Izinhlolovo bezilungile: I-Lógica elula (amavoti) kanye ne-IMOP (izihlalo) bezihamba phambili

Naphezu kobunzima obukhulu obekushiwo ukuvela kweqembu elisha, ama-polls abe nembe impela kulesi senzakalo. I amaphutha kumaphesenti okuvota okubangelwa amaqembu amahlanu amakhulu abe kancane uma kuqhathaniswa. Ezihlalweni, okubala kwazo kube nzima nakakhulu, ukuchezuka okumaphakathi okungaphansi kweshumi iqembu ngalinye kuningi. Akukho okuhlanganisa inhlekelele esihlangabezane nayo okhethweni olwedlule, ngoJuni 2016, lapho cishe bonke abavoti babhekana nokuphambuka okukhulu kuno-2,25% wamavoti iqembu ngalinye (elikhulu).

Ngalesi sikhathi, cishe zonke izikhungo zithole i-oda lokugcina lemidlalo emihlanu emikhulu kahle, kokubili ngamavoti nasezihlalweni, futhi bacwengisise kakhulu, naphezu kokuthi indawo yesithathu bekuphikiswana ngayo, ibaluleke kakhulu. Umehluko omkhulu kakhulu uyabonwa, ngokunengqondo, ekulinganisweni kwe-Vox, naku-PSOE, okuthole ukugeleza okwengeziwe kwamavoti okunzima ukukala i-priori.

Isonto lokugcina lomkhankaso kanye nezinkulumo mpikiswano kugujwa Abazange basize ukucacisa izinto, kodwa kunalokho ukubenza babe nzima nakakhulu, futhi lokhu kuye kwaphawulwa okhethweni lokugcina, olungazange luthuthuke, ngaphandle kokunye, impumelelo yokuvota eshicilelwe ngesonto eledlule.

II-MOP INSIGHTS (El Confidencial) ihola ukuhlukaniswa kwabavoti ngezihlalo, ngesilinganiso esihle kakhulu sezihlalo ezi-5 ngomdlalo ngamunye. Ukuqina kwesibikezelo kubonakala ngokuthi isonto eledlule alizange lisize le nkampani ukuthi ithuthukise isilinganiso sayo, okuphambene kakhulu. Eqinisweni, kwakubi kakhulu phakathi kwalabo abashicilela idatha ngosuku olufanayo lwama-28. Okubi kakhulu ngaphakathi kwesizathu.

Ngakolunye uhlangothi, emaphesentini okuvota kube khona abathile umphumela umane umbukwane, njengoba kunjalo I-Logic elula, inhlolovo yakhe eyashicilelwa emasontweni amabili nesigamu ngaphambi kokhetho. Kuyadabukisa ukuthi akazange alinganise inani lezihlalo ukuze sikwazi ukuqinisekisa izinga lempumelelo yakhe kuleso sici. Imiphumela yamaphutha angaphansi kuka-2% iyanda, futhi kuphela i-Top Position eyodwa zingahlukaniswa, ngaphandle kwama-palliatives, njenge "kubi“. Bonke abanye abavoti "bavuma". I-GAD3, enemiphumela emaphakathi kuhlolovo lokuphela komkhankaso, ikwazile ukwenza ngcono kakhulu kunaleyo eshicilelwe ngosuku lokhetho. I-IMOP iphinde yathatha izikhundla ezihola phambili okhethweni lwangaphambilini, kodwa okokugcina kulezo zangosuku lokhetho, okwenza kucace ukuthi bebesondelene kangakanani (futhi belungile) bonke ngokuhloniphana.

Ngokuqondene ne Isilinganiso se-CIS, isemgqeni wempumelelo ekhombisa lolu khetho, nge ukuchezuka okungaphezudlwana kuka-1% kumaqembu amahlanu amakhulu. Ngokungangabazeki, ngenze "ikhishi" elanele lesi senzakalo, ukushiya criteria ayisebenzise ezinyangeni ezedlule, imsize kakhulu. Kunoma yikuphi, kuyafaneleka ukukuqaphela.

Sihlanganisa futhi amaphaneli ethu ekuhlukaniseni, nakuba bengeyona inhlolovo ngomqondo oqinile, ukuze kube lula ukubonakala. Sanelisekile, ngemiphumela ephusile, ngenxa yezinkulungwane zemibuzo esiyitholile futhi esisize ukuba silungise imiphumela. Sine ilinganiswe idatha ye-Ciudadanos kahle kakhulu futhi Unidas Podemos, kanye nalabo Beqembu Elidumile ngokunengqondo. Omdala kunawo wonke iphutha kwenzeke ku isilinganiso sethu se-Vox, eseqe ngayo (njengoba nje sathi ukushoda e-Andalusia), kanye ne I-PSOE.

Imodeli yethu iyasebenza, kodwa ngesikhathi esifanayo siyazi ukuthi amandla ayo alele eqinisweni lokuthi Singaqhubeka sithuthukise ubuthakathaka bakho, ukhetho ngemva kokhetho, ngokuqoqwa kwedatha okuqhubekayo kanye nokuthuthukiswa okuphakade. Siyaqiniseka ukuthi sizothembela ekwesekeni kwenu njengakuqala. Siyabonga ukuthi size lapha.

Ezinsukwini ezimbalwa sizohlanganisa idatha esuka kulolu khetho ekuhlukaniseni okuvamile kwabavoti, okuhlanganisa ama-coefficients wokulungisa amasha esizowasebenzisa esilinganisweni sokuvota, futhi sizokushicilela lapha.

Isiphetho: ibhalansi evamile yamavoti kulolu khetho Kube kuhle kakhulu, Kufakazelwe ukuthi kusebenza ngempumelelo ekutholeni amathrendi futhi kube nokunemba okuhle okumaphakathi. Ukhetho lwangoMeyi 26 luzoba isivivinyo esisha, futhi ngomhla ka-27, njengenjwayelo, sizohlaziya lapha ukuxhumana, noma cha, phakathi kocwaningo olushicilelwe kanye neqiniso.