La uhlanga lwedemokhrasi ukujongana noDonald Trump kunyulo lukamongameli waseMelika ngoNovemba, emva kweenyanga zeengxoxo kunye nokunyusa ingxowa-mali, ngoku ifikelela kumaxesha ayo athatha isigqibo.
El ilizwe lokuqala abaya kugqiba ukuba ngabaphi abathunywa abaza kubathumela kwindibano yeDemokhrasi ngoJulayi baya kuba Iowa, abavota ngoMvulo ozayo. Okwangoku, umlo okhoyo ugxile kuSanders kunye neBiden, ekubonakala ngathi ikhusele inqanaba elisezantsi le-15% yenkxaso, eyimfuneko ekufumaneni abathunywa, ngelixa abanye abagqatswa besemdeni ukubafumana.
Owesibini yiNew Hampshire, eya kubhiyozela iiprimaries zayo kwiveki kamva, oko kukuthi, i 11 ngoFebruwari. I-New Hampshire ayibalulekanga kangako ngokobungakanani kune-Iowa, kuba yabela abathunywa abangama-24 kwitotali ephantse ibe yi-4.000. Kodwa ukuba ngomnye wabokuqala ukuvotelwa, ukufaneleka kwayo kuyanda, kuba Iya kuba nefuthe kubo bonke abo baya kubanjwa kamva.
Indaleko kwiiveki ezimbini zokugqibela kweli lizwe lesibini ifana kakhulu ne Iowa:
USanders uthatha isikhokelo esicacileyo, ngelixa uBiden, uButtigieg kunye noWarren bexinene kunye kwindawo yesibini.
Oku kunokuchaphazela njani unyulo lwabathunywa bendibano yeDemokhrasi ngoJulayi?
Ukwabelwa kwabathunywa ngeli xesha iya kuncitshiswa ibe ngabaviwa ababini, Sanders kunye neBiden kwaye, inokuba yinto enye: UBernie Sanders. Inokwenzeka njani? Ukufaka unikezelo kufuneka ufumane, nokuba nye 15% inkxaso. USanders mninzi (okwangoku), kodwa iBiden, kwaye ngakumbi uButtigieg kunye noWarren, basemdeni (okanye ngaphantsi) kwelo nani. UBiden uqalisa ukubonisa iimpawu zokoyika, kwaye izolo uthe, ngelinge lokufumana izikhundla ngokuchasene noSanders, anokuthi abandakanye. Michelle Obama njengosekela mongameli kugqatso lwakhe.
Ukulingana phakathi kwabaviwa kukhulu kunamaphulo angaphambili, kwaye umdaniso omncinci we-1% unokutshintsha (kakhulu) ulwabiwo lwabathunywa. Iicaucuses zase-Iowa neNew Hampshire zisisiqalo nje sogqatso olude oluya kusithatha kude kube nguJulayi, apho Injongo kukuphumeza ubuncinane abathunywa abali-1.990, inani ekuthi, namhlanje, akukho namnye kubagqatswa oya kuphumelela, ngokoqikelelo olukhoyo lwelizwe ngokubanzi.
Okokugqibela, kufuneka kuqatshelwe ukuba ii-poll zeprimaries e-United States ziphantsi kwe ukungaqiniseki okukhulu, kunye nemida yokwahluka kwe-10% okanye ngaphezulu phakathi kovavanyo olunye nolunye, nokuba lwenziwe ngeentsuku ezifanayo, ayimangalisi. Umzekelo, kwimeko yaseNew Hampshire, kwaye kuphela ezo zenziwe kwiveki ephelileyo, imida yile ilandelayo:
- Sanders: 16% ukuya kuma-29%
- Biden: 14% ukuya kuma-22%
- Buttigieg: 10% ukuya kuma-17%
- IWarren: 10% ukuya kuma-16%
![Olunye ulwazi](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="24" height="24" preserveAspectRatio="xMidYMid meet" viewBox="0 0 1024 1024"%3E%3Cpath fill="%23a7a7a7" d="M512 64a448 448 0 1 1 0 896.064A448 448 0 0 1 512 64zm67.2 275.072c33.28 0 60.288-23.104 60.288-57.344s-27.072-57.344-60.288-57.344c-33.28 0-60.16 23.104-60.16 57.344s26.88 57.344 60.16 57.344zM590.912 699.2c0-6.848 2.368-24.64 1.024-34.752l-52.608 60.544c-10.88 11.456-24.512 19.392-30.912 17.28a12.992 12.992 0 0 1-8.256-14.72l87.68-276.992c7.168-35.136-12.544-67.2-54.336-71.296c-44.096 0-108.992 44.736-148.48 101.504c0 6.784-1.28 23.68.064 33.792l52.544-60.608c10.88-11.328 23.552-19.328 29.952-17.152a12.8 12.8 0 0 1 7.808 16.128L388.48 728.576c-10.048 32.256 8.96 63.872 55.04 71.04c67.84 0 107.904-43.648 147.456-100.416z"/%3E%3C/svg%3E%0A)
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