ʻO Sigma Dos "kahaha" iā GAD3 ma ke ʻano he koho balota hilinaʻi loa

Akā he mea ʻole paha ka hopena nui a i ʻole ka hala i kekahi manawa. ʻO ka mea nui, ʻo kahi moʻolelo mele e hōʻoiaʻiʻo ai i ka solvency lōʻihi o kēlā me kēia hui, ʻaʻole "kuʻi" i kahi hopena koho balota hoʻokahi (no ka mea hiki i kekahi ke hoʻokō i kēlā, me ka laki liʻiliʻi). ʻO ia ke kumu no nā makahiki, ua hoʻokō mākou i kahi ka hoʻonaʻauao ʻōnaehana o nā ʻokoʻa o nā pollster like ʻole e pili ana i ka hopena hope loa o nā koho balota, e lawe ana i kumu i nā pākēneka koho a me nā pākēneka maoli, a me ka hāʻawi ʻana i ke kaumaha nui i nā kūkākūkā hou loa a ʻoi aku ka nui, a emi ke kaumaha i nā kūkākūkā mamao loa a emi iho ma mua o nā kūkākūkā aupuni.

Ma hope o nā koho balota hope loa, Ua hōʻano hou mākou i ka mōʻaukala deviation. Ma ka hihia o nā koho pāloka, helu mākou i ka awelika ʻokoʻa o ka pākēneka ma waena o nā hopena i wānana ʻia a me nā hopena maoli no kēlā me kēia ʻaoʻao i loaʻa i ka ʻaha kūkā. No nā koho pāloka, ʻo nā ʻaoʻao pae ʻāina wale nō i hoʻokō i ka hōʻike ʻana e noʻonoʻo ʻia, no ka mea, ʻaʻole hāʻawi kekahi poʻe koho balota i ka ʻikepili i hoʻokaʻawale ʻia ma nā ʻaoʻao haʻahaʻa.

ʻO kēia ka hopena:

Ma waena o nā hui a mākou e manaʻo nei he "mau", ʻo ia hoʻi, ka poʻe i hele i nā koho a pau mai ke koho balota ʻo Dekemaba 2015, ʻike ʻia ko lākou kūpaʻa. ua ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o nā mea a pau i nā koho balota nui i hala, ma hope o kona "hāʻule" i ke koho balota Andalusia i Dekemaba. Piʻi ʻo Sigma ʻElua i ke kūlana mua laulā e hoʻoneʻe ana iā GAD3. He mea ʻike ʻia hoʻi ʻo ka CIS, mahalo i kāna kuhi maikaʻi no 28-A, haʻalele i kahi hope loa, kahi kokoke loa ʻo Celeste Tel a me NC Report.

Ma waena o nā mea kūkākūkā "pinepine". (ʻo ia hoʻi ka poʻe a pau i hana i kahi kuhi no 28-A), ua hoʻokomo ʻia i loko wahi mua Loikoi maʻalahi, ma hope o kona ʻike makaʻala no nā koho balota nui i hala iho nei. Sociometric e Imop Insights He mea kupanaha loa lakou. ʻO kā mākou ElectoPanel, i hoʻokomo ʻia e hoʻomaʻamaʻa i ka hoʻohālikelike ʻana ʻoiai ʻaʻole ia he mea koho kuʻuna, ʻo ia ka mea maikaʻi loa ma kēia pūʻulu i ke koho balota Andalusia, a noho mau i ka waena o ka papaʻaina i nā koho 28-A, ʻoiai ua hoʻomaikaʻi mākou i ka awelika deviation mai 2.7% a hiki i ka 2%. ʻO kā mākou pahuhopu koke no nā koho balota o kēia mahina ʻo ia ka hoʻāʻo e komo i ka pūʻulu koho o ka poʻe i loaʻa ka hapa awelika mōʻaukala no kēlā me kēia ʻaoʻao ʻoi aku ma mua o 2%.

Ma ka hopena, Ma waena o nā pollster "i kekahi manawa", kū i waho ka poʻe mai ka ʻāina Basque, mahalo i ka holomua nui i loaʻa i ke koho balota 2017 Basque.

Mai ka lā 26 o Mei e hoʻohou hou mākou i kēia hoʻonohonoho, hoʻohana ma ke ʻano he kumu, no ka mea he maʻalahi ke hoʻohālikelike, nā hopena i loaʻa e nā ʻoihana like ʻole i ke koho balota o Europa. He mea haohao paha, hou.