Ọla awọn primaries tun wa ni Amẹrika.
Nipa ẹgbẹ Alagbawi Ko si iroyin nla ti o nireti. Awọn alakọbẹrẹ yoo yan awọn aṣoju 131 nikan lati awọn ipinlẹ 3, ko si nkankan bii awọn ọjọ Tuesday miiran. Iru nọmba kekere ti awọn aṣoju kii yoo yi anfani Clinton pada, pẹlu awọn aṣoju 1.171 ti a ti yan tẹlẹ, ni akawe si Sanders ti o ni 847 (yato si awọn aṣoju nla ti o mu Clinton lagbara).
O ṣee ṣe pinpin awọn aṣoju ni ọla yoo tun ṣe ojurere Clinton lẹẹkansi, nitori o bẹrẹ bi ayanfẹ ti o han gbangba ni Arizona, eyiti o jẹ ipinlẹ ti o yan awọn aṣoju pupọ julọ, 75, ati nibiti o le mu Sanders to awọn aaye 25 siwaju. Ni Utah, Sanders le bori, ṣugbọn ipinlẹ yii yan awọn aṣoju 33 nikan ati Sanders le ṣẹgun nipasẹ awọn aaye 5 tabi 7 nikan lori Clinton. Ati nikẹhin Idaho wa, nibiti awọn ibo ṣe asọtẹlẹ tai, ati eyiti o pin paapaa awọn aṣoju diẹ, 23.
Nipa ẹgbẹ Republikani Awọn alakọbẹrẹ yoo wa ni awọn ipinlẹ meji nikan, Arizona (awọn aṣoju 55) ati Utah (awọn aṣoju 37). Gẹgẹbi pẹlu Awọn alagbawi ijọba ijọba olominira, nọmba awọn aṣoju lati dibo jẹ diẹ lati paarọ awọn iṣiro agbaye. Lọwọlọwọ Trump 678 wa, Cruz 423 ati Kasich 143.
En Arizona O dabi pe Trump yoo ṣẹgun nipasẹ awọn aaye 10 tabi diẹ sii lori Cruz. Ati pe Kasich le gba awọn ibo lati ọdọ Rubio ti fẹyìntì, ṣugbọn niwọn igba ti gbogbo awọn aṣoju lọ si olubori, Trump ni ayanfẹ lati ṣẹgun awọn aṣoju 55.
En Utah Ni idakeji jẹ otitọ, Cruz jẹ ayanfẹ nla, ati paapaa Kasich yoo kọja Trump. Sugbon niwon ohun gbogbo yoo lọ si awọn Winner. O yoo jasi jẹ pataki lati sumar awọn 37 asoju to Cruz.
Ko si iroyin nla ti a nireti ni ọjọ Tuesday yii. Awọn Oloṣelu ijọba olominira wọn wọ inu idakẹjẹ ti o ku, nitori ni 5th awọn alakọbẹrẹ nikan yoo wa ninu Wisconsin (awọn aṣoju 39), titi di Oṣu Kẹrin Ọjọ 19, pẹlu ipinnu lati pade ninu New York (92 asoju). Ni Wisconsin, Trump jẹ ayanfẹ, lakoko ti Kasich le paapaa kọja Cruz. Ati ni New York awọn idibo fun itunu ati itọsọna ti o han gbangba fun Tump. Kasich le ṣee koju titi ọjọ yẹn.
Los tiwantiwa Wọn tun n murasilẹ fun iṣẹlẹ Oṣu Kẹrin Ọjọ 19 ni New York. Ṣugbọn laarin wọn yoo ni awọn ipinlẹ pupọ: Alaska (16 aṣoju), Hawaii (25 aṣoju), Washington (101) Wisconsin (86) ati Wyoming (14). Ṣugbọn eyi ti o le pinnu ohun gbogbo ni New York, pẹlu awọn aṣoju 247, ati pẹlu awọn idibo ti o fun Clinton ni iṣẹgun nipasẹ awọn aaye 30 tabi diẹ sii. Si eyiti a gbọdọ ṣafikun 40 superdelegates (lati inu 44) ti o ṣe atilẹyin tẹlẹ. Lati ọjọ yẹn lọ, yiyọ kuro Sanders le wa nigbakugba.
A Neoproject ọrọ.
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