U-Hawking uchaza i-26-J (ngosizo luka-Kiko Llaneras)

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Sihlenga lesi sihloko esibhalwe ngoMeyi 16, 2016 (inyanga eyodwa ngaphambi kokhetho lukazwelonke lwe-26-J), njengenhlonipho kusosayensi oshonile namuhla. Lala ngokuthula, futhi siyabonga ngempilo esimema ukuthi sindize futhi singathathi kalula noma iyiphi inkolelo noma ukuphepha:

16-05-2016. 00:20 horas:

Isayensi yezenhlalakahle kanye nesayensi ehlanzekile yizinto ezimbili ezihlukene, kodwa ngezinye izikhathi kuyasiza ukudweba ukufana.

Ngokwesibonelo, ezinye izazi zesayensi yemvelo zithi izigidi zendawo yonke ehambisana neyethu zizalwa njalo. I-electron ngayinye (isibonelo) esenziwe ngayo inezinye izindlela ezihluke kancane zomzila wayo. Indlela yakho ayinqunywanga kusengaphambili. Sibonwa ngaphandle, i-electron ngayinye ihlala olwandle lwamathuba okuhluke kancane, futhi izazi zefiziksi eziningi zihumusha lokho konke Lawa mathuba empeleni ayenzeka ezindaweni eziyiqiniso ezifanayo ezihlala zizalwa. Yiqiniso, lapho i-universe ngayinye izalwa, iya ngokuya ihlukaniswa nabo bonke abanye, ngomphumela omkhulu we-butterfly: ukuqhuma okuqhubekayo kwamathuba.

amafu e-electron

Asenziwanga ngeziqiniseko, kodwa ngamafu okungenzeka

Lokhu kwafika engqondweni yami lapho ngibona igrafu u-Kiko Llaneras ayilungiselele ocwaningweni lwakhe lwe-El Español. U-Kiko Llaneras ushicilela amathumbu amaningi emisebenzi yakhe, futhi lokho kuvula imibono ebanzi. Igrafu yakho iyasikhumbuza kakhulu ngesamba esimayelana nezindaba ze-quantum physics, noma enguqulweni yendawo yonke efanayo engiyishilo ngaphambili.

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Umkhathi, njengoba isikhathi sihamba, uhlola amathuba amasha, ahlanganisa amakusasa amaningi angenzeka ngokulinganayo futhi angokoqobo.

 

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Inhlolovo ye-El Español ye-26-J. Iphuzu ngalinye liwumphumela wokulingisa. Isilinganiso akudingeki siphendule noma iyiphi yazo ngokuqondile.

 

Igrafu isuka ngayizolo, futhi isinika isilinganiso, njengoba inhlolovo ihlale yenza, isilinganiso. Uthi i-PP izothola izihlalo ezingu-128, i-Unidos Podemos izothola u-84... Yilokho wonke umuntu okwenzayo. Kodwa-ke ifundisa enye into: ikhombisa lokho isilinganiso asikona okwangempela. Okuwukuphela kwento esiyibona ngempela ngaphandle ifu lamathuba. Ngendlela efanayo nama-electron ahlala ngaphakathi kwethu ngokuqhubekayo athatha izimfoloko azithathayo (aphinde asithathe nazo) ngokusebenzisa izigidi zezindlela ezihlukile, ukuze singalokothi sikuthole ngokuphelele, inhlolovo isebenza ngezinto ezifanayo. Amathuba Okukhona ngempela kuhlolo lwe-El Español amaphuzu ahlukene avela kugrafu. Ngokwesibonelo kuma-PP, asukela kuzihlalo ezingama-87 kuye kweziyi-149.  Noma yimuphi umphumela ngaphakathi kwalolo banga uhambisana nenhlolovo.

Amathuba kuma-PSOE asukela cishe ezihlalweni ezingama-39 kuye kweziyi-109.

Ingabe lokhu kusho ukuthi zonke iziphetho ezingaba khona zingenzeka ngokulinganayo? Lutho neze. Ezinye zingenzeka kakhulu kunezinye. U-Kiko Llaneras usibonise ukuthi kungani okhethweni lwangaphambilini lwe-20-D, nalena enye igrafu:

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Inhlolovo ye-El Español ye-20-D. Amathuba okusabalalisa. Imfoloko yamathuba angu-50% amaphakathi.

