NgoLwesibini oMkhulu (II): Umsitho obalulekileyo kwiiprimaries eNew York.

Ulonyulo olubalulekileyo ngomso kwiphondo laseNew York.

Yenzelwe yena Iqela leDemokhrasi inzuzo kwi-polls Clinton ukusuka kwi-10 ukuya kwi-17 amanqaku. Kuhlala kubonwa ukuba i-NY iya kuba lilizwe apho ii-poll zilungile, njenge-Ohio okanye iFlorida, okanye ilizwe apho ii-poll ziye zawajongela phantsi amaSanders, njenge-Idaho okanye i-Utah.

Nokuba kwenzeka ntoni kuyacaca ukuba Sanders iya kuqhubeka, ngoko kuya kufuneka silinde kude kube ngoLwesibini ozayo i-26, kunye nokuqeshwa kumazwe amaninzi kunxweme lwe-Atlantic, abanyula abathunywa be-384, abaninzi ngakumbi kunabo banyulwe yi-NY ngomso, abayi-247. kwakhona uClinton kunye neevoti ezijongene neendawo ezimbini eziphambili: iPennsylvania (abathunywa be-189) kunye noMayrland (abathunywa abangama-95).

Yonke into ibonakala ibonisa ukuba kude kube nguJuni 7, xa iCalifornia ivota abathunywa bayo be-475, akuyi kubakho uloyiso olucacileyo kuye nawuphi na umntu okhuphisanayo.. Kwelo lizwe, ii-poll ziqikelela i-avanteji kaClinton ngaphezulu kweSanders ngamanqaku ali-10-15.

Imeko yangoku:

• uClinton: 1.786 iivoti (1.307 deleg+479 superdeleg)

• Sanders: 1.137 iivoti (1.097 deleg+40 superdeleg)

Okwangoku uClinton uphumelele kwi-16 Primaries kunye ne-2 Caucuses, ngelixa uSanders uyenzile kwi-5 Primaries kunye ne-11 Caucuses, ebonisa amandla omviwa osele ekhulile kwi-caucus kunye nobuthathaka bakhe kwiiPrimaries, ezinokumlimaza ngenxa ye-18. unyulo olushiyekileyo (16 uthi plus DC kunye Puerto Rico) zonke Primaries ngaphandle enye, North Dakota, onyula abathunywa yi Caucus.

Phakathi kwamazwe amakhulu (anyula ngaphezu kwe-100 abathunywa beDemokhrasi) uloyiso lukaClinton lube lukhulu, i-6 ithi (iGeorgia, iTexas, iFlorida, i-Illinois, iNorth Carolina ne-Ohio) xa kuthelekiswa ne-2 yeSanders (iMichigan neWashington).

Ii-Polls ze-New York primaries Iqela leRiphabhlikhi Baphawula impumelelo ekhululekileyo kaDonald Trump (50% -55%), xa kuthelekiswa noJohn Kasich (20% -25%) kunye noTed Cruz (15% -20%). Esi siphumo sinokusondeza iTumpump ngokutyunjwa kweRiphabhlikhi, kodwa kwangaxeshanye kuya kunika amaphiko eKasich ukuba axhathise kude kube ngoLwesibini ozayo we-26, kunye ne-primaries kwiindawo ezi-5 kunxweme lwe-Atlantic apho angakwazi ukudlula i-Cruz.

Kubonakala kunzima kakhulu kwi-GOP ukumisa i-locomotive kaTrump. Kungakhathaliseki ukuba u-Kasich urhoxile kangakanani emva kwentlanganiso ye-26, u-Cruz uya kuba nexesha elinzima kakhulu lokuphumelela eCalifornia, kwaye ukuphumelela akuyi kugubungela inani labathunywa uTrump analo.

Imeko yangoku yile:

• UDonald Trump: 755 abathunywa

• UTed Cruz: 521 abathunywa

• UJohn Kasich: 144 abathunywa

• Abanye: 189 (173 nguMarco Rubio)

Ukuza kuthi ga ngoku uTrump uphumelele kumazwe angama-20 (kubandakanywa uninzi lwawona makhulu: iGeorgia, iFlorida, iIllinois okanye iNorth Carolina) ngelixa uCruz ephumelele kwi-11 (kwaye phakathi kwawona makhulu eTexas kuphela). UKasich uphumelele eOhio naseRubio eMinnesota (ngaphandle kweDC kunye nePuerto Rico).

Inqaku leCDDMT.