Peru: I-Fujimori iqala njengentandokazi okhethweni lwangeSonto.

Kuleli Sonto, ukhetho lukaMongameli kanye nolweSishayamthetho lubanjwe ePeru. Umkhankaso wokhetho ungena esigabeni sawo sokugcina.

Zonke izinhlolovo zibikezela ukunqoba kukaKeiko Fujimori ongakwesokudla kodwa ngaphandle kokufinyelela ku-50% wamavoti, ngakho-ke kuzofanele aye emzuliswaneni wesibili ngoJuni 5. Okwamanje ama-poll abikezela ukuthi ophikisana naye kuzoba uPedro Pablo Kuczynski othanda ukuhlalisana kahle nabantu, kodwa ezinsukwini zamuva nje u-Verónika Mendoza ozokhethwa kwesokunxele unezinketho.

Abavoti abakhulu bezwe basanda kushicilela izinhlolovo zabo zakamuva: PulsoDatum (March 28-30), GfK (March 28-30), Ipsos (March 30-April 1) kanye ne-CPI (March 30-April 1). Ukunciphisa amavoti angenalutho nangenalutho (anamaphutha), izibikezelo yilezi:

• I-Fujimori (kwesokudla): 40,8% - 43,1%

• I-Kuczynski (i-social conservative): 17,1% - 19,9%

• Mendoza (kwesokunxele): 15,8% - 18,4%

• I-Barnechea (ekhululekile): 9,4% - 11,4%

• I-García (intando yeningi yezenhlalo): 4% - 7,2%

Kwezine Umqhudelwano wokugcina uzoba phakathi kukaFujimori noKuczynski. Lezi zinhlolovo ezi-4 zibikezela ukunqoba kukaFujimori kodwa ngomehluko omncane kakhulu, ovula ukungaqiniseki komphumela. I-CPI iyona enikeza inzuzo enkulu ku-Fujimori (5,5%) kanye ne-PulsoDatum okungenani (1%), ngaphandle kokwehlisa ivoti elimhlophe, elinephutha nelingakanqunywa, elingelincane.

Esinye isimo okungenzeka kube yi-duel yabesifazane: Fujimori vs Mendoza. Kulokhu, ukunqoba kukaFujimori kuzoba kukhulu. Ku-CPI iFujimori izowina ngo-14,6%, ngokusho kwe-Ipsos ngo-6%, ngokusho kwe-GfK ngo-5% futhi ngokusho kwePulsoDatum ngo-10%.

E-Peru, izinga lokwenqatshwa elikhiqizwa ikhandidethi ngalinye libaluleke kakhulu (iphesenti lezakhamuzi ezingasoze zabavotela). Ngokusho kwe-CPI, leyo eyenza ukwenqatshwa okuncane iFujimori (44%), ilandelwe nguKuczynski (47,8%), Mendoza (57%), Barnechea (58,4%) kanye no-Alan García (80,7%).

Le nhlolovo efanayo ikhombisa iphalamende elithanda kakhulu i-Fujimori, njengoba okhethweni lomthetho liyabikezela:

• Popular Force (Fujimori): 38,9%

• AmaPeruvia e-Kambio (Kuczynski): 16,3%

• Frente Amplio (Mendoza): 11,5%

• I-Alliance for Progress (Acuña, ichithiwe): 10,5%

• I-Popular Alliance (García): 8,8%

• Isenzo Esidumile (Barnechea): 7,9%

Ezinye izinhlolovo zibikezela okufanayo. I-GfK ibikezela u-37,5% we-Fuerza Popular, u-20,3% we-PPK, u-10,4% we-Frente Amplio kanye no-9,9% we-Acción Popular.

Futhi i-PulsoDatum ibikezela u-35,9% we-Fuerza Popular, u-23,3% we-PPK, u-11,1% we-Acción Popular, u-10,4% we-Frente Amplio.

Isihloko esivela ku-CDDMT.