Argentina: sabon binciken da aka buga (Synopsis) yana nuna wani yanayi mai tsauri, tare da koma baya ga Macri

Kwanaki biyu kafin PASO a Argentina (zaben fidda gwanin da za a zabi ‘yan takarar manyan jam’iyyu) rashin tabbas yana girma lokacin da aka kafa dokar hana fita, da dai sauransu, har zuwa ranar Lahadi bayan an san sakamakon.

Haramcin ya wuce dokar zabe ta rashin adalci wanda ya haramta buga rumfunan zabe na ‘yan kwanaki, har ma da haramcin gudanar da yakin neman zabe ko sayar da barasa.

Binciken da aka sani na ƙarshe shine na Taƙaice, kwanan watan Agusta 6 na ƙarshe, kuma wanda ke ba da bayanan da ke biyowa (muna amfani da bayanan don PASO a matsayin tushen kamar dai sakamakon da aka samu a Zagaye na Farko). Fernández ne zai fi samun kuri'a da kashi 42% idan aka kwatanta da na Macri 38%.

Daga wadannan bayanai, muna kimanta sakamakon a cikin gudu (zagaye na biyu), wanda zai nuna ƙaramin nasara ga takarar F&F.

Kasuwanni suna da kyakkyawan fata, wanda ya haifar da hasashe saboda suna sarrafa bayanai daga wasu masu jefa kuri'a da ba a buga su ba. Haɗin gwiwar kasuwar hannayen jari, Marval, ya karu da kashi 7% a wannan Jumma'a kuma Wall Street ya bayyana a hankali.

Elypsis, alal misali, kiyasin samun nasara a lardin Buenos Aires (mafi yawan jama'a) ga dan takarar Macri, María Eugenia Vidal, da 43% na kuri'un. Dan takarar F&F, Axel Kicillof, zai zo na biyu da kashi 39% na kuri'un. Ko da yake Adadin tallafi don Tare don Canji yana raguwa zuwa 35% idan ya zo ga Mauricio Macri.

A ranar Lahadi za mu share shakka.