I-Pollwatch: Isilinganiso esinesisindo samapholi ase-Europe

Ngemuva kokwethulwa kwe- I-Euro-PollCheck, nangokusebenzisana nabezindaba zaseYurophu I-EuObserver siyajabula ukunazisa isilinganiso sethu sokuvota esinesisindo sokhetho lwangoJuni lwePhalamende LaseYurophu.

Kunezilinganiso ezimbalwa ezishicilelwe kuze kube manje ze-EU, iningi lisekelwe ezilinganisweni ezilula zedatha yenhlolovo eshicilelwe emazweni amaningana, kodwa ayikho kuzo ecabangela isisindo esihlukile sabavoti ababikezela izimo zokhetho ezweni. amazwe angamalungu ngokuya ngokwethembeka kwawo noma izinga lokunemba komlando.

Ngakho-ke, ku I-EM-Analytics siye phansi emsebenzini futhi Senze indlela yokulinganisa imiphumela ecabangela izici ezifana nokuthembeka kwamavoti noma ukulinganiswa kokubamba iqhaza.

Ukuze kulungiswe isilinganiso esikalayo, lezi zigaba ezilandelayo zenziwe:

1. Ukuhlukaniswa kokuthembeka kwe-Pollster

Idatha iqoqwe kusukela kuwo wonke ama-poll ashicilelwe okhethweni lwezingcingo ezintathu zokugcina emazweni angamalungu.

Ukuchezuka esilinganisweni seqembu ngalinye kubalwe ngokusekelwe kudatha yevoti kusukela ekubonisweni kokugcina komvoti ngamunye, ngaphandle Kwezinhlolokhono Zokuphuma.

Ukuchezuka kwe-pollster kukholi ngayinye iyisamba samanani aphelele wokuchezuka kwamavoti amaqembu ezepolitiki.

Ukuchezuka okumaphakathi, okubangela ukuhlukaniswa kwezigaba zabavoti (i-Euro PollCheck) isilinganiso sokuchezuka kwezingcingo ezintathu zokugcina ezenziwe nge-pollster nangezwe.

Hlola i-Euro-PollCheck lapha

2. Isilinganiso sokubamba iqhaza

Ukuze ubale idatha yokubamba iqhaza Isekelwe ekubalweni kwabantu kokhetho, ngokusekelwe kudatha yakamuva kakhulu yabantu abangaphezu kweminyaka engu-18 ubudala etholakala e-Eurostat yezwe ngalinye.

Ukulinganisa idatha yokubamba iqhaza, isilinganiso sokubamba iqhaza ezincingweni ezintathu zokugcina zase-Europe zezwe ngalinye senziwe, kwabela isisindo esingama-50% kudatha yango-2019 kanye nama-50% asele ekubambeni iqhaza okuphakathi konyaka wezi-2014 nowezi-2019.

3. Isilinganiso sevoti

Ukubalwa kwesilinganiso sevoti kwenziwa kusetshenziswa isilinganiso esisindiwe samapholi akamuva ashicilelwe okhethweni lwase-Europe lwango-2024 ngumhloli ngamunye.

I-pollster ngayinye inikezwa isisindo esithile ezweni ngalinye, ngokuya ngendawo yayo kuzinga lokuchezuka komlando. Ubuncane obungu-5/10 busungulelwa labo abanokuchezuka okukhulu kunezikhathi ezi-2 zephutha elimaphakathi labavoti kulelo zwe, kanye nesigaba somugqa phakathi kuka-5 no-10 ngokuchezuka phakathi kuka-2xMAE no-0.

Iphesenti levoti leqembu ngalinye libalwa njengesilinganiso sokusebenzisa ukuphindaphinda kwedatha elinganisiwe yomhloli ngamunye ngesisindo somhloli wokuvota oshiwo.

4. Isilinganiso sama-MEP

Uma iphesenti levoti ngalinye selibaliwe, Inani labavoti abebezosekela iqembu lezombusazwe elithe liyalinganiselwa (kusukela emininingwaneni yokubalwa kwabantu neyokuhlanganyela) [ukubalwa kwabantu * ukubamba iqhaza * amaphesenti].

Ukulinganisa kwamasekela kwenziwa ngokusatshalaliswa ngokulinganayo ngohlelo lwe-D'Hondt, kucatshangelwa ubuncane obuncane obudingekayo ukuze kutholwe ukumelwa ngezwe.

Ukuze wenze lokhu, idatha yevoti elinganiselwe yeqembu ngalinye ihlukaniswa phakathi kwezinombolo ezihlobanayo futhi lawo makhoyefiyenti alingana noma amakhulu kune-coefficient yokugcina enikeza ukungena ePhalamende LaseYurophu abelwa njengama-MEP (inqobo nje uma likhulu noma lilingana ne- isithiyo sokungena, kokuthi Ngaphandle kwalokho, ama-MP angu-0 abelwe).

5. Ukuhlanganisa Idatha

Ukuze kubalwe amavoti ngemindeni yezombangazwe, abavoti bamaqembu ezombusazwe abomndeni ngamunye ezweni ngalinye bayengezwa, futhi amaphesenti abo yenani lokubalwa kwabantu kanye nokubamba iqhaza okulinganiselwe kuyabalwa. Ngokufanayo, ukuqoqwa kwabavoti ngomndeni abavela emazweni ahlukene kwenza kube nokwenzeka ukuthola idatha yomhlaba wonke yokusekelwa umndeni kuyo yonke inyunyana.

AmaLungu ePhalamende aphuma emindenini yezepolitiki awumphumela wesamba samaphini avela emaqenjini ajutshwe emindenini eshiwoyo.

Ukwahlukaniswa kwamavoti kanye nama-MEP ngomndeni, iqembu kanye nezwe

Isilinganiso sibheka amaqembu acela ku-200 afisa ukumelwa okhethweni lwangoJuni, amanye awo ahlangana ngokubambisana (njengoba kwenzeka Sumar kanye nokuhlukana kwezihlalo nge Sumar/Comuns/Compromís/IU/Más Madrid/Equo...).

Ngakho, ku-EuObserver ungakwazi ukubonana nedatha yokuvota yomhlaba wonke kanye nama-MEP ngokomndeni wayo yonke i-EU, kanye nokwahlukaniswa kwezwe neqembu. Uzobona nokusekelwa umndeni ngamunye onakho phakathi kwamazwe angamalungu ahlukene kumamephu okushisa, kanye nemephu yomndeni ephumelelayo ngezwe.

Okwamanje, lesi sitolimende sokuqala sikhishwe ngokuvulekile kancane (izincazelo ezikhethekile zababhalisile kusasa).

Finyelela inhlolovo ku-EuObserver futhi ubuke amagrafu asebenzisanayo

Inguqulo yokuqala evuliwe - izibuyekezo zamaphethini ziyeza maduze

Abaxhasi bethu bayingxenye ebalulekile yalo mphakathi, ngakho-ke uzoba nokufinyelela okukhethekile kukho konke lokhu okuqukethwe, ngesivumelwano okufinyelelwe kuso phakathi kwe-EM-Electomanía ne-EuObserver, esizokuvumela ukuthi ufinyelele kukho ngaphandle kwezindleko ezengeziwe.

Ungaphuthelwa lutho, yiba umxhasi futhi uzokwazi ukufinyelela izibuyekezo zamasonto onke eziqala ngoMeyi.

Silungiselele umbiko we-PDF wamakhasi angaphezu kwe-100 onemininingwane ephelele, esikushiya lapha: