Ko kana tikasarudza vatevedzeri semuFrance?

Isu tinonyunyuta pamusoro pekushaikwa kwekuenzanisa kwehurongwa hweSpain, kuti PP nePSOE vanowana zvigaro zvakawanda kupfuura zvavangave nazvo kana hurongwa hwaive hwakanaka, kuti Ciudadanos (uye kunyange Podemos) kuwana zvishoma, kuti vamwe vemarudzi vanosiya vakabatsirwa, nezvimwewo. , nezvimwewo. Asi zvakadini kana hurongwa hwedu hwakafanana neFrench?

KuFrance vane sarudzo mangwana. Ikoko vatevedzeri havasarudzwe kuburikidza nemazita, asi munzvimbo dzine nhengo imwe chete: Mudunhu rimwe nerimwe anosarudzwa mumwe chete mutevedzeri, uyo anowana mavhoti akawanda. Vanozviita mumakumbo maviri; Mune yekutanga, iyo yakaitwa musi wegumi neimwe, vamiriri vakawana 11% yemavhoti akakandwa uye 50% yehuwandu hwekuverenga vanhu vakasarudzwa zvakananga. Mamiriro acho akaoma zvokuti, kana data yedu yakarurama, yezvigaro zve25 muFrench National Assembly, vatevedzeri gumi nerimwe chete vakasarudzwa. Vamwe vose, 577, vakasiiwa kune rechi566.

Vamiriri vaviri vekutanga muhuwandu hwemavhoti vanoenda kuchikamu chechipiri (sarudzo dzemavhoti), uye vechitatu vanosvika vanosvika 12.5% ​​rutsigiro. pahuwandu hwekuverenga vanhu, izvo, zvichienderana nekutora chikamu kunoitika, zvingada zvinopfuura makumi maviri kubva muzana emavhoti akaiswa. Izvi zvinounza mhedzisiro yekuda "kusiya", "mubatanidzwa" uye kuvhota kunobatsira pakati pevavhoti veFrance, izvo dzimwe nguva zvinokonzeresa kushamisika muchikamu chechipiri ichi, kunyanya mumatunhu anorongerwa vamiriri vatatu.

Kuti titarise zvaizoitika kuSpain nehurongwa hwakadai, takaita simulation. Nekuda kwehuwandu hwevatevedzeri vava neprovince imwe neimwe, takavapatsanura kuva matunhu ane vanhu vakafanana, tikaongorora kuti nderipi bato raizokunda mudunhu rega rega musi wa26 Chikumi 2016. Zvabuda izvitinya kurudyi, vhura tebhu nyowani kuti uwedzere):

ZVINOKOSHA: "Chiwi" chebhuruu muAlava hachisi dunhu asi chikamu chedunhu rekuchamhembe kweBurgos. Pakati peCuenca neTeruel pane Valencian enclave isiri dunhu, asi chikamu chedunhu riri padyo nenharaunda yaro inozvitonga. Kumaodzanyemba kwakadziva kumadokero kweToledo kune enclave yeCiudad Real, iri chikamu chayo uye kwete dunhu rakaparadzana.

MuSpain, muchikamu chekutanga tingadai takatopa vatevedzeri gumi nemumwe, vese kuBato Rakakurumbira (mumatunhu ari mukati meGalicia, kumaodzanyemba kwakadziva kumadokero kweCastilla y León, Ceuta neMurcia).

Muchikamu chechipiri, sezvatinoona mumepu huru iri pamusoro, hukuru hweBato Rakakurumbira hunenge hwakajeka, kunyange zvazvo mutambo wezvibvumirano, kunyanya kuruboshwe, unogona kupa migumisiro inoshamisa mumatunhu chaiwo.

Basa ratinopa, hongu, ndiro mutambowo zvawo, nokuti chokwadi chiri nyore che kuchinja hurongwa hwesarudzo kunokanganisa maitiro evavhoti, uye inoita kuti data kubva kwatinotanga (sarudzo huru dze26-J) dzisarudze. Uyezve, kuita kuenzanisa uku kunodiwa kutanga kubva munhevedzano yefungidziro, kupatsanurwa zvisina tsarukano mumatunhu uye kuchinjisa mavhoti izvo, zvisinei nekuti zvingaite senge zvine musoro sei kune ani zvake anozviverenga, zvinogara zvichinetsa.

Nekudaro, kunyangwe iyo mepu ine nharo zvakanyanya padanho reruzivo, Ruzivo rwainopa kune nyika yese ndeyechokwadi. Hurongwa hweFrance hunobvumira hukuru hwakakwana kuti huwanikwe nezvikamu zvidiki zvekuvhota (nazvo PP yaizowana ruzhinji ruzhinji kunyangwe ichingova ne33% yemavhoti). Asi, kusiyana nehurongwa hweChirungu, France inofarira kubuda kwemapato makuru e "centrist" anokunda vatevedzeri mumutambo wechipiri. Ciudadanos hapana chaanowana mukuenzanisa kwedu, asi kana iyi sarudzo yakaitwa zvechokwadi muSpain, inogona kushuvira kune chimwe chinhu chakasiyana kana yaiziva kutamba makadhi ayo zvakanaka dunhu nedunhu. Iri ndiro kiyi inotsanangura mhedzisiro inofanoona iyo Macron "centrist" bato ichawana.

En imwe nyaya Masvondo mashoma apfuura takaburitsa simulation inoenderana neGreat Britain.

The single return, zvakafanana nehurongwa hweChirungu, inoita matanda, zvakanyanyisa, bheji yepamusoro yesarudzo. Pane kudaro, iyo kaviri French turn,  uko vakwikwidzi vatatu vanoenda kuchikamu chechipiri, inoita kuti pakati ive sarudzo yakanaka. Naizvozvo, mutambo wakapindirana pakati pemaviri makuru, chero bedzi ikawana zvikamu zvevhoti zviri pedyo ne20% mumatunhu akawanda, ine zvakawanda zvingasarudzwa kuti uwane nhamba huru yevatevedzeri mumutambo wechipiri.

Naizvozvo, nehurongwa hwechiRungu nemavhoti mamwe chete akawanikwa pa26-J, Unidos Podemos yaizowana vatevedzeri vakawanda kupfuura PSOE. NechiFrench, kwete.

Pasinei nekusiyana, Masisitimu ese ari maviri, Chirungu neFrench, ane chinhu chakakosha zvakafanana: ivo vakanyanya hukuru. Mavari hapana kuwirirana kwepedyo pakati pezana revhoti uye nhamba yezvigaro. MuSpain, pasina kuve kure nekukwana, iko kuwirirana kwakakwira zvakanyanya.

Kuti sarudzo dzinotevera dzidaidzwe muEurope, ticharamba tichiedza nzira dzakafanana, uye tichavandudza muenzaniso. Zvose mazano nemipiro zvichagamuchirwa.