 

 

Lapha kuyabonakala ukuthi Kukhona iziphetho okungenzeka kakhulu kunezinye. Kwakungenakwenzeka ngempela ukuthi i-PP ithole isibalo sezihlalo ezingu-20, noma ezingu-300, ku-12-D. Futhi ayizange izithole, kunjalo. Futhi ngo-20-D, Wonke amaqembu azuze inani lamasekela abengaphakathi kwebanga elingenzeka. ngokocwaningo olwenziwa yi-El Español ngaleso sikhathi. Kodwa, ngesikhathi esifanayo, kuvela ukuthi ezinye (ikakhulukazi amaPodemo phezulu namaCiudadanos ngezansi), Baya ekugcineni kwegrafu: baqhubeka ngaphakathi kwalokho okwakungenzeka, kodwa abazange bagcine phakathi nendawo yokusabalalisa. Kujwayelekile ukuthi lokhu kwenzeke; Kunengqondo ukuthi, njengoba kunezinhlobonhlobo ezihlukile zezakhi ezihlukahlukene, ezinye zazo zigcina zincike ohlangothini olulodwa noma olunye. Ukuthi uCiudadanos uthole amasekela angama-40 kuphela akunakwenzeka (inhlolovo imnike okwengeziwe ku-±94% wamacala) kodwa kungenzeka ngokuphelele. Mhlawumbe uCiudadanos, engaboni ukuthi le ngozi yayingokoqobo, yayinethemba elikhulu ngaphambi kwe-20-D, futhi lokhu kwabenza bathatha izinqumo ezingalungile, ezagcina zibacwile. Ngeke sazi, kodwa usongo lukhona kunoma ubani okholelwa izindaba zemilkmaid ezisekelwe kuzinhlolovo ukufunda kabi.

Ukuthi uCiudadanos uthole amasekela angama-40 kuphela ngoDisemba 20 akunakwenzeka kodwa kungenzeka ngokuphelele.

Ake sibuyele emuva ku-26-J futhi sifunde isifundo. Uma ekugcineni umphumela wokhetho ungafani nesilinganiso, singaphetha ngokuthi ama-polls asetshenziswa. Sinelungelo lonke lokufinyelela leso siphetho futhi singase sibe neqiniso. Kodwa singakucabanga futhi lokho Esinakho kuwumdlalo wamathuba, futhi ngaphakathi kwawo, namanje asazi ukuthi yini engenzeka: Njengesu lokuzuza inzuzo emdlalweni, mhlawumbe le ndlela yesibili yokucabanga ihlakaniphe kakhulu. Masingathathi idatha yokugcina evela ezinhlolovo njengamaqiniso ngoba awalona iqiniso, ngisho noma enziwe ngokuphelele. Idatha abasinikeza yona iyilokho nje, okungenzeka kakhulu nganoma yisiphi isikhathi.

I-Unidos Podemos ingathola i-26-J, amasekela angama-45 kuphela, kodwa futhi ne-118.

Imininingwane evela ku-El Español yalolu khetho, esinenhlanhla ukuyibona ihlaziywa ngenhla, isitshela ngokwesibonelo ukuthi Ama-Unidos Podemos angase agcine ethole amasekela angama-45, kodwa futhi angu-118. Ingabe lezo zindlela ezimbili eziqondile zingenzeka kakhulu? Hhayi-ke: kukhona abanye abagxile kakhulu ngakho-ke kungenzeka kakhulu. Kodwa Ngeke sikubeke eceleni ukuthi into efana nalena ekugcineni yenzeka. Ngokunokwenzeka, ngokwale nhlolovo, i-UP izowina phakathi kwezihlalo ezingama-74 nezingu-94. Cishe u-50% wamaphuzu agxile kulolo bubanzi (izilingiso ze-Kikollan, ama-universe ahambisanayo we-quantum physics). Kodwa amanye ama-50% amaphuzu, ezindawo ezingaba khona zesikhathi esizayo, abambe imiphumela ehlukene. Ukube bengingumholi we-UP, bengizophula inhliziyo yami ukuze ngifinyelele amasekela ayi-110 noma ayi-115, ngoba kuyinto engenzeka ngokuphelele, kodwa ngesikhathi esifanayo ngingathatha izinyathelo zokugwema ukuwela ezindaweni eziphansi kakhulu zegrafu, ezisekhona. Isilinganiso alikho: isilinganiso (izihlalo ezingama-84) Akuyona into engaphezu kwenganekwane kuze kube yilapho umsebenzi wegagasi ugoqeka endaweni ethile yedatha ngobusuku bangomhla zingama-26 kuJuni. Le ndlela yokubhekana nodaba yaziwa izazi zefiziksi ngokuthi “incazelo yaseCopenhagen,” futhi ingabasiza kahle labo abathi kufanele sifane neDenmark. Yiqiniso, uma singafundi i-Kant, kunzima ngathi ukuthi siyifunde i-Bohr. Futhi lokho kuyakhombisa.

Okwamanje okuwukuphela kwento amaqembu anayo esandleni ifu lamathuba okufanele acatshangelwe: amaphuzu amaningi lapho angagcina ewile.

