Luhamba ngokunjalo ugqatso lweDemokhrasi... kwaye ke ngoko uqikelelo lwethu lokugqibela lwabathunywa

Emva kwamazwe amabini okuqala akhethe abathunywa babo kwindibano kaJulayi yeDemokhrasi, ngoko luhamba ugqatso ukuba athathe uDonald Trump.

Umzali umzali USanders kunye noButtigieg badume kakhulu, kodwa mhlawumbi oku kusisanga nje. Eli phulo lide kwaye lisandula ukuqalisa.

Amazwe alandelayo aza kuvotan Nevada (usuku lwama-22) y EMzantsi Carolina (29), apho uBiden enethemba lokufumana umoya emva kokungaphumeleli kwakhe kokuqala kunye nokuvakalayo.

Kodwa luhamba njani uvoto kuManyano xa lulonke?

El utshintsho kwiiveki ezimbini ezidlulileyo, kulandela iivoti e-Iowa naseNew Hampshire, iye iyamangalisa, Kuphantse ukuba akukho mfuneko yokuphawula ngayo, kuba iphendula ngokugqibeleleyo kwiziphumo zaloo mazwe mabini ... ngaphandle kwento enye: hlala ujonge ibloomberg, obuchule bayo bokushiya amazwe amancinci kaFebruwari, ukuya gxila kwezona zinkulu abavotayo ekuqaleni kukaMatshi. Owayesakuba ngusodolophu waseNew York kunye nosozigidigidi unemali eyaneleyo yokubona iphulo elide, kwaye uqhuba iphulo elikrelekrele ngasemva elimvumela ukuba aziveze njengoyena mgqatswa udumileyo weDemokhrasi xa ejongana ngqo noTrump. Iidemokhrasi ziyayazi le nto kwaye ziphakamisa i-ante.

Ngamafutshane, kwiiveki ezimbini ezidlulileyo, owayesakuba nguSekela Mongameli uBiden wayeseyeyona nto ithandwayo kugqatso lweDemokhrasi luphela. Namhlanje ayisekho. Ngokutsho kwakhe Electomania.es ubalo lwalo, La iyakuba ngamathemba angoku kulo lonke iphulo:

Akukho mgqatswa onokufezekisa abathunywa abali-1990 abayimfuneko namhlanje ekuqaleni ukuphumelela ukutyunjwa ngokuchasene noTrump. Nangona kunjalo, le ayizukuba yifoto yokugqibela: izinto ziya kutshintsha. Ugqatso lude kwaye luxhamla kwi abagqatswa abanamandla ngokwezimali, ekwaziyo ukuhlawula iindleko zolondolozo olufunekayo.

I-Biden isagcina iimpahla ezibalulekileyo Kufuneka adlale kwi-Deep South naseMidwest, apho enethemba lokufumana iziphumo ezinkulu phakathi koluntu olumnyama, ngenxa yobudlelwane bakhe no-Obama. Kunoko Buttigieg, nangona ukhokele ugqatso okwangoku, isadodobala kumazwe amaninzi azakuvota ngokulandelayo, ngoko ke inomgama omde ekufuneka ihanjwe ngaphambi kokuba ibe yintandokazi yokwenene.

Nditsho Akunakukhutshwa okwangoku ukuba uKlobuchar okanye uWarren banokuphela bemangalisekile kwaye echwechwa entloko.

Yonke into iza kutshintsha emva kweSuper ngoLwesibili nge-3 kaMatshi, imini abaninzi abagqatswa baya kunikezela, bengakwazi ukuhlawula iphulo kunye nokulindela okumbalwa. Iivoti zabo ziya kuqokelelana ngendlela enye okanye enye ngokuxhasa abafaki-zicelo abathathu okanye abane abasaphilayo, kwaye i-horizon yabathunywa abayi-1.990 ayisayi kuba kude kangako.

Ngubani oza kuqhubeka ngeenketho ukusuka nge-4 kaMatshi? USanders ubonakala ezithembile. Igama labanye abagqatswa abaya kuqhubeka “bephila” ngalo mhla alicacanga kangako, kodwa siya kuqala ukuqikelela xa iNevada neSouth Carolina ivota.