UHawking ucacisa ngo-26-J (encediswa nguKiko Llaneras)

Sihlangule eli nqaku elibhaliweyo ngoMeyi 16, 2016 (inyanga enye emva konyulo jikelele lwe-26-J), njengembeko kwisazinzulu esifa namhlanje. Phumla ngoxolo, kwaye ndiyabulela ngobomi obusimema ukuba sibhabhe kwaye singamkeli nayiphi na inkolelo okanye ukhuseleko ngokulungileyo:

16-05-2016. 00:20 horas:

Inzululwazi yezentlalo kunye nenzululwazi enzima zizinto ezimbini ezahlukeneyo, kodwa ngamanye amaxesha luncedo ukuzoba ukuhambelana.

Ngokomzekelo, ezinye iingcali zefiziksi zithi izigidi zendalo iphela ezinxusene nale yethu zizalwa mzuzu ngamnye. I-electron nganye (umzekelo) esenziwe ngayo, ineendlela ezizezinye ezahlukileyo zomkhondo wayo. Indlela yakhe ayimiselwanga kwangaphambili. sibonwa ngaphandle, i-electron nganye ihlala kulwandle olunokwenzeka yahluke kancinane, kwaye iingcali ezininzi zefiziksi zitolika zonke La mathuba abonakala kwindalo iphela ehambelanayo eqhubeka izalwa. Kakade ke, indalo nganye, xa sele izelwe, iyazahlula ngakumbi nangakumbi kuzo zonke ezinye, kwimpembelelo enkulu yebhabhathane: uqhushumbo oluqhubekayo lwamathuba.

Asenziwanga ngeziqinisekiso, kodwa ngamafu okunokwenzeka

Oku kwafika engqondweni xa ndabona igrafu elungiselelwe nguKiko Llaneras kuphando lwakhe lwe-El Español. U-Kiko Llaneras upapasha uninzi lwesibindi somsebenzi wakhe, kwaye oko kuvula iimbono ezibanzi. Igrafu yakho ikhumbuza kakhulu ukwenza isishwankathelo kwiimbali ze-quantum physics, okanye kuguqulelo lwendalo ehambelanayo endikhe ndaphawula ngayo ngaphambili.

Indalo iphela, njengoko ixesha lihamba, liphonononga okunokwenzeka okutsha, lidibanisa amathuba amaninzi ngokulinganayo kunye nekamva lokwenyani.

Uvavanyo lwe-El Español lwe-26-J. Inqaku ngalinye lisiphumo sokulinganisa. Umndilili akufuneki uphendule kuyo nayiphi na kuzo ngokuthe ngqo.

Igrafu isusela kusuku olungaphambi kwayizolo, kwaye isinika, njengoko uphando luhlala lusenza, umndilili. Uthi i-PP iya kufumana izihlalo ze-128, ukuba i-Unidos Podemos iya kufumana i-84 ... Ukuza kuthi ga ngoku ukuba wonke umntu wenza ntoni. Kodwa ke ifundisa enye into: ibonisa loo nto umndilili asiyonyani. Ekuphela kwento esiyibonayo ngokwenene ngaphandle lilifu lezinto ezinokwenzeka. Ngendlela enye enye yee-electron ezihlala kuthi ngokuqhubekayo ithatha iifolokhwe eziyithathayo (kwaye isithathe nayo) ngokusebenzisa izigidi zeendlela ezahlukeneyo ezahlukeneyo, ngendlela yokuba singenakuze siyifumane ngokupheleleyo, uphando lusebenza ngendlela efanayo. impahla. Amathuba ekhoyo ngokwenene kuphando lwe-El Español ngamanqaku ahlukeneyo avela kwigrafu. Umzekelo kuba PP, basuka malunga 87 ukuba 149 izihlalo.  Nantoni na engaphakathi kolu luhlu iyahambelana nophando.

Amathuba kwiPSOE zisusela malunga nezihlalo ezingama-39 ukuya kwezili-109.

Ngaba oku kuthetha ukuba zonke iziphelo ezinokubakho zinokwenzeka ngokulinganayo? Hayi akunjalo. Ezinye zinokwenzeka ngakumbi kunabanye. U-Kiko Llaneras usibonise ukuba kutheni kunyulo lwangaphambili lwe-20-D, ngale grafu enye:

Uvavanyo lwe-El Español lwe-20-D. Ukuhanjiswa okunokwenzeka. Ifolokhwe ye-50% enokwenzeka esembindini.

Apha kunokubonwa oko ezinye iziphelo zinokwenzeka kakhulu kunezinye. Kwakungenakwenzeka ukuba iPP ifumane inani lezihlalo ezingama-20, okanye i-300, ku-12-D. Kwaye ayizange ifumaneke, kunjalo. Kwaye kukuba i-20-D, onke amaqela aphumelele inani lamasekela ebekunokwenzeka ngokophando olwenziwa yi-El Español ngelo xesha. Kodwa, ngexesha elifanayo, kuvela ukuba ezinye (ingakumbi iiPodemos phezulu kunye neCiudadanos ezantsi), baya kwelinye icala legrafu: bahlala kangangoko kunokwenzeka, kodwa abazange baphelele kumbindi wokusasazwa. Kuyinto eqhelekileyo ukuba oku kwenzeke; Kusengqiqweni ukuba, ngeendlela ezahlukeneyo ezizezinye zezinto ezahlukeneyo, ezinye zazo ziphela zithe nca kwelinye icala okanye kwelinye. Ukuze uCiudadanos afumane amasekela angama-40 kuphela akunakwenzeka (uphando kwi ± 94% yamatyala lunike ngaphezulu) kodwa ngokugqibeleleyo kunokwenzeka. Mhlawumbi eCiudadanos, ngokungaqapheli ukuba lo mngcipheko wawuyinyani, babenethemba kakhulu ngaphambi kwe-20-D, kwaye oku kwabenza ukuba benze izigqibo eziphosakeleyo, eziphelile ukuba zitshone. Soze sazi, kodwa isoyikiso sikhona kuye nabani na okholelwa kwiintsomi zobisi ezisekelwe kuvoto. ukufunda kakubi.

Ukuba uCiudadanos wafumana amasekela angama-40 kuphela kwi-20-D akunakwenzeka kodwa ngokugqibeleleyo kunokwenzeka.

Masibuyele ku-26-J size sifunde isifundo. Ukuba ekugqibeleni isiphumo sonyulo asifani nomndilili, sinokugqiba ukuba ii-polls zikhutshiwe. Sinelungelo lokufikelela kweso sigqibo kwaye sisenokuba sichanekile. Kodwa nathi sinokucinga ukuba into esinayo ngumdlalo onokwenzeka, kwaye, ngaphakathi kwabo, asikayazi into enokwenzeka: Njengesicwangciso sokufumana inzuzo kumdlalo, mhlawumbi le ndlela yesibini yokucinga ikrelekrele ngakumbi. Masingathabathi idatha yokugqibela yophando njengenyani kuba azinjalo, nokuba zenziwe ngokugqibeleleyo. Idata abasinika yona yile, yintoni enokwenzeka nangaliphi na ixesha.

I-Unidos Podemos inokufezekisa i-26-J, kuphela amasekela angama-45, kodwa kunye ne-118.

Idatha evela ku-El Español kolu lonyulo, esinethamsanqa lokuyibona idiliziwe ngasentla, sixelele, umzekelo, ukuba I-Unidos Podemos inokugqiba ukufumana amasekela angama-45, kodwa kunye ne-118. Ngaba ezo ndlela zimbini zinokukhethwa kakhulu? Hayi hayi: kukho ezinye ezigxile kakhulu kwaye ke zinokwenzeka ngakumbi. Kodwa Asinakuqiniseka ukuba into efana nale iya kwenzeka ekugqibeleni. Okunokwenzeka kakhulu, ngokutsho kolu phononongo, kukuba i-UP iya kuphumelela phakathi kwezihlalo ezingama-74 kunye ne-94. Malunga ne-50% yamanqaku agxininiswe kolu luhlu (i-Kikollan simulations, i-parallel universes ye-quantum physicist). Kodwa enye i-50% yamanqaku, kwiindalo ezizayo ezinokwenzeka, zivelisa iziphumo ezahlukeneyo. Ukuba bendiyinkokeli ye-UP, bendiya kwaphula intliziyo yam ukufikelela kwi-110 okanye i-115 amasekela, kuba yinto enokwenzeka ngokugqibeleleyo, kodwa kwangaxeshanye ndiza kuthatha amanyathelo ukuba ndingaweli kwiindawo ezisezantsi zegrafu, ukuba basekhona. Umndilili ayikho: i-avareji (izihlalo ezingama-84) yintsomi nje de umsebenzi wamaza ungaweli kwidatha ethile ngobusuku be-26-J. Le ndlela yokujonga lo mbandela yaziwa kwiingcali zefiziksi njenge "inkcazo yeCopenhagen," kwaye iya kufanelana nabo bathi sifanele sibukeke njengeDenmark kakuhle. Ewe, ukuba asiyifundi iKant, kunzima kuthi ukuba siyifunde iBohr. Kwaye oko kubonisa.