Ake sibuyele emuva kugrafu yamachashazi. Ukhetha ngokungahleliwe noma yimaphi amaphuzu amane, elilodwa kumaqembu amane amakhulu. Uma wenza kahle, ungabona ukuthi zonke izinhlobo zezinhlanganisela zisengenzeka kanjani: ukuthi i-PP ifika yesithathu, ukuthi i-Ciudadanos iza okwesibili, ukuthi i-UP iwina ukhetho ... Ingabe lezi zindlela zingase zibe khona kakhulu? Cha abaka. Ingabe ezinye izindlela ezingenzeka? Yebo, yebo bakhona.

Uma, esikhundleni sale nhlolovo ye-El Español, othile wethule indlela efanayo yanoma iyiphi enye inhlolovo, sizobona amafu ahluke kancane, kuye ngokuchema komuntu ngamunye. Kodwa, ngaphezu kwalokho, umlayezo oyisisekelo awushintshi: sinephutha ukukholelwa amanani aphakathi nendawo inhlolovo esinika yona, ngoba ayilokho nje, izilinganiso. Ngisho nomkhawulo wephutha abalibeka esidlangalaleni alithembekile ngokwanele, ngoba ngisho naleyo majikijolo ivamise ukugeja u-2% noma u-3% wamathuba ocezu ngalunye lolwazi: lawo adlulele kakhulu, kodwa angewona angokoqobo kancane.

Ikusasa livulekile. Siphila ezweni lamathuba, hhayi okuqinisekile.

Endabeni yokhetho lukazwelonke, ukuchema okungenzeka noma iyiphi inhlolovo yengezwe ekungaqiniseki kwezibalo, futhi kulokho ukuba khona kwezindawo lapho kunokugxuma okungazelelwe okusekelwe emthethweni wokhetho, futhi kulokho kwenezelwa okuhle kakhulu noma okubi kakhulu. umkhankaso wokhetho owenziwa yiwo wonke umuntu, futhi kulokho, endabeni yaseSpain, kumele sengeze ukuthula okuphoqelekile kokuvota phakathi nezinsuku ezinhlanu zokugcina zomkhankaso. Izici eziningi, ukuhlukahluka okuningi.

Ngalo lolo suku zingama-26, ngomzuzu owodwa kuya kweyesishiyagalombili ntambama, asazoba khona amathuba ahlukahlukene avuliwe, nakuba mancane kunamanje. Ngisho nathi, ngamunye wethu, njengengxenye yendaba, singaba nomthelela endleleni ethile. Osopolitiki abafanelekile bazoba nomthelela omkhulu kakhulu. Izinkulumo-mpikiswano, amaphutha, ukuthinta,... kuzokwenza amathuba enzeke noma anyamalale. Futhi umdlalo wezibalo, ithuba kanye nezilinganiso ezingazinzile ekugcineni zaqaphela, zizokwenza konke okunye.

Izinkathazo zentsha yabaningi, edinga ukulondeka, zifuna isiqiniseko. Kodwa ngeke sikwazi ukubuza into enjalo ezinhlolovo, ezihlala emhlabeni ohlukene: azikho futhi azikwazi ukusebenza kulokho. Asibambe ikhanda elipholile. Isiqiniseko asikho: Umdlalo uyadlalwa njengamanje kanti amapheji abanzi impela.

Izihloko zamaphephandaba zidinga futhi zifuna ukuthola iziphetho eziqinile, kodwa iqiniso lihlukile. Uma umuntu ezama ukubheja ngezinombolo ezithile, kufanele ukwazi lokho ukhetha inketho phakathi kwezigidi zamathuba. Cishe uzoba nephutha. Uma bonke abantu baseSpain, kanye nevoti labo, befaka ukubheja kwevoti ngephesenti iqembu ngalinye kwamane amakhulu elizolithola, ngokuhlukaniswa kwendawo eyodwa nje yamadesimali, kungenzeka ukuthi akekho ozokwazi ukulithola kahle. Amathuba afana nalawo echibi elinzima lemidlalo engu-15.

Ngakho-ke akekho umuntu okufanele acindezeleke ngoJuni 27 ngenxa yokungafezeki okwakulindelwe. kungaphezulu, Akekho okufanele akhe amathemba empumelelo noma ukwehluleka ngokushesha okukhulu.. Ungasho ukuthi asikuxwayisanga.

Umbono wakho

Kukhona ezinye imikhuba ukuphawula Uma zingahlangatshezwana nazo, zizoholela ekuxoshweni ngokushesha futhi unomphela kuwebhusayithi.

I-EM ayinasibopho ngemibono yabasebenzisi bayo.

Uyafuna ukusisekela? Yiba Umsekeli futhi uthole ukufinyelela okukhethekile kumaphaneli.

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