Germany: ukuhlaziywa kwesimo ngemuva kwesonto lokunyuka kwe-AfD.

Ukuhlaziywa kafushane kweJalimane ezinsukwini eziyishumi ngemuva kwetsunami yokhetho ye-AfD okhethweni lwesifunda sase-Baden-Württemberg, e-Rhineland-Palatinate nase-Saxony-Anhalt.

Ukuze ubone imiphumela yalolo khetho, kwanele ukubona inguquko inhlolovo ebonisa ngayo phakathi kwama-barometers ngaphambi kwalolo suku nangemuva kwalolo suku, uma kucatshangelwa ukuthi izikhathi azilingani (nyanga zonke, biweekly noma masonto onke) ngakho-ke isigameko somphumela okhethweni lokhetho luzoba namanuances.

Ukuhlanganisa idatha evela kuma-barometer amakhulu (i-Infratest dimap, Emnid, Forsa, FgW, GMS kanye ne-INSA), ilahla i-Allensbach ngenxa yokungashicileli noma iyiphi i-barometer ngomsebenzi wasensimini ngemuva komhla ziyi-13 kuNdasa, idatha elandelayo iyatholakala:

• I-AfD: ikhula kuzo zonke izinhlolovo, isuka kuphoyinti eli-1 kuye kwayi-3.
• I-CDU/CSU: ithrendi eyehlayo. Kuma-barometers angu-4 yehla ngephoyinti eli-1 noma lama-2. Kuma-barometer angu-2 ihlala izinzile.
• I-FDP: ngcono kancane. Kubonakala sengathi abakhululekile bayasinda kula manzi aneziyaluyalu. Ezinhlolovoni ezi-2 zehla ngephuzu elingu-1 kodwa kokunye ezi-4 zenyuka ngamaphuzu angu-0,5 ziye kumaphuzu angu-2 we-GMS.
• I-Grüne: ikhula kuzo zonke izinhlolovo, imali etholwa abadobi ingumfula ogelezayo. Bakhuphuke besuka ku-1 baye kumaphuzu ama-3.
• I-SPD: ukwehla okukhulu, balahlekelwa amaphuzu angu-1 kuya kwangu-3. Insa kuphela ezigcina zizinzile. Kubonakala sengathi yibo abathinteka kakhulu.
• I-Linke: ukuthambekela kokwehla ephathini ebonakala sengathi i-offside futhi ingasabeli. Ungalahlekelwa amaphuzu angu-0,5 kuya kwangu-2. U-Emnid kuphela ozigcina ezinzile.

Ukulinganisa ukuziphendukela kwemvelo, isilinganiso sezinhlolovo eziyisi-6 siyakhonjiswa:

• I-AfD: +1,7%
• I-CDU/CSU: -1%
• I-FDP: +0,4%
• I-Grüne: +1,8%
• I-SPD: -1,7%
• Isixhumanisi: -1,1%

NgoSepthemba kuzoba nokuqokwa okusha okubili okhethweni lwezifunda. EBerlin, i-AfD kulindeleke ukuthi ifinyelele ku-10% wamavoti, kodwa uhulumeni wobumbano omkhulu kuLand awukho engozini. Futhi eMecklenburg-Western Pomerania i-AfD ingalandela indlela yaseSaxony-Anhalt, enye i-Eastern Land, futhi ithole kalula u-20% wamavoti. Nohulumeni wobumbano omkhulu awukho engozini.

Umkhuba e-Germany uzosuka emaqenjini amakhulu angu-2 (CDU/CSU kanye ne-SPD) kanye namaqembu amabili anosayizi omaphakathi (i-Grüne ne-Linke) iye ku-2 amakhulu (okufanayo), angu-2 anosayizi omaphakathi (i-AfD ne-Grüne) kanye nama-2 amancane ( FDP kanye ne-Linke) futhi Kuyamangaza ukuthi kuwo womathathu amazinga kuzoba neqembu elingakwesokunxele kanye neqembu elingakwesokudla, ezinguqulweni zabo ezahlukene. Ukukhubazeka ukuthi inqobo nje uma i-AfD ne-Linke ingabhekwa njengezinhlangano “ezinempilo” okufanele zixoxisane nazo, amathuba okuba imifelandawonye kuhulumeni anciphe kakhulu... cishe yonke into izophela ngomfelandawonye omkhulu.

Isihloko esivela ku-CDDMT.