El día 20 se han difundido dos sondeos y una estimación para las elecciones en Francia. En este caso no incluiremos la estimación obtenida a partir del análisis de Big Data en redes (marcada con un *) en nuestra media, ya que por metodología no se podría considerar una encuesta como tal.

A falta de conocer cómo afectará el atentado de ayer en Paris a las estimaciones electorales, un dato que conoceremos mañana, Macron se consolida fuerte en primera posición mientras Fillon y Melenchon siguen empatados luchando por la tercera plaza.

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10 Comentarios
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Barry192
Barry192 (@barry)
Member
3 years ago

Si quienes pasan a la segunda vuelta son Macron y Le Pen, va a haber una crisis tremenda en los dos partidos tradicionales. Recordemos que en Junio vienen las legislativas… y que PS y LR tienen el 80% de los diputados.

Si se produce un efecto arrastre en las legislativas (siempre ocurre), buena parte de esos diputados pueden perder su escaño.

MiguiCM
MiguiCM
Guest
3 years ago

Yo creo que parar la campaña es justamente darles poder a los terroristas. El estado de derecho ha de mantener su dinámica sin ceder a chantajes. Ahora bien, se podría hacer excepciones si la cantidad de victimas es muy grande, por respeto, habría que ver que hacer en este caso.

FandeLenin
FandeLenin
Guest
3 years ago

Primera encuesta que veo que de una segunda vuelta Fillon-Melénchon
(personalmente no creo que pase eso, ya que Le Pen pasará seguro a segunda vuelta)

PlatonFR
PlatonFR
Guest
3 years ago

Elabe

Melenchon 19'5 (+1'5)

Macron 24 (=)

Fillon 20 (+0'5)

Le Pen 21'5 (-1'5)