Ingabe u-Annalena Baerbock (Grünen) angaba ushansela waseJalimane olandelayo?

Angela Merkel Usebenze umjikelezo omude kakhulu eshansela laseJalimane, kusukela ngo-2005, futhi phakathi nengxenye enkulu yawo uthole ukuthandwa kanye nebanga lokhetho ngaphezu kwezimbangi zakhe zezombusazwe (kanye namadlelandawonye).

I "Grand Coalition" neSocial Democrats, eye yasekela uhulumeni wobumbano ingxenye enkulu yalesi sikhathi, uhlomulise iqembu lakhe, i-CDU, ngenkathi ecwilisa umlingani wakhe kuhulumeni, osekuphele iminyaka edlula iGreens cishe kuwo wonke amavoti.

Khona manjeNgoSepthemba 26 kuzobanjwa ukhetho oluzoqeda cishe iminyaka engu-17 kukahulumeni kaMerkel. Njengoba ushansela esethathe umhlalaphansi, ubani ozoba umholi omusha waseJalimane?

Kuze kube yinyanga nje edlule, wonke ama-poll nokubheja kukhombe u-Markus Söder noma u-Armin Laschet njengabangase balandele esikhundleni kushansela, njalo ngaphakathi komfelandawonye we-CDU-CSU oye wasekela uMerkel ngesikhathi sakhe sokuphatha isikhathi eside. Elokuqala livuna yena ukuthi yiBavarian (iqembu le-CSU elilandela imithetho lingumfelandawonye we-Christian Democratic CDU, futhi “sekuyithuba layo” lokuthi omunye wabaholi bayo athathe izintambo kulo lonke elaseJalimane) kanti elesibili linolwazi olunzulu futhi ukuze abe “ihlengethwa lemvelo” likaMerkel.

Kodwa-ke, emasontweni adlule isikweletu sikaMerkel sehla kakhulu. Isisusa sithi ukuphathwa kobhubhane, okwakuyisibhengezo ishansela elalisiphethe ngo-2020, “elinomphumela wefulegi” eliqinile ohlangothini lwalo, kodwa okwathi ngo-2021 lethula olunye uhlangothi lohlamvu lwemali, phakathi ukugxeka okunokhahlo ngokuya lapho ukugoma kuthathwa khona kanye nenqubomgomo yokunqanda amagciwane.

Amanye ama-poll aze abeke amaGreens "indawo yokulahla itshe" ku-CDU-CSU:

Inhlolovo ye-Kantar kumaFederals

Izithombe ezidalwe ngu i-electomania.es - Wonke amalungelo agodliwe - ukusatshalaliswa kuvunyelwe ngokuqokwa kanye nesixhumanisi esithi "electomania.es".

Nakuba izintandokazi zihlala, kuze kube manje, abalandela uMerkel, kukhona ithuba lokuthi iGreens ekugcineni izodlula amaDemocratic Democrats, noma ukuthi, ngaphandle kokufeza lokhu, zisondele ngokwanele ukunikeza elinye iningi. Umholi wabo, osemncane Ngakho-ke u-Annalena Baerbock uthatha indima engalindelekile.

I-Baerbock ingaba sesimweni sokuhola a "I-Jamaica Coalition" lokho kungahlanganisa amasiko aluhlaza, ama-liberals kanye nama-Christian Democrats uqobo, noma, uma izinombolo bezikulungele, zama enye imbumba eholwa nguye, futhi lokho kuzobandakanya amademokhrasi ezenhlalo (emoyeni) kanye nama-liberals.

Ngale panorama, kokubili isilinganiso sohlolovo kanye nemakethe yokubheja ihlangabezana noguquko iqala ukucabangela umuntu olwela indawo ezungezile “ngokusobala.”

Inganekwane yezepolitiki? Nakanjani. Kodwa akuseyona ipolitiki engenakwenzeka. Imakethe yokubheja, ehlala izwela kakhulu ezinguqukweni zokhetho, isinayo kakade i-Baerbock. Umholi wezemvelo uqinisa “ukuphendukela enkabeni” yeqembu lakhe, osekuphenduke umgogodla wezivumelwano ezingeni le-Lander, futhi okuyinto imele isizukulwane esisha (uneminyaka engama-40) esingqongqoza emnyango wezinqumo ezweni elinamandla kakhulu eNtshonalanga Yurophu.