EJamani: uhlalutyo lwemeko emva kweveki yokunyuka kwe-AfD.

Uhlalutyo olufutshane lwaseJamani kwiintsuku ezilishumi emva kwetsunami yonyulo ye-AfD kunyulo lwengingqi yaseBaden-Württemberg, eRhineland-Palatinate naseSaxony-Anhalt.

Ukubona imiphumo yolo nyulo, kwanele ukubona i-evolution ukuba uphando lubonisa phakathi kwee-barometers ngaphambi kwaloo mini kunye nasemva koko, ngokuqwalasela ukuba amaxesha awalingani (ngenyanga, nge-biweekly okanye ngeveki) ngoko iziganeko zesiphumo. kunyulo lonyulo luza kuba nezinto ezahlukeneyo.

Ukuqulunqa idatha esuka kwii-barometers eziphambili (i-Infratest dimap, i-Emnid, i-Forsa, i-FgW, i-GMS kunye ne-INSA), ukulahla i-Allensbach ngenxa yokungapapasha nayiphi na i-barometer ngomsebenzi wentsimi emva kwe-13 kaMatshi, le datha ilandelayo ifunyenwe:

• I-AfD: iyakhula kulo lonke uphando, ukusuka kwi-1 ukuya kwi-3 amanqaku.
• I-CDU/CSU: indlela yokuhla. Kwii-barometers ezi-4 zehla i-1 okanye i-2 amanqaku. Kwii-barometers ezi-2 zihlala zizinzile.
• FDP: uphuculo olungephi. Kubonakala ngathi abantu abakhululekileyo bayasinda kula manzi alwayo. Kwi-survey ye-2 yehla i-1 point kodwa kwenye i-4 inyuka nge-0,5 iphuzu ukuya kwi-2 amanqaku e-GMS.
• I-Grüne: ikhula kulo lonke uphando, umvuzo wabalobi ngumlambo ombi. Banyuka ukusuka kwi-1 ukuya kwi-3 amanqaku.
• I-SPD: ithontsi enkulu, baphulukana nenqaku eli-1 ukuya kwe-3. Kuphela ngu-Insa ozigcina zizinzile. Kubonakala ngathi ngabona bachaphazeleka kakhulu.
• Unxulumano: ukuhla ukuya epatini elikhangeleka lilalele kwaye lingasabeli. Uya kuphulukana 0,5 ukuba 2 amanqaku. Kuphela ngu-Emnid ozigcina zizinzile.

Ukulinganisa indaleko, umyinge weemvavanyo ezi-6 ubonisiwe:

• I-AfD: +1,7%
• CDU/CSU: -1%
• FDP: +0,4%
• IGrüne: +1,8%
• SPD: -1,7%
• Unxulumano: -1,1%

NgoSeptemba kuya kubakho izithuba ezimbini ezintsha zonyulo lwengingqi. EBerlin, i-AfD kulindeleke ukuba ifikelele kwi-10% yeevoti, kodwa urhulumente wobumbano omkhulu kuMhlaba akakho sengozini. Kwaye eMecklenburg-Western Pomerania i-AfD inokulandela indlela yaseSaxony-Anhalt, enye iLizwe esempuma, kwaye ifumane ngokulula i-20% yeevoti. Urhulumente omkhulu wembumba akakho sengozini naye.

Umkhwa eJamani uhamba ukusuka kwi-2 amaqela amakhulu (CDU / CSU kunye ne-SPD) kunye ne-2 amaqela aphakathi (Grüne kunye ne-Linke) ukuya kwi-2 enkulu (efanayo), i-2 ephakathi (AfD kunye neGrüne) kunye ne-2 encinci ( FDP kunye ne-Linke) kwaye Ngokumangalisayo, kuwo onke amanqanaba amathathu kuya kuba neqela elisekhohlo kunye neqela elifanelekileyo, kwiinguqulelo zabo ezahlukeneyo. Ukukhubazeka kukuba nje ukuba i-AfD kunye ne-Linke ingathathwa njengeqela "eliphilileyo" lokuxoxisana, amathuba okubambisana norhulumente ancitshiswa kakhulu ... phantse yonke into iya kugqiba kwintlangano enkulu.

Inqaku leCDDMT.