Awọn idibo Ilu Gẹẹsi ti nbọ Oṣu Karun ti wọ ipo ti aidaniloju to pọ julọ. Ti a ba gba awọn idibo ti a tẹjade ni ọsẹ to kọja, a rii pe Awọn Konsafetifu ati Iṣẹ wa ni tai imọ-ẹrọ. Mẹta fun ẹgbẹ Prime Minister Cameron ni asiwaju, tai mẹta ati mẹta fi ẹgbẹ Miliband siwaju.
|
oludibo |
con | Lab | RD | UKIP | Green | asiwaju |
|
20 osu |
35 |
33 | 6 | 15 | 7 |
-2 |
| 20 Kínní iwọ Gov | 33 | 34 | 8 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb Populus | 32 | 32 | 9 | 15 | 6 | ti so |
| 22 Feb Oluwa Ashcroft | 32 | 36 | 7 | 11 | 8 | +4 |
| 23 Feb ComRes | 34 | 32 | 8 | 13 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Kínní iwọ Gov | 33 | 33 | 8 | 13 | 7 | ti so |
| 23 Feb Iwalaaye | 28 | 34 | 10 | 19 | 4 | +6 |
| 24 Kínní iwọ Gov | 35 | 33 | 6 | 14 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Kínní iwọ Gov | 33 | 33 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
ti so |
Gẹgẹbi awọn abajade wọnyi, Awọn Konsafetifu ati Iṣẹ wa ni apapọ ni iwọn kanna laarin 32% ati 35%. Awọn alagbawi ijọba olominira yoo gba abajade ti o buruju wọn lati o kere ju awọn idibo 1970 nigbati Ẹgbẹ Liberal lẹhinna gba 7,5%. Fun apakan rẹ, UKIP duro duro ni ayika 13-15% lakoko ti Green ṣe imudara aṣa rẹ si oke ati pe o ti wa ni awọn iye ti 6-8%.
Ti awọn abajade wọnyi ba funni nikẹhin, Ile-igbimọ aṣofin ti ko ni ijọba julọ ni awọn ewadun yoo jade lati awọn idibo ati awọn adehun tabi awọn ajọṣepọ titi di asiko ti a ko tii ri tẹlẹ ninu iṣelu Ilu Gẹẹsi yoo jẹ pataki.
Gbogbo rẹ si aaye pe ni awọn oṣu to n bọ a yoo lọ si ere-ije gigun kan fun ibo to kẹhin lati wa tani yoo jẹ agbatọju atẹle ti 10 Downing Street.
Awọn abajade ti awọn iwadi naa le ni imọran ni awọn alaye diẹ sii ni PDF ni awọn ọna asopọ wọnyi:
http://ourinsight.opinium.co.uk/sites/ourinsight.opinium.co.uk/files/vi_17_02_2015_final_tables.pdf
http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/l6vpm82uzr/YG-Archive-Pol-Sunday-Times-results-200215-FULL.pdf
http://www.populus.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/OmOnline_Vote_23-02-2015_BPC.pdf
http://lordashcroftpolls.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/ANP-150223-Full-data-tables.pdf
http://comres.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/Daily-Mail-Political-Poll_24th-February-2015.pdf
http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/2i11ywuxs2/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-230215.pdf
http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/Feb-Mirror-tables.pdf
http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/nhptcme7t3/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-240215.pdf
http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/qka7b57k35/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-250215.pdf
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