Ma primaries a Democratic (USA): nanga bwanji mayiko akulu?

Timalankhula zambiri masiku ano Iowa o New Hampshire, mayiko oyamba omwe achita ma primaries ku United States. Mochuluka kuti Iowa amawakondwerera lero (caucus yake "idzatsegulidwa" madzulo ano, usiku ku Spain).

Iowa, New Hampshire kapena Nevada ndizofunikira, chifukwa zidzayitanira ena onse, koma nthumwi za 41 zomwe Iowa idzatumiza ku msonkhano wa Democratic mu July, kapena 24 kuchokera ku New Hampshire, mwachitsanzo, yotumbululuka poyerekeza ndi mayiko akuluakulu.

Akuluakulu anayi (California, New York, Texas ndi Florida), adzatumiza kumsonkhano nthumwi zoposa 1.100, ndipo kulemera kwawo ndikwakuti atha kuwongolera aliyense wa demokalase.

Tiyeni tiwone momwe mavoti alili mwa iwo.

CALIFORNIA

M'chigawo chokhala ndi anthu ambiri a Union, chomwe chikuwonjezera nthumwi zoposa 400, Sanders ali ndi mwayi waukulu. Tili ndi zisankho ziwiri kuchokera masiku angapo apitawa omwe a Bernie wakaleImapitiriranso.

California ndiye korona ndi ena nthumwi zana limodzi que Iwo akhoza kusintha manja mavoti angapo: omwe amapatukana akufikira 15% kapena kukhala pansi pake. Pakadali pano, Biden ndi Warren akuwoneka pamwamba, koma ... ma primaries nthawi zonse amapereka zodabwitsa, ndipo aliyense amene sangafikire owopsa 15% m'boma lino mwachiwerengero chapang'onopang'ono adzakhala osowa kwambiri pakugawa nthumwi, ndipo zingakhale zosowa kwambiri kwa iwo ngakhale kukhumba. kusankhidwa kwa demokalase.

Pa Marichi 3 tidzadziwa.

Florida

Florida ndi imodzi mwa izo "swing states” (zigawo zotsimikizika, theka la Democratic, theka la Republican) zomwe nthawi zonse zimathandizira utsogoleri wa North America.

Koma tsopano sitikunena za utsogoleri, koma "kokha" za kusankhidwa kwa Democratic. Malo odziwika aposachedwa kwambiri Biden wodziwika kwambiri, pomwe pafupifupi Sanders ndi Bloomberg ali pansi pang'ono 15%. Ngati ndi choncho, a Biden angatenge "kutsina" kochititsa chidwi, mwina pafupifupi nthumwi 200. Ngati, kumbali ina, Sanders kapena Bloomberg afika 15% m'magawo ambiri, Biden adzalandira pafupifupi 100, ndipo ena onse apita kwa ena awiriwo.

NEW YORK

Dziko la "capital capital yosavomerezeka"Zadziko lapansi ndizofunikira pa mpikisano wa demokalase, koma mphamvu zake zidachepa chifukwa, pofika nthawi yovota pa Epulo 28, mayiko ena otsimikiza adzakhala atasankha kale nthumwi, ndipo kusankhidwa kungakhale kotsala pang'ono kuthetsedwa. Pakadali pano, Biden wayimirira, ndipo tikuwona Sanders ndi Warren opitilira 15%. Kuphatikiza apo, tilibe deta yomwe idayatsidwa Bloomberg, zomwe zikanakhoza kuthyola sitimayo m'boma ili, lomwe mzinda wake wofunika kwambiri adakhala meya kwa zaka zambiri.

Texas

Dziko lalikulu lakumwera adzakhalanso wotsimikiza, chifukwa, kuwonjezera apo, imasankha nthumwi zake mofulumira kwambiri. Pakadali pano Biden ali ndi mwayi wawung'ono, ngakhale zizindikilo zikuyambanso kudziwika kuti zinthu zitha kusintha: Bloomberg amakwera kwambiri, ngakhale akadali kutali ndi 15%, pamene Warren amakhala mu a Ndikufuna koma sindingathe, zofala kwambiri kwa iye m'maboma ambiri. Ngati Warren ndi/kapena Bloomberg atapeza zotsatira zambiri kuposa 15%, kugawidwa kwa nthumwi kukanasiya Biden ndi Sanders osakwana 100.

Pakadali pano Kuyambira masana ano kuvota kukuchitika ku Iowa, ndipo nthumwi zake zodzichepetsa 41 ziyamba kutiuza zomwe njira yomaliza ya ma primaries a demokalase idzakhala, yomwe ikuwoneka kuti ndi imodzi mwazovuta kwambiri m'mbiri ya chipanichi.