, 8% kuti kukumbirwe vhoti isina chinhu uye 20% kuti hapana mirayiridzo yakapihwa. .

Odaxa inopawo zviratidzo zvechikamu chechipiri.

Mumakwikwi eFN-UMP, masocialists aizosarudza 52% yeUMP uye 8% yeFN, 40% vaizorega. UMP yaizowana 65% yerutsigiro rwevavhoti veFG.

Mumakwikwi eFN-PS, vanochengetedza vanovhota 28% yeFN uye 27% yePS. 45% vangada kurega. Iyo PS yaizove ne70% yerutsigiro rwevavhoti veFG.

Mumakwikwi eUMP-PS, vavhoti veFN vaizosarudza 50% yeUMP uye 5% yePS.

Nezviratidzo izvi zvinogona kufanotaurwa kuti UMP ichahwina muhuwandu hwevatevedzeri, paine musiyano wakanyanya pamusoro pePS. Chikuru chisingazivikanwe kuziva kuti FN ichawana mangani.

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