I-Vox ne-PACMA, ithuliswe abavoti noma ngaphandle kwezinketho zangempela?

Kunabalandeli bethu abaningi ezinkundleni zokuxhumana abavame ukusibuza mayelana nokubhidlika kwe "Amanye Amaqembu" uma sishicilela inhlolovo. Umbuzo awukwazi ukwenza umqondo owengeziwe ezikhathini ezinesiyaluyalu ohlelweni lwendabuko lwamaqembu amabili (yize “bekwikhoma” kusukela ngo-2013), kusukela ngo-XNUMX. isandulela sokungena kwe-UPyD kuCongress ngo-2008 (phakathi kwegagasi le-bipartisan) noma "ibhomu" lokuvela kwePodemos namaphalamende e-5 aseYurophu okhethweni lwaseYurophu lwe-2014 Benza abaningi bethu bazibuze ukuthi ngabe amaqembu amasha anethuba lokumangala ezinyangeni ezizayo.

Uma kubhekwa lesi simo, ukubunjwa ngaphandle kwephalamende njenge I-Vox o I-Pacma Bangase baqhubeke bathole izihlalo okhethweni oluzayo Ukhetho lwaseYurophu/ lukamasipala/ oluzimele kanye nasokhethweni lukazwelonke olulandelayo. Kodwa kunzima ukwazi ukuthi kuyini ukwesekwa kwakho kwangempela lapho iningi labavoti lingabuzi ngokuqondile inhloso yakho yokuvota, Ingabe lena yimpendulo yomkhankaso wokuthulisa? yalezi zakhiwo ukuze kuzuze amaqembu endabuko Noma ingabe abanazo ngempela izinketho? ukuthola indawo ePhalamende?

Kuso sonke lesi sihloko sizobuyekeza isizinda "samaqembu amasha" abe ngowokugcina ukuzuza ukumelwa, sizobona ukuthi yiziphi izithombe zokuvota ezinikeziwe ezinyangeni ngaphambi kokhetho kanye nomphumela abawutholile ekugcineni. Ngezansi sizohlaziya ukuthi lezi zinto ezandulele zingadluliselwa yini esimweni samanje nokuthi ngabe, ngakho-ke, ukwakheka okusha kunethuba lokungena kwezombusazwe zaseYurophu naseSpain.

Icala le-UPyD

Ukungena kuCongress

Ngo-2008, ukhetho lukazwelonke lwenziwa eSpain, ukhetho lapho isamba se-PP ne-PSOE sifinyelele ku-84% ngezindleko zokwehla kokusekelwa kwe-IU kanye namaqembu endabuko yobuzwe. Kodwa kuleso simo, iqembu elisha lithole isihlalo sika-Rosa Díez kuCongress of Deputies: UPyD. Lokhu ukwenze ngamavoti angu-1,19% kanye namavoti angu-300.000.

Amapholi adlule

I-Las amavoti akamuva okhetho izilinganiso ezishicilelwe zilinganisele imiphumela elandelayo ye-UPyD:

CIS: 0,6%
Abavoti: 1% (yize iningi lingazange linikeze idatha, nakuba engxenyeni yokugcina yomkhankaso i-El Periódico, i-La Vanguardia kanye ne-El País bamnikeze izinketho zokungena ngezihlalo ezingu-0-1).

U-Rosa Díez unikeza isimanga

Ngemva kokusungula iqembu ezinyangeni ezingu-6 ngaphambi kokhetho ngemuva kokuhlukana ne-PSE, ngaphandle kokungabaza i-UPyD noRosa Díez baya phambili ezindabeni zezombusazwe ngokuzuza into enzima kakhulu: ukuklwebha isihlalo emaphathini endabuko. Endabeni yakhe, uRosa wakwazi ukungena ngokunqoba umgoqo wamavoti angama-3% kuMphakathi waseMadrid, wagxila ku-131.000 amavoti emphakathini ozimele.

Umphumela eMadrid: 3,76% - 1 isihlalo.
Umphumela kazwelonke: 1,19%.

Ukuchezuka kwe-CIS: -49%
Ukuchezuka kokuvota: -16%

Icala le-Podemos

"Ukumangala" kwabaseYurophu

Ukungena kwamaPodemos ePhalamende LaseYurophu ngo-2014 ngokungangabazeki kwaphawula umlando wethu wezepolitiki wakamuva. Futhi kude nokuthola isihlalo, Iqembu lika-Pablo Iglesias lithole izihlalo ezi-5, eduze namavoti angu-8%., ngokuzenzakalelayo igxumela ekhasini lokuqala layo yonke imithombo yezindaba kazwelonke ye ukungalindelekile komphumela omuhle kulokho abahlaziyi abaningi abakubheka njengokusheshisa kokuphela kwemodeli ye-bipartisan ISpanishi.

Amapholi adlule

Emuva ngo-2014 besivele siphawula ngemibono yethu mayelana namavoti ngaphambi kokhetho lwase-electomanía, futhi abaningi benu imbala. uzele ukubikezela -ngempumelelo encane- obucabanga ukuthi kuzokwenzeka esibalweni.

