Izibani nezithunzi ngo-Agasti idatha yokungasebenzi

Namuhla kukhishwe idatha yokuntuleka kwemisebenzi yenyanga ka-August 2018, futhi zonke izihloko zezindaba zigcizelela lokho Lena yinyanga embi kakhulu ka-August eminyakeni eminingi. Lokhu kuholela kwezinye izimo eziphethweni eziyinhlekelele.

Ingabe izihloko zezindaba emaphephandabeni jikelele zilungile? Kungaba. Kodwa futhi kungase kungabi njalo.

Into yokuqala okumele uyigqamise ukuthi idatha yanyanga zonke ingase ingabi nenjongo. Zivame ukufaka umsindo omningi, izimo ezidlula ngokushesha, ukuhlukahluka okungenakho ukuqhubeka kanye nokuchema okubalulekile kwesizini. Ngakho-ke, esikhundleni sokuthatheka ngeziphetho ezisheshayo (lokho kuthambekela "kokwenza ihaba" ukuze uthole "ukuchofoza" okungena emshinini wethu wokunyathelisa) kuhle ukuhlaziya idatha yonyaka, ezolile, "yangempela" eyengeziwe.

Igrafu yezinsizakalo zokuqashwa ngokwayo isibonisa ukuvela kusukela ngo-2014. Ukwehla kokuntuleka kwemisebenzi kuhlala njalo futhi akukakapheli. Kusukela ekushaqiseni cishe kwezigidi ezinhlanu zabantu abangasebenzi ekuqaleni konyaka wezi-2014 (kwakuseneminye iminyaka embalwa ngaphambili) kuya esibalweni samanje, sesithuthuke kakhulu. Noma kunjalo, izimpawu ezikhathazayo seziqala ukubonakala. Njengoba ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi kuncipha, kuba nzima ukuzuza ukwehla okwengeziwe. Ngakho-ke, kunengqondo ukuthi umugqa wonyaka ngamunye (kithi, umugqa obomvu) awunciphi kakhulu uma uqhathaniswa nowangaphambili njengaseminyakeni edlule. Kodwa-ke, sibona ukuthi ukuhlangana phakathi kwemigqa yomibili (oluhlaza okotshani ka-2017 kanye nobomvu ka-2018) kukhula kanjani kulezi zinyanga ezimbili noma ezintathu ezedlule.

Sicabangele esikhathini esizayo, inyanga nenyanga, inkambiso ebonwa unyaka wonke ka-2018, futhi umphumela uwukuthi Ekupheleni konyaka wezi-2018, uma siqhubeka nendlela yamanje, ukwehla kokuntuleka kwemisebenzi unyaka nonyaka bekungeke kube ngabantu abayizi-5.000. Okusho ukuthi, ekupheleni konyaka ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi eSpain kuzoyeka ukuncipha.

Uma lokhu kuqhubeka, ngoJanuwari 2019 sizobona ukwanda konyaka nonyaka kwesibalo sabantu abangasebenzi, futhi lokho kungaba yisibalo impela. muy ukukhathazeka. Kungasho lokho Sibhekene nokuntengantenga kwemisebenzi, okungafezwa ngezinga eliphezulu kakhulu lokuntuleka kwemisebenzi (cishe i-3.400.000 engasebenzi ngoFebhuwari 2019, ngenani eliphakeme lonyaka, futhi cishe i-3.050.000 ngoJulayi 2019, okungenani).

Kukhona okungalungile emakethe yethu yezemisebenzi lapho ukukhula komnotho okungaphezu kuka-2%, amandla okukhula kwemisebenzi afinyezwa ngokushesha okungaka. Uma, ngaphansi kwezimo ezinhle zezomnotho, umnotho awukwazi ukunciphisa ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi ngaphansi kwabantu abayizi-3.000.000, Kuyokwenzekani lapho isimo samazwe ngamazwe sishintsha futhi izinto zingahambi kahle?

Inhlangano Yezokuphepha Komphakathi, ngo-Agasti, yehle ngabantu abangaphezu kuka-200.000, futhi nakuba ukwehla okuthile kwesizini kule nyanga kunengqondo, ngoba inkathi yezivakashi iphela, ukuncipha kudlulele ngisho nokucabangela leli qiniso. Nali olunye ucingo lokuvuka olubalulekile.

Ingabe yonke into imbi kulo mongo?

Cha, akunjalo. Yize sekuphele izinyanga kucaca ukuthi inani lemisebenzi liyayeka ukukhula, okwamanje iyaqhubeka nokuba ngcono (nakuba ngesivinini esiphansi kunesingafiseleka, kucatshangelwa ukuthi nathi siqala ngezinga elikhulu lokungathembeki) Kuyikhwalithi emsebenzini. Ake sibheke ulwazi oluthile ngakho:

Phakathi neminyaka yobunzima, uma okuthile kuhlupheka eSpain, kwakungamahora asetshenziwe. Ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi kukhule ngokushesha, kodwa amahora asetshenziwe ehla ngokushesha kakhulu emnothweni uwonke. Imbangela yalesi simo kwaba ukuxoshwa okukhulu kwabasebenzi abebesesimeni esibucayi kakhulu, kanye nokushintshwa kokuqashwa ngokugcwele kuqashwe itoho. Leli qiniso, eliyingozi kakhulu, liyancipha kancane kancane. Okwamanje, njengoba izibalo zika-Agasti zibonisa, ukuqashwa okugcwele ngokugcwele kuqhubeka ngesivinini esihle, okuvumela ukuthuthuka kancane kwezinga lomsebenzi.

Kuzodingeka sinake idatha eshicilelwe ezinyangeni ezizayo, ukuze sihlole ukuvela kwayo nokuthi uma amabika amabi aqinisekisiwe. Kuzofanele sinake izinyathelo ezithathwa nguhulumeni, ngoba, kuye ngokuthi ziyini nokuthi zinjani, zingasithuthukisa noma zisibekele isimo.

Khonamanjalo, kule ndaba njengakwamanye amaningi (idatha ye-CPI,...) kuyatuseka ukuthi ngaso sonke isikhathi ulandele iseluleko esisodwa: ungathwalwa yisihloko esibonisa idatha yanyanga zonke elula: kungase kube umsindo nje. Kufanele sibheke phezulu kancane futhi siqinisekise amathrendi agcinwayo ngokuhamba kwesikhathi. Kufanele ubheke idatha yaminyaka yonke hhayi ukushintshashintsha kwanyanga zonke.