ULwesibili Olukhulu (II): Umcimbi obalulekile wama-primaries eNew York.

Ukhetho olubalulekile kusasa esifundazweni saseNew York.

Okwakhe Iqembu leDemocratic Party inzuzo kuma-polls Clinton isukela kumaphuzu ayi-10 kuye kwayi-17. Kusazobonakala ukuthi i-NY izoba yisifunda lapho ukhetho lulungile, njenge-Ohio noma iFlorida, noma izwe lapho ukuvota kubukele phansi amaSanders, njenge-Idaho noma i-Utah.

Noma ngabe kwenzekani kuyacaca ukuthi Sanders izoqhubeka, ngakho-ke kuzodingeka silinde kuze kube ngoLwesibili oluzayo lwe-26, ngokuqokwa ezifundazweni eziningana ogwini lwase-Atlantic, ezikhetha izithunywa ze-384, eziningi ngaphezu kwalezo ezikhethwe yi-NY kusasa, eziyi-247. Kulokho kuqokwa kuzoqala futhi uClinton ebhekene namavoti ezifundazweni ezimbili ezinkulu: iPennsylvania (izithunywa eziyi-189) kanye neMayrland (izithunywa ezingama-95).

Konke kubonakala kukhombisa ukuthi kuze kube uJuni 7, lapho iCalifornia ivota izithunywa zayo ezingama-475, ngeke kube nokunqoba okucacile kwanoma yimuphi umuntu oqhudelanayo.. Kuleso sifundazwe, izinhlolovo zibikezela inzuzo kaClinton ngaphezu kukaSanders cishe amaphuzu ayi-10-15.

Isimo samanje:

• UClinton: amavoti angu-1.786 (1.307 deleg+479 superdeleg)

• Sanders: 1.137 amavoti (1.097 deleg+40 superdeleg)

Okwamanje uClinton usewine kumaPrimaries angu-16 kanye namaCaucuses angu-2, kanti uSanders ukwenze lokho kumaPrimaries angu-5 kanye namaCaucuses angu-11, ekhombisa amandla asebekhulile kumakhokhasi kanye nobuthakathaka bakhe kumaPrimaries, okungase kumlimaze ngenxa ye-18. ukhetho olusele (izifunda ezingu-16 kanye ne-DC kanye ne-Puerto Rico) zonke zingamaprimaries ngaphandle kweyodwa, i-North Dakota, ekhetha izithunywa nge-Caucus.

Phakathi kwezifunda ezinkulu (ezikhetha izithunywa zeDemocratic Alliance ezingaphezu kwekhulu) ukunqoba kukaClinton kube kuhle kakhulu, izifunda eziyisi-100 (i-Georgia, iTexas, iFlorida, i-Illinois, iNorth Carolina ne-Ohio) uma kuqhathaniswa nezingu-6 zikaSanders (iMichigan neWashington).

Amapholi we-New York primaries I-Republican Party Bamaka ukunqoba okunethezekile kakhulu kuka-Donald Trump (50% -55%), uma kuqhathaniswa no-John Kasich (20% -25%) kanye no-Ted Cruz (15% -20%). Lo mphumela ungase usondeze uTrump ekuqokweni kweRepublican, kodwa ngesikhathi esifanayo uzonikeza uKasich amaphiko ukuthi amelane kuze kube uLwesibili oluzayo lwama-26, nama-primaries ezifundazweni ezingu-5 ogwini lwe-Atlantic lapho engadlula khona u-Cruz.

Kubonakala kuya ngokuya kuba nzima ku-GOP ukumisa isitimela sikaTrump. Noma ngabe uKasich uhoxe kangakanani ngemuva komhlangano wangomhla zingama-26, u-Cruz uzoba nesikhathi esinzima kakhulu sokuwina eCalifornia, futhi nokuwina ngeke kusibekele isibalo sezithunywa uTrump anazo.

Isimo samanje sithi:

• UDonald Trump: 755 izithunywa

• UTed Cruz: 521 ithimba

• UJohn Kasich: Izithunywa eziyi-144

• Abanye: 189 (173 from Marco Rubio)

Kuze kube manje uTrump usewine ezifundazweni ezingu-20 (okuhlanganisa nezinkulu kunazo zonke: iGeorgia, iFlorida, i-Illinois noma iNorth Carolina) kuyilapho u-Cruz ewine kwezingu-11 (futhi phakathi kwezinkulu kunazo zonke eTexas kuphela). UKasich uwine e-Ohio naseRubio eMinnesota (ngaphandle kweDC nePuerto Rico).

Isihloko esivela ku-CDDMT.