Amurka: An fara fafatawa da Trump: Iowa, a ranar 3 ga Fabrairu, fafatawa na neman tsayawa takarar Demokradiyya

Fafatawar da jam'iyyar Democrat ke yi na karawa da Donald Trump a zaben shugaban kasar Amurka da za a yi a watan Nuwamba, bayan shafe watanni ana tafka muhawara da tattara kudade, yanzu haka ta kai ga gaci.

Jiha ta farko da za ta yanke shawarar wakilan da za su aika zuwa babban taron Demokradiyya a watan Yuli ita ce Iowa. Gudunmawar ku ga taron za ta kasance kaɗan (Wakilai 41 daga cikin jimillar kusan 4.000), amma, kasancewa na farko da ya yanke shawara, sakamakon da 'yan takara daban-daban suka samu a cikin "caucus" a ranar 3 zai yi tasiri sosai ga waɗanda aka gudanar daga baya.

A ranar Talatar da ta gabata ne muhawara ta shida ta talabijin tsakanin 'yan takara na Jam'iyyar Democrat, wanda 'yan takara shida ne kawai aka raba": Biden, Sanders, Buttigieg, Warren, Klobuchar da Steyer. Muhawarar da ta fi daukar hankali ita ce takun saka tsakanin Sanders da Warren. Har yanzu ba mu san duk zabukan da suka bayyana mana wadanda suka ci gajiyar ko kuma suka fadi a muhawarar ba, amma mun san mukaman da suka gabata a Iowa. babban daidaito:

Wakilai, wanda ake aiwatar da shi bisa ga rabe-raben cikin gida a cikin kowace jiha, ba za a iya yin daidai da tallafin da kowane ɗan takara ke samu a ranar 3rd ba, kuma a halin yanzu, idan babu sabbin bayanai. Za a rage shi zuwa 'yan takara hudu, daidai gwargwado. Dole ne a la'akari da cewa don shigar da rarrabawa dole ka samu, akalla daya 15% goyon baya. Ba za a iya yanke hukuncin cewa daya daga cikin 'yan takara hudu ya kare ya fadi kasa da wannan matakin, wanda zai bar a m adadin wakilai don rarraba tsakanin sauran ukun.

Daidaiton tsakanin 'yan takarar ya fi na yakin neman zabe a baya, kuma makonni masu zuwa za su yi farin ciki. Taron Iowa shine farkon tsere mai tsayi wanda zai kai mu har zuwa Yuli, wanda a cikiManufar ita ce cimma aƙalla wakilai 1.990 (mafi rinjayen 'yan jam'iyyar Democrat), adadi wanda, a yau, babu daya daga cikin 'yan takarar da zai cimma, bisa ga hasashen da ake yi a kasar baki daya.

Amma wannan kawai ya fara. Za a gudanar da babban taro na gaba a ranar 11 ga watan Sabuwar Hampshire. Sannan wasu da yawa…