Okwangoku, ekuphela kwento amaqela anayo esandleni lifu lamathuba okuqwalasela: amanqaku amaninzi apho anokugqiba ukuwa.

Masibuyele kwisakhiwo seengongoma. Ukhetha ngokungenamkhethe naziphi na iingongoma ezine, elinye kumaqela amane aphambili. Ukuba wenza ngokufanelekileyo, unokubona ukuba zonke iintlobo zokudibanisa zisenokwenzeka njani: ukuba i-PP ifike kwisithathu, ukuba i-Ciudadanos ifike okwesibini, ukuze i-UP iphumelele unyulo ... Ngaba ezi zikhetho ezinokwenzeka kakhulu? Hayi abekho njalo. Ngaba zizinto ezizezinye ezinokwenziwa? Ewe, ewe banjalo.

Ukuba endaweni yolu phando lwe-El Español, kukho umntu osinike indlela efanayo kulo naluphi na olunye uphando, siya kubona amafu ahlukileyo kancinane, ngokuxhomekeke kucalucalulo lomntu ngamnye. Kodwa, ngaphaya koku, umyalezo osisiseko awutshintshi: asilunganga ukukholelwa kumaxabiso aphakathi esiwafumana kuphando, kuba kunjalo nje, i-avareji. Akukho nokuba umda wempazamo abawenza esidlangalaleni unokuthenjwa ngokwaneleyo, kuba nakulo mda, i-2% okanye i-3% yamathuba olwazi ngalunye luhlala lubaleka: ezo zigqithise kakhulu, kodwa akukho nyani ngaphantsi koko.

Ikamva livulekile. Siphila kwihlabathi elinezinto ezinokwenzeka, hayi iziqinisekiso.

Kwimeko yonyulo jikelele, ukuthambekela ukuba naluphi na uphando olunokuthi lube nalo longezwa ekungaqinisekisi kwezibalo, kwaye koku kukho ubukho beendawo apho kukho imitsi ngequbuliso esekelwe kumthetho wonyulo, kwaye koku kwakhona kongezwa iphulo lonyulo elingcono okanye elibi kakhulu. ngamnye wenza, kwaye kuloo nto, kwimeko yaseSpain, kufuneka songeze ukuthula okunyanzeliswayo kokuvota ngexesha leentsuku ezintlanu zokugqibela zephulo. Izinto ezininzi, ukuguquguquka okuninzi.

Kwangolo suku lunye, umhla wama-26, ngomzuzu omnye ukuya kweyesibhozo emva kwemini, kuya kusekho amathuba ahlukeneyo avuliweyo, nangona embalwa kunangoku. Nathi, ngamnye wethu, njengenxalenye yembali, sinokuphembelela into ethile kwinkqubo. Abapolitiki abafanelekileyo, ngokuqinisekileyo, baya kuba nefuthe elingakumbi. Iingxoxo, iimpazamo, izijekulo,... ziya kwenza ukuba okunokwenzeka kwenzeke okanye kunyamalale. Kwaye umdlalo wamanani, ithuba kunye nolungelelwaniso olungazinzanga ekugqibeleni lwenziwe, luya kwenza okuseleyo.

Amaxhala okufikisa kwabaninzi, abafuna ukuqinisekiswa, afuna iziqinisekiso. Kodwa asinakubuza into enjalo kuphando, oluhlala kwihlabathi elahlukileyo: azikho kwaye azinakusetyenziselwa loo nto. Masigcine intloko epholileyo. Isiqinisekiso asikho: umdlalo udlalwa ngoku kwaye imida ibanzi kakhulu.

Izihloko zamaphephandaba zifuna kwaye zifuna ukufikelela kwizigqibo eziqinileyo, kodwa inyaniso ngenye indlela. ukuba umntu uyazama ukubheja ngamanani athile, kufuneka uyazi loo nto ukhetha ukhetho olunye phakathi kwezigidi ezinokwenzeka. Ngokuqinisekileyo uya kuba ungalunganga. Ukuba bonke abantu baseSpeyin, kunye nevoti yabo, bafake ukubheja kwevoti kwipesenti eya kufunyanwa liqela ngalinye kumaqela amane amakhulu, ngokucazululwa kwedesimali enye, kunokwenzeka ukuba kungabikho mntu uya kukwazi ukuyilungisa. Amathuba afana nalawo echibi elinzima le-15 hits.

Ngoko akukho mntu ufanele adandatheke ngoJuni 27 ngenxa yolindelo olungazalisekanga. Kungaphezulu, akukho mntu kufuneka enze ukulindela impumelelo okanye ukungaphumeleli ngokukhawuleza. Ungatsho ukuba asizange silumkise.