Iqiniso yilokho Ngisho naseLa Sexta bebebheja ngomphumela omuhle wePodemos, nge inhlolovo yakhe yakamuva yabaseYurophu okubonisa ukuthi ukwakheka okunsomi kungathola i-MEP engu-1 ngamavoti angu-1,5%, nakuba isilinganiso samapholi akamuva Babeke labo be-Iglesias cishe ku-2% -3% nabanye abavoti abafana ne-GAD3 noma i-SigmaDos ebenze bafinyelela ku-3,5%:

CIS: 1,8%
Abavoti: 2,5%

Ukuqhunyiswa kwamabhomu kwe-5 MEPs

Ngobusuku bangoMeyi 25, 2014 samangala sonke lapho ehlola lokho Ukuvota bekukubuke phansi ukudonswa kwevoti ngesithombe sika-Iglesias, ongazange athole kuphela isihlalo ePhalamende LaseYurophu, kodwa futhi ukwazile ukunyakazisa uhlelo lwamaqembu amabili ngokukhombisa ukuthi ukwakheka okusha kungasibekela noma yiliphi iqembu lendabuko, kulandela izinyathelo ze-UPyD.

Umphumela: 7,97% - 5 izihlalo.
Ukuchezuka kwe-CIS: -77,4%
Ukuchezuka kwe-Pollster: -68,6%

I-Vox y I-PACMA

Njengamanje kunzima ukuhlaziya ukusekelwa kwabantu baseSpain kulezi zakhiwo ezimbili lapho cishe akekho noyedwa kwabavoti obuza ngalawa maqembu. Ngisho nocwaningo oluphelele lwe-CIS alubuzi ngabo.

Ezinyangeni ezedlule kube njalo I-Sociometrics yeSpanishi uyena kuphela oye wavuma ukukhombisa ukwesekwa ayezokuvuna I-Vox okhethweni lukazwelonke, ambeke cishe u-1,5%.

Ngokulandelayo, i-Sociometrica ne-SigmaDos yaphula i-ukwesekwa okuvela kubahlali baseMadrid kuya eVox nasePACMA ngosuku lwangoMeyi 2 kumavoti abo ukuthi siyiqeda kanjani okhethweni lwethu, ukuthola I-Vox 3,5% yezisekelo zemidiya, kanye I-PACMA 1,6%.

Vox isilinganiso sikazwelonke: 1,5%
Isilinganiso Sikazwelonke se-PACMA: N / A

Linganisa Com. I-Madrid Vox: 3,5%
Linganisa Com. I-PACMA yaseMadrid: 1,6%

Vox: ngezinketho zangempela

Uma siqhathanisa izilinganiso zosekelo lwe-Vox emazingeni kazwelonke nawesifunda, U-Vox uzoba nesikhathi esilula kakhulu sokungena kuCongress of Deputies okungenani isihlalo esisodwa seMadrid ukuphinda ukuvuka kwe-UPyD ngo-2008.

Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukusondela kwabaseYurophu nohlelo lwabo lokumelwa ngokulinganayo kusho ukuthi angeke kukhishwe ukwakhiwa kwe-Abascal. "umphumela wamasonto" uma ikwazi ukuheha amavoti anganelisekile avela kwesokudla abawaphethe ngaphambi kwepolitiki kazwelonke, into enganikeza ngokungangabazeki idatha engcono okhethweni lukazwelonke lwango-2020, futhi kucatshangelwa ukuthi I-Sociometrics ibikezela ukwesekwa okungu-5% emiphakathini ezimele yaseMadrid, ezibanjelwe eceleni kwabase-Europe, ukuze bakwazi ngisho nokuthola izihlalo eMhlanganweni waseMadrid lokho Bangakwazi ngisho nokubeka uhulumeni ozimele waseMadrid wesikhathi esizayo, okwakuzobenza badume nakakhulu ezingeni likazwelonke.

I-PACMA: isengozini kwabaseYurophu

Ngokuphambene nalokho okwenzeka ngokubunjwa kwe-Abascal, Iqembu lezilwane libukeka lisekude kakhulu ukuthi likwazi ukungena kuKhongolose wamaSekela, kanye lOkuwukuphela kwenketho onayo ukufeza lokhu ukuthi ukusekelwa okubonisa ukuvota eMadrid kudluliselwe ezingeni likazwelonke okhethweni lwase-Europe, mhlawumbe exhunywe osonhlamvukazi "wevoti lokubhikisha" kwesobunxele abanganelisekile nge-Unidos Podemos.

Uma ephumelela, ukungena kwakhe kuCongress ngo-2020 kuzosondela kakhulu, nakuba kungenjalo kungaba nzima kakhulu kwizishoshovu zezilwane ukuletha izwi lokuvikela amalungelo ezilwane eCarrera de San Jerónimo.

Idatha eyengeziwe ayanele

Njengoba ubona, kubonakala sengathi Ukungena kwe-Vox ne-PACMA ePhalamende LaseYurophu kanye nokudluliselwa kwayo okulandelayo ku-Congress of Deputies kulenga ngochungechunge, kodwa kuyiqiniso ukuthi kungaba lula kakhulu ukulinganisa umphumela wayo uma abavoti behlanganisa ukuhlukaniswa kokusekelwa kwalawa maqembu phakathi kwedatha yabo.

Akuwona umbuzo oyinkimbinkimbi, umbuzo wentando, futhi kungakhathaliseki ukuthi siyathanda noma singathandi imibono abayivikelayo, ukwazi isithombe esimile sabavoti babo akufanele kube ngokuzithandela, ekugcineni. ukuba namaqiniso ambalwa engeziwe akulimazi muntu, idatha ayilokothi idlulele. Futhi nakakhulu uma kwezombusazwe akukho okubhaliwe, futhi ngubani owaziyo ukuthi noma yiliphi kulawa maqembu elizodlala kumakhava kaMeyi ozayo wezi-2019 ... noma cha.