ElectoPanel (Oct 4 Part II): Spain would be republican after a referendum

The graph shows the results of a survey conducted by EM-Analytics on October 4th on the preference between Monarchy and Republic in Spain. According to the data:

• 54,1% of those surveyed opt for the Republic.
• 42,5% They prefer the Monarchy.
• 3,4% they do not decide or do not answer (NS/NC).

This graph shows the historical evolution of the supports for the Monarchy (mustard line) in front of the Republic (purple line) in Spain, from January 2019 to October 2024, according to ElectoPanel data.

• Republic: Currently has a 54,1% support.
• Monarchy: Has fallen to 42,5%

In general, support for the Republic has been increasing steadily, while that of the Monarchy has shown a downward trend.

The graph shows the preferences on Monarchy vs. Republic broken down by voters of different political parties in Spain, according to an ElectoPanel survey of October 4.

• Monarchy:
  • Has greater support among voters of UPN (88,8%), PP (83,2%) y Vox (81,2%).
  • Support drops considerably in smaller or regionalist parties such as Empty Spain (20,4%) y PACMA (15%).
• Republic:
  • It is widely predominant among voters of left-wing and regionalist parties. Voters of CUP (99,6%), ERC (99,4%), We can (98,7%) y BNG (97,7%) are the ones who most favor this option.
  • There is also notable Republican support among voters of parties such as PSOE (86,8%) y Sumar (96,6%).
• NS/NC (Don't know/No answer): The percentage of undecided or those who do not respond is small in all parties, without exceeding the 10,5% in the case of SALF or 10,8% of the PNV

The map shows territorial support for the Monarchy and the Republic in Spain, according to the results of an ElectoPanel on October 4. The colors indicate the intensity of support: orange represents areas with greater support for the Monarchy, while purple reflects support for the Republic.

Comparison with the year 2023