I-avareji yenani lophando: "sorpassín" ukusuka eCiudadanos ukuya kwiPP

Xa kwinyanga enye edlulileyo yonke into yatshintsha ngokunqoba kwevoti yokungathembeki ngokuchasene noRajoy kunye nokufika kukaPedro Sánchez kurhulumente, uvoto lwabandezeleka. rollover emangalisayo.

I-PSOE yanda kakhulu ukuya kwindawo yokuqala, kunye norhulumente omtsha othandwa luluvo loluntu, iPP ibuyise izithuba ekuphenduleni oko abanye abavoti bakubona njengocelo-mthetho olungenabulungisa, ngelixa Simanyene sinako kwaye ngaphezu kwazo zonke Abemi bahlawula umbhobho. Ngenxa yolu tshintsho, bambi bade baxela kwangaphambili ukuba sibuyela kumaqela amabini.

Emva kweentsuku ezingama-30, amanzi abuyela kwindlela yawo, nangona oku kwahlukile kuleyo kaMeyi. I-PSOE ibonakala ibalasele kodwa ayisavuki kodwa iwa kancinci kancinci, ngelixa i-Ciudadanos ide izivumele ukuba iphinde ifumane indawo yesibini ngobubanzi beenwele phambi kwe-PP engakhange iqinisekise ukunyuka kwayo. I-Unidos Podemos "ayiqhubeki nokudilika" nokuba, kodwa iphakama kwakhona. Iskimu esiqhelekileyo, esinamaqela amane abalulekileyo, sisasebenza. Akubonakali ngathi namnye kubo uya kuphuma ngokupheleleyo, ngokuchasene noko bekutshiwo kwiiveki ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo.

Ukuba sijongisisa okwenzekileyo kule minyaka mibini yowiso-mthetho, sinolu phuhliso:

• El PP yabeka i-maximus kungekudala emva konyulo (36% ngo-Oktobha 2016), kwaye ukususela ngo-Juni 2018 akenzanga nto ngaphandle kokuwa (21%). Ngoku, ngenjongo yokuvota i-avareji ye-22-23%, isondele kumanqanaba ayo amancinci, nangona kukho ukuphumla okumangalisayo ukuba isindululo sokungathembeki sisinike.
• El PSOE Wabandezeleka kakhulu ekuqaleni kwendlu yakhe yowiso-mthetho, ephazamisekile kakhulu, eyaphela ngoPedro Sánchez egxothiweyo kunye neqela ubuncinane (18%). Ukususela ngoko, ukubuyiswa okucothayo kwafikelela ekubuyiselweni kukaSánchez, nangona kunjalo, akazange akwazi ukunika i-push yokugqibela de kube ngumnyaka kamva, kunye nesiphakamiso sokungathembeki esiye samphakamisa kwi-26-27% yeevoti.
• Simanyene sinako Ithathe ithuba lengxaki yokuqala ye-PSOE, kwaye yaza ifuna i-23% yeevoti ekuqaleni kwendlu yowiso-mthetho, kodwa yaseka ngokukhawuleza de yawa kwiinyanga ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo ukuya ngaphantsi kwe-16%. Wandula ke wachacha, kodwa isindululo sokumkhalimela asikhange sihambe kakuhle kuye. Ngoku uzama ukubuyisela izikhundla kodwa usekwi-16-17%.
• Abemi iye yanexesha elide lokudinwa ekuqaleni kwendlu yowiso-mthetho, yafikelela ubuncinane bayo ngoSeptemba 2016 (12%). Ukususela ngoko, wafumana ukubuyiswa okucothayo, ukukhawuleza kamva nengxaki yeCatalan, eyakhokelela ekulindeni okumangalisayo kwevoti (27% ngo-Ephreli walo nyaka). Ngoku, emva kokuhla okubukhali kwamva nje, izama ukuzinza kwi-22-23%.

Ngale panorama, kunzima kakhulu ukukhupha imephu yaseSpain ebonisa ukuba yeyiphi iqela elinokuba ngowokuqala kwindawo nganye, ebaluleke kakhulu kwiSenate, apho ophumeleleyo kwiphondo ngalinye.  ithatha phantse yonke into. Kumaphondo amaninzi umahluko phakathi komdlalo wokuqala nowesibini unokuba ngaphantsi kwenqaku elinye. Kwimeko yeZiqithi zeBalearic, umzekelo, kunokubakho ukuya kuthi ga kumaqela amathathu kuloo mda. Ngapha koko, nangona amathandabuzo amaninzi esihlasela iphondo ngephondo, imephu ibonelela ngesishwankathelo sesiphumo esingayi kuba, namhlanje, sahluke kakhulu kwesi:

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