[Prehistory] Kuthiwani uma sikhetha umongameli njengase-United States?

I-athikili ishicilelwe okokuqala ngoJulayi 14, 2018

Kulezi zinsuku zikahulumeni omusha we-PSOE, wabantu abasha abazokwengamela Iqembu Elidumile, sicabanga kakhulu “ngawomongameli.” Ngakho-ke sike sazibuza ukuthi ngabe ngubani umongameli wethu uma simkhetha njengase-United States?

Impendulo ithi asinalo ulwazi, ngoba uhlelo lwethu akulona umongameli kodwa ephalamende, isifunda sethu yisifundazwe hhayi uMbuso, futhi ngoba... kahle, ngenxa yeminye imininingwane eminingi esingeke siyithuthukise.

Kodwa lona umdlalo olula ngakho sizokwenza lula kakhulu: ake sicabange ukuthi izifundazwe zethu bezifana nezwe ngalinye ezweni likaTrump noHillary. Masisebenzise ama-data esinawo ukuze sibone ukuthi yiziphi izinto ezingasile esiqhamuka nazo.

Lapho umongameli ukhethwa ithimba lezithunywa, ingqikithi engama-538. UMbuso ngamunye uqoka inombolo elingana nesamba sabameleli bawo (amakhongolose) nezigele. Khona-ke, lapho kuqokwa umongameli, zonke izithunywa zalowo Mbuso zizovotela lowo ophumelele lapho, ngisho noma kungevoti elilodwa. Ngakho ungawina ubumongameli ngamavoti kodwa ulahlekelwe yizithunywa ze-United States yonkana. Empeleni, yilokhu okwenzeka ku-Hillary Clinton, owanqoba uTrump ngamavoti acela ezigidini ezintathu, kodwa wahlulwa ngoba uthole izithunywa ezingu-232 kuphela uma kuqhathaniswa nezingu-306 ezatholwa imbangi yakhe.

Kuzokwenzekani eSpain uma sisebenzisa uhlelo olufana nalolu?

Okokuqala sibheke okhethweni lukazwelonke olwedlule. Uma eMelika kuqokwa izithunywa ezingama-538, eSpain bekuzoba nama-558 (amaphini angama-350 kanye nezigele zezifundazwe ezingama-208). Ukuwasabalalisa ngemibandela efanayo, sizoba nale mephu kusuka ngomhla ka-26-J-2016:

Ukube eSpain besinohlelo lukamongameli olufana nolwaseMelika, uRajoy ubezoba umongameli ngokokhetho lwango-2016 futhi... ubezoqhubeka nokuba njalo nanamuhla, ngoba bekungeke kube neziphakamiso zokusola noma okunye okufanayo okungaba khona. ukuvimbile.

Kodwa futhi kwakuyoba nokunye ukuhluka okuthakazelisayo. Indawo yesibili, hhayi ngamavoti kodwa ezihambelini, ngabe iye kuPablo Iglesias, esikhundleni sikaPedro Sánchez. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ezifundazweni ezimbalwa zaseCatalonia nasezweni laseBasque, indida ingenzeka ukuthi umuntu ozongenela ukhetho lobuzwe uzonqoba futhi ongafisi ngempela isikhundla sikamongameli, njengoba lokhu kudinga ukuba khona kulo lonke elaseSpain. Ngakho-ke, bangaba uhlobo lwabangangenele ukhetho noma abangenele umbhikisho. Ekugcineni, u-Albert Rivera wayezothola i-rosco enomsindo, iqanda eliphelele ezihambelini, okuyikhona okubalulekile.

Kodwa namuhla izinto sezishintshile kangangokuthi mhlawumbe akufanele sibheke ku-2016 kodwa sibheke iqiniso lamanje. Ukwengeza izinhlolovo zamanje kumephu yaseSpain nokwabela abameleli njengase-"America", sithola le mephu kuvuselelwe kusukela ngoJulayi 2018:

Okhethweni olucatshangelwayo lukamongameli oluzobanjwa namuhla, lapho ivoti eliphakathi nendawo elingakwesokudla lihlukaniswe cishe ngokulinganayo phakathi kwe-PP kanye ne-Ciudadanos, futhi njengoba i-PSOE ivelele ngokuqhathaniswa, le nhlangano ingaba nethuba elanele lokuwina ezifundazweni eziningi, ngisho noma ngabe itholakala ezindaweni eziningi. kubo ngomkhawulo omncane, futhi ngale ndlela bathathe izithunywa zabo (bonke). Ngalezi mininingwane, uPedro Sánchez uzokhethwa njengomongameli, ngokusobala, ngaphandle kwezinkinga eziningi. Umuntu ozongenela i-PP, noma ngabe kuthiwa nguSoraya noma u-Pablo, uzofinyelela izithunywa ezingaphezu kwekhulu kanye nendawo yesibili ehloniphekile, kodwa engakhiqizi. Ngokuqhubekayo, u-Albert Rivera angazuza ukunqoba ezifundazweni ezimbalwa, okwakuzothi, njengoba zinabantu abaningi, zizomshiya endaweni ephoxekile kakhulu kunango-2016. Abangewona ama-conditionist bezwe bazothuthukisa izikhundla, futhi, ekugcineni, uPablo Iglesias uzosala. ngemuva kakhulu, ihlakazwe i-alluvium yase-Sánchez.

Yiqiniso, lokhu kuwukuzivocavoca nje, umdlalo. Ukube sasenza lesi sivivinyo esifanayo ngonyaka odlule, ophumelele ngokuphelele ngabe... UMariano Rajoy, osenyamalele namuhla kwezombusazwe. Kodwa ukube sakwenza nje ezinyangeni ezimbili ezedlule!! Ubumongameli bezwe ngabe buthathwe ku-Albert Rivera Street.

Kanjalo nezinto. Yonke into ingashintsha ngokuphazima kweso, ngoba umbono womphakathi uguquguquka kanjalo, futhi ngenxa yokuthi indlela eqinile (emiphumeleni yayo) ishintsha ngayo uhlelo lwaseMelika.

Jose Salver