Germany: donhedza kutsigira Merkel mushure mekuita kwake pamusoro pevapoteri.

Mamiriro matsva ezvematongerwo enyika anoratidzwa musarudzo nekudonha kwaMerkel mukuzivikanwa nekuda kwekutsigira kwake vapoteri, kunyanya kubatsira eurosceptic nationalist AfD, uye pakudzokorodza kunosanganisa Grand Coalition.

Ongororo yeongororo dzichangoburwa kubva kuAllensbach, Emnid, Forsa, FgW, GMS, Infratest Dimap neINSA:

Hapana kana chimwe chazvo chinowana nzvimbo yepakati-kurudyi (CDU/CSU neFDP) inowana ruzhinji rwakakwana, asi kwete mapato eruboshwe (SPD, Grüne naLinke).

FDP yaizopinda muBundestag ye6 yevhoti, uye INSA chete inovasiya pamasuo ne4,5% (5% inodiwa), musiyano uri mukati memuganhu wekukanganisa kwepi zvayo sarudzo.

Naizvozvo AfD ndiyo yaizove mutongi gava pane chero hurumende kunze kweGrand Coalition. Kuti udzivise mamiriro ezvinhu aya, sezvo Merkel (CDU) kana Gabriel (SPD) asiri kuda kusvika chero chibvumirano naPetry (AfD), Grand Coalition inounzwa seimwe nzira inogoneka.

Avhareji yeongororo inoratidza:

•AfD: 6,9%
•CDU/CSU: 37,4%
•FDP: 5,2%
•Grüne: 10,4%
•SPD: 24,8%
•Kubatanidza: 9,2%

Paavhareji kukosha, hapana block inowana huwandu hwakakwana kana. Pakati-kurudyi yaizoramba iine 42,6% uye kuruboshwe 44,4%, neAfD (kurudyi), iine inenge 7%, iri kiyi kuhurumende. Chete sarudzo: kudzokororwa kweGrand Coalition.

Vatungamiri vematunhu chete vasiri maChristian Democrats (CDU/CSU) kana Social Democrats (SPD) vaizodonha zvinoenderana nesarudzo dzichangobva kuitika:

* Thuringia:

INSA yakaburitsa ongororo yeThuringia, iyo chete Nyika inotongwa neLinke, umo inoonekwa kuti kubva muzhizha Linke yakadonha pamwero wakafanana nekukura kweAfD. Zvinoita sekunge ingave imwe Nyika yakananga kuGrand Coalition:

•CDU: 35,5%… (33,5%)
• Link: 24,5%… (28,2%)
•SPD: 15,5%… (12,4%)
•AfD: 12%… (10,6%)
•Grüne: 6,5%… (5,7%)

Mumaparenthesi mune data yakawanikwa musarudzo dzakapfuura, muna 2014. Kuruboshwe kunoramba kwakagadzikana mumavhoti asi nekuwedzera mapoinzi mana AfD uye 4 CDU, vanorasikirwa nehuwandu hwakakwana hwavanofarira parizvino.

* Baden-Württemberg:

Imwe sarudzo ichangoburwa yeINSA inogona kudzinga maGreens kubva kumutungamiri weNyika chete yavanotonga: Baden-Württemberg.

•CDU: 40%… (39%)
•Grüne: 24%… (24,2%)
•SPD: 16%… (23,1%)
•AfD: 8%… (yakanga isipo)
•FDP: 5%… (5,3%)
•Kubatanidza: 5%… (2,8%)

Muchiitiko ichi kuruboshwe (Grüne, SPD uye Linke) sumarian 45% uye pakati-kurudyi (CDU, FDP) imwe 45%, ine kiyi kuhurumende kuve AfD ine simba ine 8%. Iyo yega sarudzo yekudzivisa simba rekuita sarudzo reAfD ingave Grand Coalition.

Kana fungidziro yeINSA ikasimbiswa, nyika dzese dzeGerman dzinotungamirwa nevatungamiriri veCDU/CSU neSPD.

Bavaria:

Ongororo yeGMS yeBavaria inofanotaura kudzoka kweFDP kuparamende yedunhu uye kupinda kweAfD, iyo muna 2013 haina kana kuoneka.

•CSU: 46%… (47,7%)
•SPD: 18%… (20,6%)
•Grüne: 12%… (8,6%)
•FDP: 6%… (3,3%)
•FW: 6%… (9%)
•AfD: 8%… (haina kuoneka)

Iyo CSU ine simba inogona kurasikirwa neruzhinji rwakakwana, asi kwete hurumende, sezvo pasina imwe nzira.